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507 Lakeside Dr #507
D- Composite 38.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.0/5.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

507 Lakeside Dr #507 · South Bradenton, FL 34210
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,035 sqft · Condo · 97 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition $184/sqft · 26% below area Est $257k · 26% under $610/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Why rent when you can own a move in ready 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom first floor condo with a deeded covered parking spot. This property is priced to sell for you to enjoy as a full time residence, investment property or a snowbird home. Large kitchen with a slider to the front patio makes it conveniently accessible to your bbq for preparing enjoyable meals plus the abundance of natural light that fills your kitchen. Each bedroom is generously sized, either can be used as a primary & both have walk in closets along with ensuite baths. There's so much space, you'll have fun decorating & making it your own.

Key facts

  • Ensuite baths
  • Front patio
  • Large kitchen

Tags

DEEDED COVERED PARKING SPOTLARGE KITCHENFRONT PATIOWALK IN CLOSETSENSUITE BATHSDINING LIVING ROOM COMBINATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-335 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (25.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: H. S. Moody Elementary School (math 39% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 606 students, 73% FRL); Electa Lee Magnet Middle School (math 27% / reading 28%, grade F, #495 of 571 statewide, top 87%, 759 students, 68% FRL); Bayshore High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,435 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-6.1%/yr); 686 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,575 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.55%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$256,643
List price
$190,000
Delta
-25.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4105 35th Ave W #4105 1.12mi 2/2.0 1,015 (-2%) 0mo $160,000 $158 62
3880 Ironwood Ln Unit 508E 1.05mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-3%) 0mo $133,000 $132 61
3860 Ironwood Ln Unit 103G 1.02mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-3%) 0mo $132,000 $131 60
6015 27th St W Unit 1C 1.48mi 2/2.0 1,076 (+4%) 0mo $192,000 $178 58
3500 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K 101 1.48mi 2/2.0 1,144 (+10%) 0mo $90,000 $79 47
3813 59th Ave W #3813 1.08mi 2/2.0 912 (-12%) 0mo $120,000 $132 45
2808 60th Ave W #302 1.45mi 2/2.0 897 (-13%) 0mo $138,500 $154 42
2807 48th Ave Dr W 0.77mi 2/2.0 896 (-13%) 0mo $135,000 $151 42
4009 Lake Bayshore Dr #105 1.49mi 2/1.0 912 (-12%) 0mo $32,000 $35 41
4410 Fairways Blvd #206 0.99mi 2/2.0 1,256 (+21%) 0mo $155,000 $123 40
5123 20th St W 1.27mi 2/1.0 864 (-16%) 0mo $240,000 $278 36
3211 42nd St W 1.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,272 (+23%) 0mo $189,000 $149 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.7%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-57,590
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-83.8%
Equity multiple
-0.86×
Total profit
$-98,719
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 6 under contract
Median asking
$239,000 ($194/sqft)
Median days on market
175 d
This list price
43% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+28.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34210

Rents YoY
-6.1%
Active inventory
686
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,011 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$610
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$-335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,434
Max offer price $141,575
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-203 -5% $-269 +0% $-335 +5% $-400 +10% $-466
Rent -10% $-493 -5% $-414 +0% $-335 +5% $-255 +10% $-176
Rate -1.0pp $-239 -0.5pp $-286 base $-335 +0.5pp $-384 +1.0pp $-434

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
655 Woodlawn Dr Unit 655 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $1,600 $1.39 119d 1 0.05mi
452 Palm Tree Dr Unit 452 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,595 $1.22 99d 1 0.07mi
549 Lakeside Dr Unit 549 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $1,950 $2.07 65d 1 0.08mi
586 Lakeside Dr Unit 586 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $2,900 $3.09 9d 1 0.11mi
440 Palm Tree Dr Unit N/A Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1108 $2,100 $1.90 63d 1 0.11mi
183 Pineneedle Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,800 $1.38 119d 1 0.18mi
184 Pineneedle Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $2,100 $2.23 119d 1 0.18mi
142 Pineneedle Dr Unit 142U Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1408 $3,200 $2.27 9d 1 0.18mi
346 Springdale Dr Unit 346 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 82d 1 0.23mi
5006 45th St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1499 $2,500 $1.67 9d 1 0.26mi
303 Springdale Dr #303 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,999 $1.53 99d 1 0.26mi
206 Lakewood Dr Unit 206 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $2,700 $2.87 119d 1 0.29mi
418 Spring Lakes Blvd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1380 $2,200 $1.59 82d 1 0.29mi
418 Spring Lakes Blvd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1380 $1,700 $1.23 9d 1 0.29mi
132 Wild Palm Dr #132 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $3,400 $2.61 119d 1 0.30mi
146 Wild Palm Dr #146 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,500 $1.67 119d 1 0.30mi
133 Wild Palm Dr #133 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1408 $2,350 $1.67 119d 1 0.30mi
283 Sherwood Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1304 $1,800 $1.38 119d 1 0.30mi
4449 46th Ave W Unit 4449 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1110 $3,200 $2.88 119d 1 0.36mi
5103 34th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 824 $1,850 $2.25 9d 1 0.41mi
3506 52nd Ave W #275 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1369 $2,395 $1.75 5d 1 0.41mi
3277 51st Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 995 $1,760 $1.77 99d 1 0.43mi
3803 45th Ter W #105 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,795 $1.50 63d 1 0.45mi
3278 51st Avenue Dr W Unit 1 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 119d 1 0.47mi
4148 53rd Ave W Unit 2804 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $2,001 $1.87 1d 1 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Unit 1601 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,796 $1.74 1d 1 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Unit 2117 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,886 $1.76 4d 1 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 989 $2,206 $2.23 4d 1 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Unit 0101 Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 728 $1,525 $2.09 1d 1 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,162 $2.40 3d 10 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Unit 1210 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,875 $1.75 1d 1 0.49mi
4148 53rd Ave W Unit 2508 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $2,065 $1.93 4d 1 0.49mi
3603 45th Ter W #101 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 99d 1 0.50mi
3903 45th Ter W #104 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1429 $1,799 $1.26 74d 1 0.51mi
3825 45th Ter W #104 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1429 $1,550 $1.08 119d 1 0.52mi
3715 45th Ter W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1429 $1,695 $1.19 119d 1 0.52mi
3511 45th Ter W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,850 $1.54 6d 1 0.52mi
3909 45th Ter W #106 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1429 $1,700 $1.19 9d 1 0.53mi
4655 46th Street Ct W #103 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1141 $2,400 $2.10 88d 1 0.53mi
5027 31st St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 972 $3,800 $3.91 9d 1 0.53mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
Lease restrictions apply
HOA & community
Has HOA (Alan Baum) — quarterly association fee; monthly equivalent shownAssociation dues include cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, fidelity bond, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, management, pest control, sewer, trash and waterCommunity amenities: pool, racquetball, tennis courts, street lights, community mailbox; no truck/RV/motorcycle parkingPets allowed with restrictions (dogs OK; breed restrictions apply)Association approval required for buyers

Exterior

Parking
Carport with 1 space
Security
Community requires buyer approval
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable and internet availableSewer connectedWater connected
Home design
CondominiumOne-storyNorth-facing
Construction
Block constructionMembrane roofSlab foundationBuilt as residential condominium
Exterior features
Community tennis courtsCommunity lightingRain guttersSliding doorsExterior storageIrrigation equipment

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRefrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
Ceramic tileLaminate
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansEat-in kitchenOpen living/dining room layout
Laundry & utility
Washer and dryer (in kitchen)

HOA detail $610/mo · $7,320/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $190,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $190,000 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $190,000 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $190,000 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $190,000 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 76 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 73 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 72 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $190,000 Active 71 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $190,000 Active 70 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $190,000 Active 69 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $190,000 Active 68 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $190,000 Active 67 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $190,000 Active 66 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $190,000 Active 65 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $190,000 Active 64 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 63 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $190,000 Active 62 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $190,000 Active 61 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 60 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 59 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 58 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 57 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 56 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 55 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 54 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $190,000 Active 53 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 52 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 51 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 50 DOM
  41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 49 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $190,000 Active 48 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 46 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 45 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 42 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 40 DOM
  48. 2026-07-28
    days on market $190,000 Active 39 DOM
  49. 2026-07-26
    days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
  50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,127
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,930
− Management
−$1,930
− HOA
−$7,320
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$7,023
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,686
After-tax cash flow
$-2,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,175–$15,525 screening

This move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo is in good condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained landscaping. Minor updates to the exterior and front gate can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior stucco — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Replace the front gate — A new gate can improve security and aesthetics
  • Both Prune and landscape the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can increase property value and curb appeal

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 27/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary H. S. Moody Elementary School F FL #1,841/2,144 Nat'l #25,956/41,679 Middle Electa Lee Magnet Middle School F FL #495/571 Nat'l #9,659/14,009 High Bayshore High School F FL #546/667 Nat'l #13,899/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 77/100

Livability — South Bradenton

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3092

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bradenton, FL
County
Manatee County · 447,342 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,682
Household income
$64,244
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
17% of renters

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 7%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…