3551 NE 169th St #306 · North Miami Beach, FL 33160

$269,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · Condo public records · 218 Days on market

Built 1969 $753/mo HOA · 19% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.9/30.0
• 1% rule +9.6/10.0
• DSCR +9.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This spacious two-bedroom, two-bathroom condo offers a canal view and a deeded 26-foot dock. Perfect for updating and personalizing to your taste. Spacious kitchen. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet. The building has recently undergone a comprehensive 50-year inspection, which included a new roof, balcony restoration, elevator upgrades, a renovated parking lot, and a refreshed seawall. The clubhouse offers a pool, gym, sauna, and library. The Homeowners Association (HOA) fee covers water, cable, trash, and internet. This is a 55+ community, and rentals are not permitted during the first year. The condo is conveniently located just a short walk from the beach, restaurants, shopping, an

Key facts

• $753 HOA
• Parking
• Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Pets not allowed
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include boat dock, clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, barbecue, picnic area, pool, storage, trails, trash service, vehicle wash area, and elevators; Association fee covers common areas, laundry, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, parking, pools, sewer, security, trash, and water; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One designated space
• Security: Complex fenced; Key card entry; Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Cable available
• Home design: Attached property; Faces east; Entry on third level; One-story unit in a four-story building
• Construction: Brick and block construction; Resale property; Builder model: 2/2, Boat Dock
• Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Heated pool; Canal front with canal access; Exterior lighting

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
• Flooring: Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Blinds; Closet cabinetry; Elevator access; Handicap access; Living/Dining room; Main level primary; Main living area entry level; Third floor entry; Tub/shower; Walk-in closet(s); Unfurnished
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $269k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $269k).
• Recommended offer: $237k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,916/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $75k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $75k; list at $269k implies a 259% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $236,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
10. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
11. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.46% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.62%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.88%
• DSCR: 1.53
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.16×
• Total profit: $11,876
• Equity at exit: $85,271

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.67×
• Total profit: $50,821
• Equity at exit: $108,406

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33160

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 1870
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,916 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,411
• Tax from tax record: −$72 /mo · $860/yr
• Insurance: −$112
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$753
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$822
• Net cashflow: $319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,511

Max offer price $269,000

Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $67,250
• Closing costs: $8,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL	2.0–4.0	2.5–5.5	2325	$18,000	$7.74	2d	9	1.36mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $753 · $9,036/yr
• Likely covers: watertrashinternetcablepoolgym
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $269,000 Active 218 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $269,000 Active 217 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $269,000 Active 216 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $269,000 Active 215 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $269,000 Active 213 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $269,000 Active 209 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $269,000 Active 208 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $269,000 Active 207 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $269,000 Active 204 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,000 Active 203 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 202 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,000 Active 201 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 200 DOM
14. 2026-04-20
    price $269,000
15. 2026-01-23
    price $299,000
16. 2025-11-12
    listed $349,000 Active
17. 2000-03-06
    soldstatus $74,900
18. 1986-12-01
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $860 · $72/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,233 · $186/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,373/yr (+$114/mo · 159.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $46,988
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,068
• − Property taxes: −$860
• − Insurance: −$6,464
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,759
• − Management: −$3,759
• − HOA: −$9,036
• − Depreciation: −$7,825
• Taxable income: $217
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$52
• After-tax cash flow: $3,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #71
• US rank: #1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: North Miami Beach, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• City population: 90,324
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 43,718
• Household income: $67,040
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
• Foreign-born: 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.53%
• Current HPI: 284.9293
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.94%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+532.9% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-20 Price Changed $269,000 MARMLS
• 2026-01-23 Price Changed $299,000 MARMLS
• 2025-11-12 Listed $349,000 MARMLS
• 2000-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
• 1986-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $860 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.