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10154 Hwy 53 Hwy
D+ Composite 47.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$130,000

10154 Hwy 53 Hwy · White Oak, NC 29399
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1960 0.34 ac lot Est $97k · 34% over ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Built in 1960. 2 bedroom, 2-bathroom home with 1-car garage, and detached carport in a peaceful rural setting. Spacious corner lot with plenty of potential. Home needs some updates and is being sold as-is. Great opportunity for investors or buyers seeking a country lifestyle. Seller is offering $5000.00 towards closing cost. DONT MISS OUT! SELLERS ARE MOTIVATED!

Key facts

  • Detached carport
  • Spacious corner lot
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

PEACEFUL RURAL SETTINGSPACIOUS CORNER LOTDETACHED CARPORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 covered garage space); Detached carport (1 carport space); Total of 2 covered spaces
  • Utilities: Water from spring and well; Sewer: unknown
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double vanity; Entrance foyer; Fireplace in the great room; Fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (3.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#345 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools F.
  • Bladen County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #161 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 159 units permitted in Bladen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bladen County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,200
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10154 Hwy 53 Hwy 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,944 (0%) 1mo $97,185 $50 95

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$27,241
Equity at exit
$58,454
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$80,662
Equity at exit
$90,084

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 29399

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,252 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $848/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,021
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    price $130,000
  3. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-25
    price $149,900
  6. 2025-12-01
    price $164,900
  7. 2025-10-10
    listed $169,900 Active
  8. 2025-09-22
    historical
  9. 2025-06-21
    status Active
  10. 2025-06-16
    historical
  11. 2025-05-30
    price $169,900
  12. 2025-04-17
    price $174,900
  13. 2025-02-06
    price $179,900
  14. 2024-12-12
    listed $194,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$848 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$218/yr (+$18/mo · 25.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,022
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$848
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,202
− Management
−$1,202
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$57
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14
After-tax cash flow
$2,175/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bladen County Schools
NCES district ID
3700390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$30,769
Composite
20.59/100
National rank
#8554
State rank
#161 of 178 in NC

Livability — White Oak

Score
64/100
State rank
#345
US rank
#13796

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
White Oak, NC

Population outlook (Bladen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,854 people
By 2030
30,171 · -5.3%
By 2040
26,444 · -17.0%
By 2050
22,983 · -27.8%
By 2075
16,165 · -49.3%
By 2100
11,329 · -64.4%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $130,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $164,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $169,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-21 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $169,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-04-17 Price Changed $174,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-02-06 Price Changed $179,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-12-12 Listed $194,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $848 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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