10154 Hwy 53 Hwy · White Oak, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Built in 1960. 2 bedroom, 2-bathroom home with 1-car garage, and detached carport in a peaceful rural setting. Spacious corner lot with plenty of potential. Home needs some updates and is being sold as-is. Great opportunity for investors or buyers seeking a country lifestyle. Seller is offering $5000.00 towards closing cost. DONT MISS OUT! SELLERS ARE MOTIVATED!
Key facts
- Detached carport
- Spacious corner lot
- 0.34 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 covered garage space); Detached carport (1 carport space); Total of 2 covered spaces
- Utilities: Water from spring and well; Sewer: unknown
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double vanity; Entrance foyer; Fireplace in the great room; Fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#345 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools F.
- Bladen County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #161 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 159 units permitted in Bladen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bladen County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.01%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,200
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10154 Hwy 53 Hwy | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,944 (0%) | 1mo | $97,185 | $50 | 95 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $27,241
- Equity at exit
- $58,454
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $80,662
- Equity at exit
- $90,084
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29399
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,252 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $848/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $130,000
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-02-25price $149,900
-
2025-12-01price $164,900
-
2025-10-10$169,900 Active
-
2025-09-22historical
-
2025-06-21status Active
-
2025-06-16historical
-
2025-05-30price $169,900
-
2025-04-17price $174,900
-
2025-02-06price $179,900
-
2024-12-12$194,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$218/yr (+$18/mo · 25.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$848
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,202
- − Management
- −$1,202
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $57
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$14
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,175/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bladen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,769
- Composite
- 20.59/100
- National rank
- #8554
- State rank
- #161 of 178 in NC
Livability — White Oak
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #13796
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Oak, NC
Population outlook (Bladen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,854 people
- By 2030
- 30,171 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 26,444 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 22,983 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 16,165 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 11,329 · -64.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-33.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $130,000 LPRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $164,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $169,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-09-22 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-06-21 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-06-16 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $169,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-04-17 Price Changed $174,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-02-06 Price Changed $179,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-12-12 Listed $194,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $848 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…