4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #136 · Topanga, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$369,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rent Controlled Park! Now offered at a new price! Located within the highly regarded Las Virgenes Unified School District, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfortable living in a prime Woodland Hills location. NO AGE RESTRICTION! Offering 1,188 square feet of living space, this home provides a comfortable layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, in-unit laundry, generously sized bedrooms, a covered backyard space, a detached storage room and a wide covered carport able of parking 2-3 cars tandem style. The home features an open and inviting interior, abundant natural light, and a practical floor plan designed for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes its own private bathroom, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Situated within a well-established community in a prime Woodland Hills location, residents enjoy convenient access to nearby shopping, dining, parks, and major freeways. The home also includes dedicated guest parking and access to community amenities like a community pool and hall to hang out or host festivities. This is a great opportunity for buyers seeking affordable homeownership in one of the San Fernando Valley's most convenient pockets. Buyer must obtain park approval. Monthly Land Lease Fee is $1,526
Key facts
- Community hall
- Wide covered carport
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $369k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $369k).
- Recommended offer: $336k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.6% in Topanga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#846 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Las Virgenes Unified (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #58 of 517 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($336k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.05%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $354,675
- List price
- $369,000
- Delta
- 4.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #40 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (+6%) | 6mo | $425,000 | $339 | 86 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #130 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-2%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $164 | 81 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #51 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,123 (-6%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $329 | 77 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #31 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+5%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $308 | 75 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #102 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-6%) | 15mo | $228,000 | $204 | 73 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #62 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-12%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $257 | 70 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #178 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+9%) | 18mo | $219,000 | $169 | 67 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #110 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,027 (-14%) | 13mo | $360,000 | $351 | 66 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #23 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-12%) | 14mo | $329,000 | $316 | 59 |
| 4201 Topanga Canyon Blvd #98 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+14%) | 16mo | $340,000 | $252 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $4,436
- Equity at exit
- $55,019
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $53,458
- Equity at exit
- $31,904
Cash invested: $103,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91364
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,935
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,482/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$910
- Net cashflow
- $1,210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,250
- Closing costs
- $11,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4413 Canoga Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $4,995 | $3.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4532 Ensenada Dr Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,590 | $3.24 | 7d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 22263 Buena Ventura St Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $6,450 | $4.78 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 21905 Viscanio Rd Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $4,450 | $3.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1188 Aztec Topanga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,500 | $3.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4973 Topanga Canyon Blvd Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,850 | $3.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4406 Coloma Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $3,395 | $4.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5020 Topanga Canyon Blvd Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,700 | $4.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 22025 Lopez St Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $4,250 | $4.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5007 Canoga Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $4,850 | $3.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 22034 Galvez St Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $4,200 | $3.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22632 Cass Ave Woodland Hills, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $4,300 | $2.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5177 Topanga Canyon Blvd Unit 1 Woodland Hills, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 22204 Avenue San Luis Woodland Hills, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $5,875 | $3.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $369,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $369,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $369,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $369,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $369,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $369,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $369,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $369,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $369,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $369,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $369,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $369,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $369,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $369,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $369,000 1378-char remark
Show marketing remark (1378 chars)
Rent Controlled Park! Now offered at a new price! Located within the highly regarded Las Virgenes Unified School District, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfortable living in a prime Woodland Hills location. NO AGE RESTRICTION! Offering 1,188 square feet of living space, this home provides a comfortable layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, in-unit laundry, generously sized bedrooms, a covered backyard space, a detached storage room and a wide covered carport able of parking 2-3 cars tandem style. The home features an open and inviting interior, abundant natural light, and a practical floor plan designed for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes its own private bathroom, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Situated within a well-established community in a prime Woodland Hills location, residents enjoy convenient access to nearby shopping, dining, parks, and major freeways. The home also includes dedicated guest parking and access to community amenities like a community pool and hall to hang out or host festivities. This is a great opportunity for buyers seeking affordable homeownership in one of the San Fernando Valley's most convenient pockets. Buyer must obtain park approval. Monthly Land Lease Fee is $1,526
-
2026-03-04$385,000 Active 1378-char remark
Show marketing remark (1378 chars)
Rent Controlled Park! Now offered at a new price! Located within the highly regarded Las Virgenes Unified School District, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfortable living in a prime Woodland Hills location. NO AGE RESTRICTION! Offering 1,188 square feet of living space, this home provides a comfortable layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, in-unit laundry, generously sized bedrooms, a covered backyard space, a detached storage room and a wide covered carport able of parking 2-3 cars tandem style. The home features an open and inviting interior, abundant natural light, and a practical floor plan designed for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes its own private bathroom, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Situated within a well-established community in a prime Woodland Hills location, residents enjoy convenient access to nearby shopping, dining, parks, and major freeways. The home also includes dedicated guest parking and access to community amenities like a community pool and hall to hang out or host festivities. This is a great opportunity for buyers seeking affordable homeownership in one of the San Fernando Valley's most convenient pockets. Buyer must obtain park approval. Monthly Land Lease Fee is $1,526
-
2026-01-27historical
-
2026-01-13price $385,000
-
2025-10-24price $410,000
-
2025-10-23status Active
-
2025-10-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-07-28$420,000 Active
-
2024-07-08soldstatus $337,904 Closed Sale
-
2024-06-05historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-05-24status Active
-
2024-05-17status Pending Sale
-
2024-05-08$349,900 Active
-
2024-04-24price
-
2024-03-01Active
-
2015-12-09soldstatus $140,000 Closed
-
2015-12-03status Pending
-
2015-10-27$149,000 Active
-
2007-02-17historical
-
2007-02-17historical
-
2006-03-01soldstatus $152,000
-
2005-12-01$155,000
-
2005-08-03$169,900
-
2005-08-03$169,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,482 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,804 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,323/yr (+$110/mo · 89.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,670
- − Property taxes
- −$1,482
- − Insurance
- −$1,845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,159
- − Management
- −$4,159
- − Depreciation
- −$10,735
- Taxable income
- $8,936
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,145
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Las Virgenes Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0621000
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $118,374
- Composite
- 59.63/100
- National rank
- #907
- State rank
- #58 of 517 in CA
Livability — Topanga
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #846
- US rank
- #23336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topanga, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 6,315
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,748
- Household income
- $132,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 899.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -776.49%
- Current HPI
- 362.9341
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.51%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+117.2% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $369,000 TheMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $385,000 TheMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $385,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $410,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-23 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-07-28 Listed $420,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-08 Sold (MLS) $337,904 CRMLS
- 2024-06-05 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-05-24 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-05-17 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-05-08 Listed $349,900 CRMLS
- 2024-04-24 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2024-03-01 Listed — TheMLS
- 2015-12-09 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CRMLS
- 2015-12-03 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-10-27 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2007-02-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-02-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-03-01 Sold (MLS) $152,000 CRMLS
- 2005-12-01 Listed $155,000 CRMLS
- 2005-08-03 Listed $169,900 CRMLS
- 2005-08-03 Listed $169,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+64.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,482 · +64.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…