838 Pelhamdale Ave Unit 3R · New Rochelle, NY 10801

$114,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Condo · 286 Days on market

Built 1966 ↓ 26% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.7/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This Co-op Features 1 Bedroom, Full Bath & Formal Dining Room. Centrally Located To All. Don't Miss This Opportunity!

Key facts

• Built 1966
• Listed 286 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $115k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
• Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
• New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Daniel Webster Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 491 students, 28% FRL); Albert Leonard Middle School (math 41% / reading 73%, grade B, #192 of 729 statewide, top 28%, 1,086 students, 42% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.42%
• DSCR: 2.93
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 38.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.61×
• Total profit: $51,684
• Equity at exit: $17,132

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.89×
• Total profit: $125,209
• Equity at exit: $9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10801

• Rents YoY: 1.4%
• Active inventory: 141
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,479 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$603
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$521
• Net cashflow: $1,164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005

Max offer price $114,900

Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,244	-5% $1,204	+0% $1,164	+5% $1,124	+10% $1,085
Rent	-10% $968	-5% $1,066	+0% $1,164	+5% $1,262	+10% $1,360
Rate	-1.0pp $1,222	-0.5pp $1,193	base $1,164	+0.5pp $1,134	+1.0pp $1,104

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,725
• Closing costs: $3,447
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
600 North Ave New Rochelle, NY	2.0	1.0–2.0	869	$3,422	$3.94	0d	10	0.85mi
17 Dewitt Pl New Rochelle, NY	2.0	1.0	550	$2,500	$4.55	45d	1	0.88mi
225 Sickles Ave Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,600	$3.47	45d	1	0.95mi
111 Colonial Pl Unit 3 New Rochelle, NY	1.0	1.0	400	$2,300	$5.75	20d	1	0.97mi
9 9th St Unit 3rd Floor New Rochelle, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,100	$2.80	45d	1	1.20mi
95 Washington Ave Unit 1R New Rochelle, NY	—	1.0	400	$1,700	$4.25	25d	1	1.26mi
11 Burling Ln New Rochelle, NY	—	1.0	516	$2,250	$4.36	22d	9	1.32mi
118 N Columbus Ave Mount Vernon, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$1,700	$2.62	25d	1	1.33mi
20 Burling Ln New Rochelle, NY	1.0	1.0	725	$3,110	$4.29	11d	10	1.35mi
1270 North Ave Unit 2L New Rochelle, NY	—	1.0	650	$2,400	$3.69	16d	1	1.38mi
10 Commerce Dr New Rochelle, NY	2.0	1.0–2.0	739	$2,952	$3.99	0d	9	1.48mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-02-03
   status Pending
2. 2025-11-17
   price $114,900
3. 2025-10-03
   price $119,000
4. 2025-08-22
   price $129,000
5. 2025-06-13
   price $144,900
6. 2025-04-22
   listed $154,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,745
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,436
• − Property taxes: −$1,724
• − Insurance: −$574
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,380
• − Management: −$2,380
• − Depreciation: −$3,343
• Taxable income: $12,909
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,098
• After-tax cash flow: $10,872/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: New Rochelle City School District
• NCES district ID: 3620490
• Math proficiency: 63% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▲ 9.00%
• Median HH income: $69,165
• Composite: 56.63/100
• National rank: #1139
• State rank: #171 of 590 in NY

Livability — New Rochelle

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #487
• US rank: #8572

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing D+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New Rochelle, NY
• County: Westchester County · 709,332 people
• City population: 63,657
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 42,754
• Household income: $85,573
• Rent vs Own: 58.9% rent · 41.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 2797.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,028,035 people
• By 2030: 1,051,636 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 1,098,520 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 1,136,044 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 1,196,925 · +16.4%
• By 2100: 1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 36% White 30% Black 24% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 34% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 54% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -910.37%
• Current HPI: 270.8019
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.42%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-25.8% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-17 Price Changed $114,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-03 Price Changed $119,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-22 Price Changed $129,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-13 Price Changed $144,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-22 Listed $154,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid