🌊 Lakefront
1080 Waterfront Cir · Lincoln, AL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.32%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful manufactured home on Logan Martin Lake — perfect as a lake getaway or full-time residence! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home also features a bonus room and the biggest deck overlooking the water you’ve ever seen. Enjoy incredible lake views, outdoor entertaining, and peaceful waterfront living.
Key facts
- Lake views
- Outdoor entertaining
- Waterfront living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Driveway parking; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet service available (Coosa Valley)
- Home design: Single-family home (existing); Located in the Sunset Cove subdivision; Views of Logan Martin Lake
- Construction: Siding (other); Pillars/support foundation; Year-built described as existing
- Exterior features: Private dock; Storage building; Open deck; Lake/water view
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Gas stove
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood laminate floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combos
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings noted as 'Other (see remarks)'; All window treatments remain; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup provided; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.3% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#230 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 20% / reading 48%, grade F, #311 of 627 statewide, top 50%, 853 students, 62% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 585 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.42%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $30,886
- Equity at exit
- $60,395
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $89,494
- Equity at exit
- $92,838
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35096
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,477 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 River Grass Dr Lincoln, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,425 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 104 Marine Dr Lincoln, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,300 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 98 Marine Dr Lincoln, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,395 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 327 Orchid Ln Lincoln, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2014 | $1,920 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-18$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 32% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,722
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $697
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$167
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,638/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 23 photos
This manufactured home on Logan Martin Lake offers a good starting point for a cosmetic renovation, with minor repairs and maintenance needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck and siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Carpet — Worn condition
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting interior walls and cabinets — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Deck and siding repair — Maintaining structural integrity and improving curb appeal
- Both New carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck and siding · Weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Carpet · Worn condition | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting interior walls and cabinets — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Deck and siding repair — Maintaining structural integrity and improving curb appeal ↑
- Both New carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Talladega County
- NCES district ID
- 0103180
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,715
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7650
- State rank
- #75 of 129 in AL
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #230
- US rank
- #17221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, AL
- City population
- 9,201
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,201
Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,905 people
- By 2030
- 77,160 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 72,937 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 68,279 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 57,884 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 47,220 · -40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 19% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Vietnamese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Talladega
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.96%
- Current HPI
- 255.9195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $135,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…