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81 Camino Arroyo S
D+ Composite 47.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$489,900

81 Camino Arroyo S · Palm Desert, CA 92260
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,821 sqft · Condo public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1980 $269/sqft · 10% below area Est $546k · 10% under $750/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated 3 bed 2 bath condo with a picture perfect golf course view. This home has all new paint, new luxury vinyl planks and carpet throughout. Light and bright, this condo truly gives you the indoor/outdoor experience as there are three patio spaces to enjoy! Chaparral Country Club is a gated community with 24-hour security and roving security patrols. The magnificently maintained and lush grounds provide an exclusive setting for the 18-hole executive golf course. Active social calendar, full-service restaurant and lounge, fully equipped fitness center, two tennis courts and 12 pickleball courts. Cable TV/Internet, exterior maintenance and painting, maintenance for the 21 pools

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Golf course view
  • Three patio spaces

Tags

GOLF COURSE VIEWTHREE PATIO SPACESGATED COMMUNITY24 HOUR SECURITYFULLY EQUIPPED FITNESS CENTERTWO TENNIS COURTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Chaparral Country Club subdivision; Directions: Turn onto Camino Arroyo
  • HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association (Chaparral Homeowners Association); Association fee approximately $750 monthly; Community amenities: guard, tennis, golf, clubhouse; Community size includes about 625 units

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with direct garage access; Driveway parking; 2 uncovered parking spaces (4 total parking spaces)
  • Security: Gated/guarded community
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Attached condominium; Single-story (one level); Ground-level entry; No one above; 2+ common walls
  • Construction: House structure; Spanish tile roof; Concrete slab foundation; Built year sourced from assessor
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Community pool; On golf course; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level (Primary suite included)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms with upgraded finishes, walk-in shower and bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Turnkey, updated/remodeled condition; Community spa access; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $490k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($848/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $490k).
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,083/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $362k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $489,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$545,604
List price
$489,900
Delta
-10.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.1%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-81,523
Equity at exit
$73,046
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-91,655
Equity at exit
$42,358

Cash invested: $137,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92260

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
549
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,083 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,569
Tax from tax record
$421 /mo · $5,057/yr
Insurance
$204
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,067
Net cashflow
$71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,993
Max offer price $489,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $209 +0% $71 +5% $-68 +10% $-207
Rent -10% $-331 -5% $-130 +0% $71 +5% $271 +10% $472
Rate -1.0pp $317 -0.5pp $195 base $71 +0.5pp $-56 +1.0pp $-185

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$122,475
Closing costs
$14,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
74036 Mercury Cir W Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $2,800 $1.94 45d 1 0.17mi
82 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1851 $5,500 $2.97 45d 1 0.20mi
84 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1921 $6,500 $3.38 45d 1 0.20mi
92 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1821 $5,500 $3.02 45d 1 0.21mi
168 Camino Arroyo S Palm Desert, CA 3.0 3.0 2051 $5,000 $2.44 45d 1 0.21mi
181 Camino Arroyo S Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1821 $6,300 $3.46 45d 1 0.24mi
289 Castellana N Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1457 $3,000 $2.06 25d 1 0.31mi
38 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA 3.0 3.0 2056 $6,500 $3.16 45d 1 0.32mi
39 Camino Arroyo Pl Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1533 $6,000 $3.91 45d 1 0.44mi
85 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA 3.0 3.0 2119 $6,000 $2.83 45d 1 0.44mi
259 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,200 $3.99 45d 1 0.46mi
257 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,300 $4.07 45d 1 0.46mi
82 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1759 $6,500 $3.70 45d 1 0.47mi
280 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $6,000 $4.60 45d 1 0.50mi
432 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1584 $5,300 $3.35 45d 1 0.54mi
430 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.54mi
74401 Hovley Lane East Palm Desert, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $3,247 $3.11 0d 22 0.55mi
25 Maximo Way Palm Desert, CA 3.0 3.0 2056 $7,800 $3.79 45d 1 0.59mi
352 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1584 $5,800 $3.66 45d 1 0.59mi
153 Camino Arroyo N Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1980 $7,300 $3.69 21d 1 0.60mi
389 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1670 $3,750 $2.25 25d 1 0.62mi
43260 Silk Tree Ln Palm Desert, CA 4.0 2.0 1492 $3,500 $2.35 4d 1 0.63mi
236 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1684 $8,000 $4.75 45d 1 0.64mi
224 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1457 $5,300 $3.64 45d 1 0.67mi
222 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.5 1656 $7,700 $4.65 45d 1 0.68mi
316 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $5,700 $3.44 45d 1 0.68mi
280 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1347 $6,000 $4.45 25d 1 0.68mi
280 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1347 $6,000 $4.45 45d 1 0.68mi
347 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.68mi
365 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.69mi
359 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 2208 $9,500 $4.30 45d 1 0.69mi
345 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1584 $5,500 $3.47 45d 1 0.69mi
363 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $7,500 $4.53 45d 1 0.69mi
281 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.71mi
186 Madrid Ave Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1800 $7,100 $3.94 45d 1 0.72mi
320 Paseo Primavera Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $3,000 $2.30 45d 1 0.72mi
305 Durango Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1670 $6,300 $3.77 45d 1 0.73mi
337 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,000 $3.84 45d 1 0.74mi
197 Madrid Ave Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1336 $5,400 $4.04 45d 1 0.74mi
191 Madrid Ave Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1800 $5,500 $3.06 45d 1 0.75mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr
Likely covers
internetcablelandscapingexterior maint.poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $489,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $489,900 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $489,900 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $489,900 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $489,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,800 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $499,800 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $499,800 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $499,800 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $499,800 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,800 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $499,800 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-05-01
    price $499,900 830-char remark
  14. 2026-04-02
    price $514,800 830-char remark
  15. 2026-03-07
    price $514,900 830-char remark
  16. 2026-02-19
    listed $524,900 Active 830-char remark
  17. 2026-02-18
    historical $524,900 830-char remark
  18. 2026-02-17
    historical
  19. 2026-02-06
    price $524,900
  20. 2026-01-16
    price $529,900
  21. 2026-01-05
    listed $534,900 Active
  22. 2025-11-17
    soldstatus $362,000
  23. 2008-08-28
    soldstatus $279,000
  24. 2008-07-30
    historical
  25. 2008-07-25
    listed $279,000
  26. 2006-04-07
    historical
  27. 2006-04-07
    soldstatus $390,000
  28. 2006-03-10
    listed $439,900
  29. 1986-10-31
    soldstatus $155,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,057 · $421/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,057 · $421/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$60,992
− Mortgage interest
−$27,442
− Property taxes
−$5,057
− Insurance
−$2,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,879
− Management
−$4,879
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$14,252
Taxable loss
−$6,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,672
After-tax cash flow
$2,520/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Desert

Score
51/100
State rank
#1050
US rank
#25164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D Employment B+ Housing B Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Desert, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
58,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
30,523
Household income
$70,091
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1734.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -364.94%
Current HPI
294.9425
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+216.1% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $489,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $489,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $489,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $499,800 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $499,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $514,800 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $514,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $524,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $524,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $529,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $534,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $362,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $279,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-30 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2008-07-25 Listed $279,000 GPSMLS
  • 2006-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $390,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-07 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2006-03-10 Listed $439,900 GPSMLS
  • 1986-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,057 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…