81 Camino Arroyo S · Palm Desert, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$489,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated 3 bed 2 bath condo with a picture perfect golf course view. This home has all new paint, new luxury vinyl planks and carpet throughout. Light and bright, this condo truly gives you the indoor/outdoor experience as there are three patio spaces to enjoy! Chaparral Country Club is a gated community with 24-hour security and roving security patrols. The magnificently maintained and lush grounds provide an exclusive setting for the 18-hole executive golf course. Active social calendar, full-service restaurant and lounge, fully equipped fitness center, two tennis courts and 12 pickleball courts. Cable TV/Internet, exterior maintenance and painting, maintenance for the 21 pools
Key facts
- Gated community
- Golf course view
- Three patio spaces
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Chaparral Country Club subdivision; Directions: Turn onto Camino Arroyo
- HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association (Chaparral Homeowners Association); Association fee approximately $750 monthly; Community amenities: guard, tennis, golf, clubhouse; Community size includes about 625 units
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with direct garage access; Driveway parking; 2 uncovered parking spaces (4 total parking spaces)
- Security: Gated/guarded community
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Attached condominium; Single-story (one level); Ground-level entry; No one above; 2+ common walls
- Construction: House structure; Spanish tile roof; Concrete slab foundation; Built year sourced from assessor
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Community pool; On golf course; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level (Primary suite included)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms with upgraded finishes, walk-in shower and bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Turnkey, updated/remodeled condition; Community spa access; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $490k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($848/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $490k).
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,083/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $362k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.62%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $545,604
- List price
- $489,900
- Delta
- -10.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-81,523
- Equity at exit
- $73,046
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-91,655
- Equity at exit
- $42,358
Cash invested: $137,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92260
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 549
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,083 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,569
- Tax from tax record
- −$421 /mo · $5,057/yr
- Insurance
- −$204
- HOA
- −$750
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,067
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $348 | -5% $209 | +0% $71 | +5% $-68 | +10% $-207 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-331 | -5% $-130 | +0% $71 | +5% $271 | +10% $472 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $317 | -0.5pp $195 | base $71 | +0.5pp $-56 | +1.0pp $-185 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $122,475
- Closing costs
- $14,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74036 Mercury Cir W Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,800 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 82 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $5,500 | $2.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 84 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1921 | $6,500 | $3.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 92 Presidio Pl Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1821 | $5,500 | $3.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 168 Camino Arroyo S Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2051 | $5,000 | $2.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 181 Camino Arroyo S Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1821 | $6,300 | $3.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 289 Castellana N Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $3,000 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 38 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2056 | $6,500 | $3.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 39 Camino Arroyo Pl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $6,000 | $3.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 85 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2119 | $6,000 | $2.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 259 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,200 | $3.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 257 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,300 | $4.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 82 Conejo Cir Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $6,500 | $3.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 280 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $6,000 | $4.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 432 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $5,300 | $3.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 430 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 74401 Hovley Lane East Palm Desert, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $3,247 | $3.11 | 0d | 22 | 0.55mi |
| 25 Maximo Way Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2056 | $7,800 | $3.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 352 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $5,800 | $3.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 153 Camino Arroyo N Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $7,300 | $3.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 389 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $3,750 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 43260 Silk Tree Ln Palm Desert, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $3,500 | $2.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 236 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1684 | $8,000 | $4.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 224 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $5,300 | $3.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 222 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $7,700 | $4.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 316 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $5,700 | $3.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 280 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $6,000 | $4.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 280 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $6,000 | $4.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 347 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 365 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 359 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2208 | $9,500 | $4.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 345 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $5,500 | $3.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 363 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $7,500 | $4.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 281 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 186 Madrid Ave Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $7,100 | $3.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 320 Paseo Primavera Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $3,000 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 305 Durango Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $6,300 | $3.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 337 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,000 | $3.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 197 Madrid Ave Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $5,400 | $4.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 191 Madrid Ave Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $5,500 | $3.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $750 · $9,000/yr
- Likely covers
- internetcablelandscapingexterior maint.poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $489,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $489,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $489,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $489,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $489,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $499,800 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $499,800 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $499,800 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,800 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,800 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,800 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,800 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $499,900 830-char remark
-
2026-04-02price $514,800 830-char remark
-
2026-03-07price $514,900 830-char remark
-
2026-02-19$524,900 Active 830-char remark
-
2026-02-18historical $524,900 830-char remark
-
2026-02-17historical
-
2026-02-06price $524,900
-
2026-01-16price $529,900
-
2026-01-05$534,900 Active
-
2025-11-17soldstatus $362,000
-
2008-08-28soldstatus $279,000
-
2008-07-30historical
-
2008-07-25$279,000
-
2006-04-07historical
-
2006-04-07soldstatus $390,000
-
2006-03-10$439,900
-
1986-10-31soldstatus $155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,057 · $421/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,057 · $421/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,992
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,442
- − Property taxes
- −$5,057
- − Insurance
- −$2,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,879
- − Management
- −$4,879
- − HOA
- −$9,000
- − Depreciation
- −$14,252
- Taxable loss
- −$6,967
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,672
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Desert
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1050
- US rank
- #25164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Desert, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 58,615
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,523
- Household income
- $70,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1734.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -364.94%
- Current HPI
- 294.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+216.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $489,900 CRMLS
- 2026-06-16 Coming Soon $489,900 CRMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $489,900 CRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $499,800 CRMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $499,900 CRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $514,800 CRMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $514,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $524,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Coming Soon — CRMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $524,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $529,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $534,900 CRMLS
- 2025-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $362,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $279,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-30 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2008-07-25 Listed $279,000 GPSMLS
- 2006-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $390,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-07 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2006-03-10 Listed $439,900 GPSMLS
- 1986-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,057 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…