10408 Highway 2301 · Panama City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Pond
- Private kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No recorded subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Electric service; Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Contemporary style; 2 stories; Residency zoned for single-family
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1978
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first and second levels; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one on the first floor; two on the second floor)
- Flooring: Tile flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 bathrooms total — 2 full baths and 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (20.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (40.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Waller Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 439 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.97%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $152,814
- Equity at exit
- $292,786
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.15×
- Total profit
- $468,514
- Equity at exit
- $631,404
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32466
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,920 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $650/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $-377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-193 | -5% $-285 | +0% $-377 | +5% $-841 | +10% $-954 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-529 | -5% $-453 | +0% $-377 | +5% $-301 | +10% $-225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-213 | -0.5pp $-294 | base $-377 | +0.5pp $-461 | +1.0pp $-547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending 1309-char remark
Show marketing remark (1309 chars)
3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.
-
2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-05-16status Active 1309-char remark
Show marketing remark (1309 chars)
3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-02status Pending 1309-char remark
Show marketing remark (1309 chars)
3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.
-
2026-04-23$325,000 Active
-
2026-04-22$325,000 Active 1309-char remark
Show marketing remark (1309 chars)
3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,698 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,047/yr (+$171/mo · 315.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$650
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,844
- − Management
- −$1,844
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$10,578
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,539
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 91,445
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,837
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.68%
- Current HPI
- 274.7988
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — ECAR
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — ECAR
- 2026-05-02 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $325,000 ECAR
- 2026-04-22 Listed $325,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $650 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…