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10408 Highway 2301
D Composite 40.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0

$325,000

10408 Highway 2301 · Panama City, FL 32466
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,586 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1978 2.98 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.

Key facts

  • Full kitchen
  • Pond
  • Private kitchen

Tags

3 ACRESTWO SEPARATE LIVING AREASFULL KITCHENPRIVATE KITCHENDETACHED METAL BUILDINGPOND

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No recorded subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Utilities: Electric service; Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Contemporary style; 2 stories; Residency zoned for single-family
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1978
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first and second levels; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one on the first floor; two on the second floor)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 bathrooms total — 2 full baths and 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (20.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (40.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Waller Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 439 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,033 (40.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.97%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
14.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$152,814
Equity at exit
$292,786
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
6.15×
Total profit
$468,514
Equity at exit
$631,404

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32466

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
14.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,920 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $650/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$-377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,397
Max offer price $258,426
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-193 -5% $-285 +0% $-377 +5% $-841 +10% $-954
Rent -10% $-529 -5% $-453 +0% $-377 +5% $-301 +10% $-225
Rate -1.0pp $-213 -0.5pp $-294 base $-377 +0.5pp $-461 +1.0pp $-547

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 1309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1309 chars)

    3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.

  2. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  3. 2026-05-16
    status Active 1309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1309 chars)

    3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.

  4. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  5. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 1309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1309 chars)

    3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.

  6. 2026-04-23
    listed $325,000 Active
  7. 2026-04-22
    listed $325,000 Active 1309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1309 chars)

    3 Acres! Private, quiet, and built to last, this one-owner home on 3 acres is anything but ordinary. From the moment you arrive, the unique blend of retro character and modern design sets this property apart with a style you don't see every day. Inside, the layout is thoughtfully designed with two completely separate living areas. The main level features a full kitchen, living area, and one bedroom, while the upper level offers its own private kitchen, living space, and two bedrooms--making it ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or added flexibility for rental or private use. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new roof (Feb 2024), HVAC (2022), and fresh interior paint (April 2026). Step outside and enjoy the full potential of this 3-acre property, complete with a pond, wide open space, and no HOA--giving you the freedom to expand, add a pool, or create your own homestead. There's plenty of room for animals, gardening, or simply enjoying the privacy. A standout feature is the 1,000 sq ft detached metal building, fully powered, insulated, and equipped with water and a roll-up bay door--perfect for a workshop, business use, or storage for boats, RVs, and more. If you're looking for space, functionality, and a property with true versatility, this one delivers.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$650 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,698 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$2,047/yr (+$171/mo · 315.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,044
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$650
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,844
− Management
−$1,844
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$10,578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,539
After-tax cash flow
$-1,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City

Score
72/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#5823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
91,445
Population (ZIP)
5,837

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.68%
Current HPI
274.7988
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted ECAR
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending ECAR
  • 2026-05-02 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $325,000 ECAR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $325,000 CPARMLS

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $650 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…