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91 Cheyenne Ln
B- Composite 68.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,500

91 Cheyenne Ln · Mahoning, PA 18235
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 94 Days on market
Built 1986 871 sqft lot $54/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to affordable living! This single wide home boasts a large living room with tons of natural light and an open concept feel! There are two bedrooms and a large, completely renovated bathroom. Off street parking for convenience and 10 minutes from major roadways, shopping, restaurants and more! Located between historic Jim Thorpe, Beltzville Lake and Blue Mountain Ski Area. Contact community management and local municipality regarding long and short term rental opportunities. For community residents, the park has a pavilion, pond and basketball court! Schedule your showing for this home today!

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Beltzville lake
  • Historic jim thorpe

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMCOMPLETELY RENOVATED BATHROOMOFF STREET PARKINGHISTORIC JIM THORPEBELTZVILLE LAKEBLUE MOUNTAIN SKI AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lehighton Area SD (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #336 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $44,135 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
17.82%
Cash-on-cash
41.16%
DSCR
2.83
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,171
List price
$48,500
Delta
-53.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
58 Shawnee Ln 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (+9%) 9mo $45,000 $46 70
40 Apache Ln 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (+9%) 4mo $55,000 $56 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.7%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$21,805
Equity at exit
$7,232
10-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
5.21×
Total profit
$57,173
Equity at exit
$4,193

Cash invested: $13,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18235

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$254
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $359/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $385
Max offer price $48,500
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,125
Closing costs
$1,455
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
318 Bridge St Unit A Weissport, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 2d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $48,500 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $48,500 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $48,500 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,500 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $48,500 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $48,500 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $48,500 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $48,500 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $48,500 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $48,500 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $48,500 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $48,500 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $48,500 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $48,500 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-03-16
    listed $50,000 Active 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Welcome to affordable living! This single wide home boasts a large living room with tons of natural light and an open concept feel! There are two bedrooms and a large, completely renovated bathroom. Off street parking for 2 cars and 10 minutes from major roadways, shopping, restaurants and more! Located between historic Jim Thorpe, Beltzville Lake and Blue Mountain Ski Area. Contact community management and local municipality regarding long and short term rental opportunities. Schedule your showing for this home today!

  16. 2026-03-16
    listed $50,000 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Welcome to affordable living! This single wide home boasts a large living room with tons of natural light and an open concept feel! There are two bedrooms and a large, completely renovated bathroom. Off street parking for 2 cars and 10 minutes from major roadways, shopping, restaurants and more! Located between historic Jim Thorpe, Beltzville Lake and Blue Mountain Ski Area. Contact community management and local municipality regarding long and short term rental opportunities. Schedule your showing for this home today!

  17. 2025-05-09
    historical
  18. 2025-05-08
    historical
  19. 2025-04-09
    listed $50,000 Active
  20. 2025-04-01
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$359 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$562 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$204/yr (+$17/mo · 56.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,700
− Mortgage interest
−$2,717
− Property taxes
−$359
− Insurance
−$242
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$1,411
Taxable income
$5,099
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,224
After-tax cash flow
$4,366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lehighton Area SD
NCES district ID
4213500
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$51,115
Composite
35.36/100
National rank
#4958
State rank
#336 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mahoning

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
19,121

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.77%
Current HPI
187.4645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $50,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-08 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-01 Listed $50,000 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $359 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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