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2890 Fm 1131
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,649

2890 Fm 1131 · Pine Forest, TX 77662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,734 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 465 Days on market
Built 1964 1.12 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OVER AN ACRE! Welcome to this charming brick home boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2-car garage, ideally situated in the prime location of Vidor, TX. Enjoy the tranquility of a peaceful and quiet community while still being close enough to the city to access its amenities with ease. Conveniently located with easy access to all necessities, this home offers the best of both worlds. You'll also appreciate the proximity to Houston and Lake Charles, LA, as well as the beauty of the nearby Neches River. Just a 25-minute drive to Beaumont, TX, you'll have everything you need within reach. Sold "As Is," this property presents an excellent opportunity for customization and personalization. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • 1.12 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1964

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.3% in Pine Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#659 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $758 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 465 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,491 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 465 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.72%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$15,984
Equity at exit
$16,349
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$57,341
Equity at exit
$9,480

Cash invested: $30,702 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77662

Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,554 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$575
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $920/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$530

Break-even live

Break-even rent $883
Max offer price $109,649
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,412
Closing costs
$3,289
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,649 Active 465 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,649 Active 464 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,649 Active 463 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,649 Active 462 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,649 Active 460 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,649 Active 457 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,649 Active 456 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,649 Active 455 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,649 Active 454 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,649 Active 450 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,649 Active 449 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,649 Active 448 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,649 Active 447 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,649 Active 446 DOM
  15. 2026-02-19
    price $109,649 928-char remark
    Show marketing remark (928 chars)

    OVER AN ACRE! Welcome to this charming brick home boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2-car garage, ideally situated in the prime location of Vidor, TX. Enjoy the tranquility of a peaceful and quiet community while still being close enough to the city to access its amenities with ease. Conveniently located with easy access to all necessities, this home offers the best of both worlds. You'll also appreciate the proximity to Houston and Lake Charles, LA, as well as the beauty of the nearby Neches River. Just a 25-minute drive to Beaumont, TX, you'll have everything you need within reach. Sold "As Is," this property presents an excellent opportunity for customization and personalization. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

  16. 2025-05-25
    price $116,649 928-char remark
    Show marketing remark (928 chars)

    OVER AN ACRE! Welcome to this charming brick home boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2-car garage, ideally situated in the prime location of Vidor, TX. Enjoy the tranquility of a peaceful and quiet community while still being close enough to the city to access its amenities with ease. Conveniently located with easy access to all necessities, this home offers the best of both worlds. You'll also appreciate the proximity to Houston and Lake Charles, LA, as well as the beauty of the nearby Neches River. Just a 25-minute drive to Beaumont, TX, you'll have everything you need within reach. Sold "As Is," this property presents an excellent opportunity for customization and personalization. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

  17. 2025-03-10
    listed $120,649 Active 928-char remark
    Show marketing remark (928 chars)

    OVER AN ACRE! Welcome to this charming brick home boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2-car garage, ideally situated in the prime location of Vidor, TX. Enjoy the tranquility of a peaceful and quiet community while still being close enough to the city to access its amenities with ease. Conveniently located with easy access to all necessities, this home offers the best of both worlds. You'll also appreciate the proximity to Houston and Lake Charles, LA, as well as the beauty of the nearby Neches River. Just a 25-minute drive to Beaumont, TX, you'll have everything you need within reach. Sold "As Is," this property presents an excellent opportunity for customization and personalization. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

  18. 2022-05-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$920 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,007 · $167/mo
Expected delta
+$1,086/yr (+$91/mo · 118.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,646
− Mortgage interest
−$6,142
− Property taxes
−$920
− Insurance
−$548
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,492
− Management
−$1,492
− Depreciation
−$3,190
Taxable income
$4,862
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,167
After-tax cash flow
$5,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vidor ISD
NCES district ID
4844160
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,169
Composite
33.95/100
National rank
#5331
State rank
#422 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pine Forest

Score
65/100
State rank
#659
US rank
#12393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Orange County · 87,112 people
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,041
Household income
$72,243
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
401.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.46%
Current HPI
141.0844
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $109,649 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-25 Price Changed $116,649 HARMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $120,649 HARMLS
  • 2022-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $920 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…