4216 Hampshire Blvd · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 1 bath home in Fort Worth. Detached garage, 2 carports. Investor Property.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($704/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sagamore Hill El (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,167 of 4,322 statewide, top 97%, 406 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 73% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.68%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,502
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4056 Hampshire Blvd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+1%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $179 | 77 |
| 4305 Panola Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+3%) | 9mo | $194,999 | $139 | 74 |
| 4133 Ave H | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-2%) | 4mo | $252,500 | $189 | 66 |
| 908 Clairemont Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,243 (-8%) | 7mo | $209,999 | $169 | 62 |
| 2509 N Ayers Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (-0%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $100 | 59 |
| 1408 S Edgewood Ter | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (+4%) | 5mo | $309,900 | $220 | 58 |
| 3916 Avenue H | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,408 (+4%) | 7mo | $159,000 | $113 | 49 |
| 4204 Avenue H | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-14%) | 6mo | $229,900 | $196 | 45 |
| 1700 S Edgewood Ter | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,521 (+12%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $148 | 44 |
| 2612 Forby Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-12%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $167 | 44 |
| 1616 Lindsey St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+13%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $216 | 34 |
| 4509 Morris Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (+15%) | 6mo | $249,000 | $160 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-20,432
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-12,423
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76103
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$371 /mo · $4,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $144 | -5% $101 | +0% $59 | +5% $16 | +10% $-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-69 | -5% $-5 | +0% $59 | +5% $123 | +10% $187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $134 | -0.5pp $97 | base $59 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 Clairemont Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 501 S Edgewood Ter Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,575 | $1.77 | 14d | 10 | 0.51mi |
| 3921 Avenue H Unit H Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4761 E Lancaster Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,500 | $2.10 | 0d | 8 | 0.71mi |
| 2112 Ederville Rd S Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,795 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4909 E Lancaster Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,225 | $2.32 | 0d | 12 | 0.81mi |
| 4900 Morris Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 8d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3731 Avenue M Unit M Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1007 Tierney Rd Unit 1007 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3816 Avenue N Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1820 Oakland Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,775 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4929 Willie St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,650 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4929 Willie St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,650 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5200 E Lancaster Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 799 | $1,575 | $1.97 | 0d | 12 | 1.08mi |
| 4312 Lorin Ave Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2500 S Edgewood Ter Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1123 | $1,895 | $1.69 | 3d | 34 | 1.09mi |
| 3302 Avenue H Unit 3300 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3300 Avenue H Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2701 Vogt St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3100 Avenue G Unit G Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3100 Avenue G Unit 200 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3140 View St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1578 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5308 Norma St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5317 Purington Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2128 R. W. Bivens Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,615 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2909 Avenue K Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $700 | $0.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2912 Avenue K Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2839 Avenue J Unit J Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,455 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2837 Avenue J Unit J Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,455 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5433 Purington Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,850 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1810 Wiseman Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4413 Menzer Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,050 | $1.43 | 8d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2024-03-18status Pending
-
2024-03-07historical Active Option Contract
-
2024-03-04$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,448 · $371/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,448 · $371/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,448
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,554
- − Management
- −$1,554
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,651
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Worth ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,109
- Composite
- 19.61/100
- National rank
- #8753
- State rank
- #742 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,975
- Household income
- $60,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 466.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 31% White 21% Black 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 46% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.72%
- Current HPI
- 315.0201
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2024-03-18 Pending — NTREIS
- 2024-03-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-03-04 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,448 · +144.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…