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421 Hollywood Dr Duplex
C- Composite 50.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$221,000

421 Hollywood Dr · Jackson, TN 38301
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,768 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1935 9,583 sqft lot Est $179k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

Key facts

  • Modern tiled showers
  • Turnkey duplex
  • Open concept layout

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING DUPLEXSHORT TERM RENTAL READYTURNKEY DUPLEXOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENSMODERN TILED SHOWERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned 08 - Commercial Residential Building
  • Financial info: Two units (duplex) with listed rents showing $1,500 for one unit and $3,000 total

Exterior

  • Parking: Four open asphalt parking spaces; RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water and sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential income duplex; One level / single-story; Entry at main level; Composition roof
  • Construction: Block, brick, and wood siding construction; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Raised block foundation; Built with composition roofing
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Sloped lot; Asphalt road frontage on a public maintained city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Laminate counters; Open floor plan; Aluminum window frames
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $221k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $261/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $221k).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,463/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $221k implies a 489% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,110 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.11%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,568
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Laurel Ln 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,980 (+12%) 7mo $200,000 $101 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,917
Equity at exit
$32,952
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$68,995
Equity at exit
$19,108

Cash invested: $61,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38301

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
15.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,463 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,159
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,080/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$517
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,803
Max offer price $221,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $647 -5% $584 +0% $521 +5% $459 +10% $396
Rent -10% $327 -5% $424 +0% $521 +5% $619 +10% $716
Rate -1.0pp $633 -0.5pp $578 base $521 +0.5pp $464 +1.0pp $406

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,463

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,250
Closing costs
$6,630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Jackson Walk Plz Jackson, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1082 $2,600 $2.40 44d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $221,000 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $221,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $221,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $221,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $221,000 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $221,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $221,000 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $221,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $221,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $221,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $221,000 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $221,000 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $221,000 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $221,000 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $221,000 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $221,000 Active 95 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $221,000 Active 94 DOM
  18. 2026-02-24
    listed $221,000 Active
  19. 2025-07-15
    price $250,000
  20. 2025-05-14
    price $260,000
  21. 2023-04-19
    soldstatus $37,500
  22. 2023-04-17
    soldstatus $37,500 Closed 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

  23. 2023-03-30
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

  24. 2023-03-15
    status Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

  25. 2023-03-05
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

  26. 2023-03-01
    price $39,000 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

  27. 2023-01-05
    listed $44,000 Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    Investment Opportunity in the LANA area of Jackson. Duplex with two one bedroom one bath apartments. Left Unit has hardwood floors in 3 of the 4 living areas. Right unit has hardwood floors in one of the 4 living areas. Needs bathrooms and kitchens rebuilt and some TLC. Great opportunity for the right investor. Call your favorite realtor today and take a look for yourself.

  28. 2022-08-11
    soldstatus $30,000
  29. 2022-07-29
    listed $55,000
  30. 2003-07-16
    soldstatus $11,500
  31. 2002-06-11
    soldstatus $11,500
  32. 2000-09-27
    soldstatus $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,080 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,080 · $173/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,556
− Mortgage interest
−$12,379
− Property taxes
−$2,080
− Insurance
−$1,105
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,364
− Management
−$2,364
− Depreciation
−$6,429
Taxable income
$2,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$680
After-tax cash flow
$5,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
4702580
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,015
Composite
11.74/100
National rank
#9687
State rank
#131 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jackson

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, TN
County
Madison County · 87,024 people
City population
87,024
Metro
Jackson, TN
Population (ZIP)
33,536
Household income
$43,227
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,952 people
By 2030
94,264 · -1.8%
By 2040
89,607 · -6.6%
By 2050
84,133 · -12.3%
By 2075
72,215 · -24.7%
By 2100
62,062 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.26%
Current HPI
162.2273
Rent YoY
▲ 5.19%
Metro
Jackson, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+76.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $221,000 CWTAR
  • 2025-07-15 Price Changed $250,000 CWTAR
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $260,000 CWTAR
  • 2023-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
  • 2023-04-17 Sold (MLS) $37,500 CWTAR
  • 2023-03-30 Pending CWTAR
  • 2023-03-15 Relisted CWTAR
  • 2023-03-05 Pending CWTAR
  • 2023-03-01 Price Changed $39,000 CWTAR
  • 2023-01-05 Listed $44,000 CWTAR
  • 2022-08-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CWTAR
  • 2022-07-29 Listed $55,000 CWTAR
  • 2003-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
  • 2002-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
  • 2000-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,080 · +177.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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