10132 Northview Dr · West Tawakoni, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled near the shores of Lake Tawakoni this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has great potential to be transformed into your lake house, retirement home or investment property. Located on two wooded lots in Panorama Estates, this property is just a short stroll to picturesque Lake Tawakoni for easy access to fishing, boating, and scenic trails. This home is a rare find so seize the chance to shape it into your personalized haven. Lot size is for both lots. Property sold as is.
Key facts
- Boating
- Scenic trails
- Two wooded lots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Deed restrictions apply; Property located on or near Lake Tawakoni; Lot soil type: Sandy loam; Lot size approximately 0.29 acre; Will not subdivide
- Financial info: Acceptable financing: Cash or Conventional; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual HOA fee of $280; HOA covers full use of facilities; HOA managed by Panorama LOA
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No covered or carport spaces; Off-street parking on unpaved surface; parking outside
- Utilities: Co-op water; Septic system; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Multi-parcel (multiple parcel IDs)
- Construction: Built in 2000; Wood construction; Shingle roof; Preowned
- Exterior features: Heavily wooded lot; Sloped terrain; Subdivision setting; Utilities easement present; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level) — Primary bedroom and one additional bedroom; Living room dimensions 15 x 24; Primary bedroom dimensions 12 x 13; Second bedroom dimensions 10 x 15
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; Total of 3 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No specified laundry appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $774 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 4.6% in West Tawakoni — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,337 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Quinlan ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #610 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: D C Cannon El (765 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 284 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.29%
- DSCR
- 3.68
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,096
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10180 Torama | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 1,360 (+5%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $26 | 87 |
| 10030 Brinwood Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 9mo | $485,000 | $361 | 57 |
| 9952 Briar Cv | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,438 (+11%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $170 | 51 |
| 10095 Comanche | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,225 (-6%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 9995 Brinwood Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 24mo | $169,900 | $126 | 42 |
| 10032 Brinwood Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 8mo | $475,000 | $424 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $40,449
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 63.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $99,022
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75169
- Home prices YoY
- -15.4%
- Active inventory
- 284
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,588 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,758/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$23
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $774
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3189 Timberwild Wills Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10481 Private Road 3709 #11 Wills Point, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,500 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9874 Lake Shore Dr Wills Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 10081 Jacobs Ln Wills Point, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,390 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $23 · $276/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18status $55,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,758 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,758 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,758
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,525
- − Management
- −$1,525
- − HOA
- −$276
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $9,017
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,164
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,120/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quinlan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4836240
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,461
- Composite
- 26.16/100
- National rank
- #7271
- State rank
- #610 of 826 in TX
Livability — West Tawakoni
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1337
- US rank
- #23022
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,744
Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,090 people
- By 2030
- 100,452 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 106,544 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 111,218 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 121,695 · +25.3%
- By 2100
- 123,683 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.68%
- Current HPI
- 250.2271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,758 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…