1610 Kalamath St · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Forney’s sought-after Travis Ranch community, where modern comfort meets everyday convenience. This beautifully maintained home features an open-concept layout filled with natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The spacious kitchen offers ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a seamless flow into the living and dining areas. The private primary suite provides a peaceful retreat with an ensuite bath and walk-in closet, while additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Enjoy a large backyard with room to play, garden, or unwind under the Texas sky. Conveniently located near comm
Key facts
- Community amenities
- Spacious kitchen
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash, Contact Agent, Conventional
- HOA & community: Mandatory association managed by Essex Association Management; Association fee $450 annually (includes management fees)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Garage faces front
- Security: Audio and video recording permitted for visitors
- Utilities: Electricity available; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Preowned (built 2023)
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 2023
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.5 acre; Subdivision: Travis Ranch Marina Lts #3; Directions available
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Tankless water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; One living area; One dining area; Room count: 3
- Laundry & utility: Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2179 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.72%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,330
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1610 Kalamath St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (0%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $159 | 100 |
| 2022 Placerville St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-4%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $213 | 81 |
| 1120 Norias Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (+5%) | 5mo | $249,000 | $167 | 69 |
| 2340 Neff Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (0%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $190 | 68 |
| 2041 Henrietta Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+10%) | 2mo | $240,900 | $154 | 66 |
| 1721 Ackerly Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+4%) | 8mo | $239,900 | $163 | 66 |
| 2119 Milligan St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+13%) | 7mo | $312,986 | $195 | 62 |
| 1719 Ackerly Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (+9%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $169 | 60 |
| 2346 Neff Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (+5%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $189 | 58 |
| 1413 Ganado Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,213 (-14%) | 4mo | $224,500 | $185 | 56 |
| 2124 Hobby Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+8%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $144 | 50 |
| 2326 Mount Olive Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,574 (+11%) | 6mo | $299,900 | $191 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-48,736
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -22.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-66,806
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2179
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,668/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$38
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $-143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1427 Ganado Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $2,095 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1427 Ganado Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,995 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1804 Arcola Ct Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1619 | $1,895 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1804 Arcola Ct Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1619 | $1,895 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1606 Governors Blvd Heath, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $3,000 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1622 Governors Blvd Heath, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2143 Erika Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1004 Trickham Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $2,350 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1037 Johnson City Ave Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,895 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1037 Johnson City Ave Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,895 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2010 Diamondback Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,099 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1031 Johnson City Ave Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,950 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2047 Enchanted Rock Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2014 Zavala Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2117 Silsbee Ct Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5693 McClelland St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1685 | $1,839 | $1.09 | 7d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5661 McClelland St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5529 McClelland St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5529 McClelland St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5537 Berea St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,785 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5516 Berea St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 300 Rush Creek Dr Unit A-2 Heath, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1452 | $2,750 | $1.89 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $38 · $456/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-17$225,000 Active
-
2025-10-03historical
-
2025-05-14price $320,000
-
2025-04-25price $325,000
-
2025-04-12$330,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,668 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,668 · $556/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,199
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$6,668
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,096
- − Management
- −$2,096
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$5,392
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $-418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained single-family home in Travis Ranch offers a good condition with a good condition score of 80. It features an open-concept layout, modern kitchen, and good curb appeal. The home is in good condition and ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the home.
- Both Replace the front landscaping — Improves curb appeal and adds value to the home.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the home. ↑
- Both Replace the front landscaping — Improves curb appeal and adds value to the home. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-31.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-03 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $320,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-25 Price Changed $325,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-12 Listed $330,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+64.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,668 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…