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2005 Durham Ave 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 46.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0

$231,000

2005 Durham Ave · Wolfforth, TX 79382
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · Land · 4 Days on market
Built 2026 5,445 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Open-concept design
  • Bright kitchen

Tags

BRICK EXTERIORCOVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGBRIGHT KITCHENGRANITE OR QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: City-maintained paved street; Lot in a subdivided city lot (approx. 0.13 acres); Zoned for single-family

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; New construction; Single-story; Entry level: 1; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Built with brick; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Front porch; Rear porch; Fenced backyard (wood)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Pantry; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $231k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (10.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (29.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#43 in TX, #1,872 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Upland Heights El (math 49% / reading 55%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 840 students, 46% FRL); Frenship Middle (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 833 students, 47% FRL); Frenship H S (math 44% / reading 65%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 3,247 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $164,125 (29.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.43%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$117,402
Equity at exit
$208,103
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$352,121
Equity at exit
$448,782

Cash invested: $64,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79382

Active inventory
474
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,641 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,211
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,436/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$-131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,807
Max offer price $207,902
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $0 -5% $-65 +0% $-131 +5% $-196 +10% $-262
Rent -10% $-260 -5% $-196 +0% $-131 +5% $-66 +10% $-1
Rate -1.0pp $-14 -0.5pp $-72 base $-131 +0.5pp $-191 +1.0pp $-252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,750
Closing costs
$6,930
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2008 Cottonwood Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,810 $1.25 45d 1 0.08mi
2006 Corpus Ave Unit A Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,425 $1.17 15d 1 0.09mi
2304 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,425 $1.08 45d 1 0.10mi
2001 Corpus Ave Unit 2001 B Corpus Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,500 $1.11 23d 1 0.12mi
2001 Corpus Ave Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,500 $1.14 15d 1 0.12mi
1817 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,600 $1.14 15d 1 0.13mi
2008 Bryan Ave Unit Harvest-2008 A Bryan Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,400 $1.14 45d 1 0.14mi
2011 Bryan Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 45d 1 0.17mi
2001 Bryan Ave Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,400 $1.03 45d 1 0.18mi
407 E 21st St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,399 $1.03 23d 1 0.19mi
2418 Aberdeen Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,799 $1.24 45d 1 0.20mi
2408 Aberdeen Ave Wolfforth, TX 4.0 2.0 1703 $2,100 $1.23 23d 1 0.20mi
1712 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 2.0 2.0 1335 $1,375 $1.03 45d 1 0.21mi
723 E 17th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1670 $1,800 $1.08 45d 1 0.22mi
304 E 19th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 15d 1 0.34mi
1313 Corpus Ave Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,850 $1.19 15d 1 0.43mi
611 E 14th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1299 $1,725 $1.33 45d 1 0.55mi
2916 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1657 $1,800 $1.09 45d 1 0.56mi
215 14th St Wolfforth, TX 4.0 3.0 1850 $2,200 $1.19 15d 1 0.61mi
811 11th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1523 $1,595 $1.05 45d 1 1.08mi
127 Brooke Blvd Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.5 1714 $1,757 $1.03 15d 2 1.14mi
906 11th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1731 $2,000 $1.16 45d 1 1.19mi
7510 102nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1503 $1,600 $1.06 45d 1 1.34mi
7449 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,625 $1.10 23d 1 1.36mi
7456 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,700 $1.16 45d 1 1.36mi
7440 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1578 $1,600 $1.01 15d 1 1.41mi
7424 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1598 $1,750 $1.10 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $231,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 693-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on marketlisting id $231,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $231,000 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $231,000 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $231,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $231,000 Active 130 DOM
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,960 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,960 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,960 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,960 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $240,960 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,960 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,960 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,960 Active 119 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,960 Active 118 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $240,960 Active 117 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $240,960 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  19. 2026-05-04
    status Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  20. 2026-04-29
    historical 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  21. 2026-04-16
    status Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  22. 2026-04-16
    historical 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  23. 2026-04-13
    price $232,060 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  24. 2026-03-06
    price $225,060 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  25. 2026-02-12
    price $224,780 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  26. 2026-02-03
    price $219,780 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  27. 2026-01-27
    status Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  28. 2026-01-27
    historical 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

  29. 2026-01-26
    listed $219,730 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    The 1,350 square-foot Regan floor plan is a smart layout with inviting spaces that carry from indoors to out. Brick exterior with double columns and covered front porchLuxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen peninsula with bar seatingStainless steel appliancesEnclosed pantryPrivate primary suite with walk-in closetCovered back patio

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,436 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,227 · $352/mo
Expected delta
+$2,791/yr (+$233/mo · 194.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,695
− Mortgage interest
−$12,940
− Property taxes
−$1,436
− Insurance
−$1,155
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,576
− Management
−$1,576
− Depreciation
−$6,720
Taxable loss
−$5,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,370
After-tax cash flow
$-199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frenship ISD
NCES district ID
4819830
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,376
Composite
43.59/100
National rank
#2976
State rank
#162 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wolfforth

Score
80/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolfforth, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
10,512
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,512
Household income
$84,457
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
135.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 166.08%
Current HPI
561.4491
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $231,000 LARMLS
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $231,000 Zillow
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $240,960 Zillow
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-29 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-16 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $232,060 Zillow
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $225,060 Zillow
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $224,780 Zillow
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $219,780 Zillow
  • 2026-01-27 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-01-27 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $219,730 Zillow

Property tax history

+51.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,436 · +51.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…