1669 N Grandview Church Rd · Cecilia, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$88,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the peaceful countryside of Cecilia, this rustic 3-bedroom, 2 full bath one-story ranch offers endless potential on a beautiful 1-acre lot. Built in 1975, this 1,248 sq ft home is ready for your vision and updates — a TRUE fixer-upper with exciting possibilities await with your touch of some TLC & elbow grease. Step outside and enjoy the spacious side and backyard featuring mature trees, partial fencing, and plenty of room to garden, play, or expand. The property includes a detached 2-car garage, two additional small outbuildings for storage or workshop space, and a sun porch that would be perfect for relaxing and taking in the country views after a little makeover. A wheelchair ramp is already in place for added accessibility. Whether you're looking for an investment opportunity, a renovation project, or a chance to create your own peaceful retreat, this property offers rural charm with room to grow. Bring your ideas and make it your own!
Key facts
- Sun porch
- Partial fencing
- Small outbuildings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Cleared, level 1-acre lot; Full yard fencing
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars; Driveway; Front entry
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Propane
- Home design: Single-family ranch home; One story; Built in 1975
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Concrete block foundation
- Exterior features: Handicap provisions
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air and radiant heating (electric and propane); Central air conditioning; One HVAC unit
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#343 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: housing D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $612 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $88k implies a 205% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.00%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,635
- Equity at exit
- $15,992
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $40,303
- Equity at exit
- $12,543
Cash invested: $24,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42724
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,152 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$464
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $694/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $401 | -5% $376 | +0% $351 | +5% $326 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $260 | -5% $306 | +0% $351 | +5% $397 | +10% $442 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $396 | -0.5pp $374 | base $351 | +0.5pp $328 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,125
- Closing costs
- $2,655
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-02-25$88,800 Active 976-char remark
Show marketing remark (976 chars)
Nestled in the peaceful countryside of Cecilia, this rustic 3-bedroom, 2 full bath one-story ranch offers endless potential on a beautiful 1-acre lot. Built in 1975, this 1,248 sq ft home is ready for your vision and updates — a TRUE fixer-upper with exciting possibilities await with your touch of some TLC & elbow grease. Step outside and enjoy the spacious side and backyard featuring mature trees, partial fencing, and plenty of room to garden, play, or expand. The property includes a detached 2-car garage, two additional small outbuildings for storage or workshop space, and a sun porch that would be perfect for relaxing and taking in the country views after a little makeover. A wheelchair ramp is already in place for added accessibility. Whether you're looking for an investment opportunity, a renovation project, or a chance to create your own peaceful retreat, this property offers rural charm with room to grow. Bring your ideas and make it your own!
-
2026-02-24$88,500 Active
-
2025-10-10soldstatus $29,000 Closed 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
This home to be sold by McBride Auctions via online auction. The link can be found here: mcbrideauctions. hibid.com Any broker bringing and registering a successful buyer prior to auction will be entitled to 2 percent co-op commission payable at closing. Broker cannot be the buyer and broker can't register another broker to claim commission. Seller/Guardian has not lived in the home and knows no details about the home. This home belonged to a family member. All questions regarding the property should be directed to Sean McBride, Principal Auctioneer, McBride Auctions at 502-807-2706
-
2025-09-11price $29,000 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
This home to be sold by McBride Auctions via online auction. The link can be found here: mcbrideauctions. hibid.com Any broker bringing and registering a successful buyer prior to auction will be entitled to 2 percent co-op commission payable at closing. Broker cannot be the buyer and broker can't register another broker to claim commission. Seller/Guardian has not lived in the home and knows no details about the home. This home belonged to a family member. All questions regarding the property should be directed to Sean McBride, Principal Auctioneer, McBride Auctions at 502-807-2706
-
2025-08-25$20,000 Active 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
This home to be sold by McBride Auctions via online auction. The link can be found here: mcbrideauctions. hibid.com Any broker bringing and registering a successful buyer prior to auction will be entitled to 2 percent co-op commission payable at closing. Broker cannot be the buyer and broker can't register another broker to claim commission. Seller/Guardian has not lived in the home and knows no details about the home. This home belonged to a family member. All questions regarding the property should be directed to Sean McBride, Principal Auctioneer, McBride Auctions at 502-807-2706
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $694 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $761 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 9.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,957
- − Property taxes
- −$694
- − Insurance
- −$442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,106
- − Management
- −$1,106
- − Depreciation
- −$2,575
- Taxable income
- $2,942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$706
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hardin County
- NCES district ID
- 2102490
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,728
- Composite
- 31.61/100
- National rank
- #5945
- State rank
- #47 of 165 in KY
Livability — Cecilia
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #16301
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,528
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,573 people
- By 2030
- 103,563 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 97,077 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 88,367 · -16.3%
- By 2075
- 65,405 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 42,245 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Pacific Islander 2% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Current HPI
- 267.4845
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+344.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $88,800 HKARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $88,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-10-10 Sold (MLS) $29,000 HKARMLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $29,000 HKARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $20,000 HKARMLS
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2025): $694 · +81.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…