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512 W 11th St
B Composite 74.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

512 W 11th St · Trenton, MO 64683
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,238 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1925 10,018 sqft lot Est $170k · 41% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Corner lot
  • Updated plumbing

Tags

CORNER LOTUPDATED PLUMBINGNEWER ROOFSPACIOUS PRIMARY RESIDENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 6.4% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#49 in MO, #3,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
  • Trenton R-IX (town): math 28% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #223 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grundy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grundy County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.85%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,088
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
512 W 11th St 0.00mi 5/1.0 2,238 (0%) 0mo $99,900 $45 100
421 W 12th St 0.11mi 5/2.0 2,460 (+10%) 9mo $49,900 $20 67
432 W Crowder Rd 0.19mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,500 (+12%) 1mo $109,000 $44 62
141 E 5th St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,288 (+2%) 18mo $194,900 $85 55
403 E 8th Ct 0.47mi 5/2.0 1,984 (-11%) 2mo $149,900 $76 54
501 Washington St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,932 (-14%) 10mo $199,900 $103 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$10,290
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$42,993
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64683

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,313 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $671/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $473 -5% $444 +0% $416 +5% $388 +10% $360
Rent -10% $312 -5% $364 +0% $416 +5% $468 +10% $520
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $441 base $416 +0.5pp $390 +1.0pp $364

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-03-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-20
    price $99,900
  3. 2026-03-02
    listed $104,900 Active
  4. 2026-02-05
    historical
  5. 2026-01-12
    price $129,900
  6. 2025-12-18
    listed $169,900 Active
  7. 2024-02-02
    soldstatus Closed 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  8. 2024-01-23
    status Pending 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  9. 2024-01-19
    status Active 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  10. 2024-01-14
    status Pending 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  11. 2024-01-10
    price $99,900 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  12. 2023-12-27
    price $109,900 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  13. 2023-11-21
    price $114,900 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

  14. 2023-11-06
    listed $119,900 Active 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Come and take a look at this remodeled 5 bedroom home! Situated on a secluded near quarter acre lot, this property is sure to impress. Downstairs you will find a stunning living room, with a convenient open-concept layout. On the main level there are two bedrooms as well as the bathroom. The kitchen is complete with a large sink, as well as concrete countertops. Also on the main level is a possible 6th non-conforming bedroom, that could alternatively be turned into a conformable sun room. Heading upstairs, you will find three additional bedrooms, as well as an impressive eight small closets for storage. Outside the property is tucked between a tree-line giving it a feeling of privacy. Additionally there is an inactive koi pond in the front yard that would be a great flower bed or garden. Come take a look at this spectacular property today!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$671 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$969 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$298/yr (+$25/mo · 44.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,760
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$671
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,261
− Management
−$1,261
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$3,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$856
After-tax cash flow
$4,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton R-IX
NCES district ID
2930360
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,586
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#6499
State rank
#223 of 324 in MO

Livability — Trenton

Score
76/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#3686

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trenton, MO
City population
7,648
Population (ZIP)
7,648

Population outlook (Grundy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,586 people
By 2030
9,298 · -3.0%
By 2040
8,783 · -8.4%
By 2050
8,262 · -13.8%
By 2075
7,011 · -26.9%
By 2100
5,650 · -41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grundy

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.6) · D 17.8% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -63.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.6 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+41.6 2008: R+30.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.24%
Current HPI
188.2901
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $99,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $104,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $129,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $169,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-02 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-23 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-19 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-14 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-10 Price Changed $99,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-27 Price Changed $109,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-21 Price Changed $114,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-06 Listed $119,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $671 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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