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11129 Pine Tree Ln
C+ Composite 63.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

11129 Pine Tree Ln · Bayonet Point, FL 34668
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1982 0.41 ac lot Est $66k · 45% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on a spacious 0.41-acre cul-de-sac lot, this inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath modular home offers a comfortable layout, and flexible living space. A covered front porch with a raised entry deck and accessibility ramp creates an inviting first impression as you arrive. Inside, the living room immediately opens with luxury vinyl flooring flowing throughout the main living areas, complemented by built-in shelving, front yard views, wood panel detailing along the lower walls, and ornamental wood corner accents and custom trim details that add warmth and character to the space. Further inside, the dining area continues the same flooring and is highlighted by a floor-to-ceiling window overlooking the backyard, while vaulted ceilings enhance the openness and natural light throughout the home. Nearby, the kitchen offers a practical and inviting layout with solid surface countertops, tiled walls, a dual sink positioned beneath a large window, ample built-in shelving, and a spacious walk-in pantry that provides excellent storage. Positioned to the right of the living room, the primary bedroom continues the same flooring and includes lots of space and a private en-suite bathroom featuring tile flooring, a pedestal vanity, multiple windows, and a walk-in shower. On the opposite side of the home, there is a second bedroom that is surrounded by abundant floor-to-ceiling windows that create a bright and airy atmosphere filled with natural light and relaxing outdoor views. Adding even more versatility to the property, an additional unpermitted block home is located on-site and can be used for storage, along with a separate shed that provides even more space for equipment, tools, or outdoor items. Located in Port Richey, this property is near Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park, where scenic coastal trails, kayaking routes, and natural springs provide opportunities for outdoor exploration; SunWest Park, featuring a freshwater lagoon, sandy beach areas, and water recreation; and Hudson Beach, known for its waterfront sunsets and relaxing Gulf views, creating a lifestyle that blends flexibility, comfort, and easy access to Florida's outdoor attractions.

Key facts

  • Cul-de-sac lot
  • Covered front porch
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

CUL-DE-SAC LOTCOVERED FRONT PORCHLUXURY VINYL FLOORINGBUILT-IN SHELVINGFLOOR-TO-CEILING WINDOWVAULTED CEILINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt; Zoning: RMH; Lot size approximately 0.41 acres (about 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre); Living area about 1,152 sq ft; Number of rooms: 3; Number of septics: 1; Directions: From US-19 & Ridge Rd go east on Ridge Rd, then left onto Pine Tree Ln; property on the right
  • HOA & community: No association; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available
  • Home design: Residential modular home; One story; Faces south; Completed condition; Foundation: Other
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Built with other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s); Other outbuilding(s); Cleared, landscaped yard with fruit and oak trees; Private lot on a cul-de-sac and dead-end street; Paved asphalt road, public maintained

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Water purifier
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface counters; Drapes
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer (appliance present)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 5.3% in Bayonet Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#485 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Gulf Highlands Elementary School (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 714 students, 89% FRL); Fivay High School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,610 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 48% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 577 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $95k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
14.56%
Cash-on-cash
29.53%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,664
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6530 Republic Dr 0.40mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,180 (+2%) 5mo $27,000 $23 68
6528 Roosevelt Dr 0.50mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+7%) 1mo $110,000 $89 59
6527 Eleanor Dr 0.37mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,032 (-10%) 10mo $59,000 $57 52
7200 Johnson Rd 0.47mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-6%) 17mo $148,000 $137 48
10819 Union Dr 0.41mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (+12%) 14mo $39,000 $30 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,258
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$6,427
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34668

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
577
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,534 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $236/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,246
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6731 Sandra Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 816 $1,575 $1.93 24d 1 0.18mi
10825 Scenic Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 1140 $1,450 $1.27 11d 1 0.29mi
7213 Seward Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 24d 1 0.34mi
11430 Rohrman Rd Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 5d 1 0.39mi
7202 Palisade Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1310 $1,100 $0.84 24d 1 0.40mi
11103 Harding Dr Unit 2 Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 760 $1,450 $1.91 20d 1 0.45mi
7520 Hawthorn Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1303 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 0.70mi
7520 Hawthorn Dr Unit NA Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1303 $1,900 $1.46 24d 1 0.70mi
7438 Coventry Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 985 $1,600 $1.62 12d 1 0.72mi
7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1446 $2,200 $1.52 24d 1 0.76mi
7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1446 $1,695 $1.17 20d 1 0.76mi
7539 Gulf Highlands Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 936 $1,550 $1.66 5d 1 0.86mi
7715 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,495 $1.38 4d 1 0.96mi
10401 Oleander Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 887 $1,250 $1.41 24d 1 0.98mi
10801 Oldham Rd Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1182 $1,500 $1.27 2d 1 1.04mi
11610 Meadow Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1128 $1,570 $1.39 12d 1 1.12mi
10802 Laburnum Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1002 $1,545 $1.54 24d 1 1.16mi
7839 Canna Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,450 $1.32 11d 1 1.17mi
10632 Laburnum Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1193 $1,583 $1.33 24d 1 1.19mi
8024 Las Cruces Ct Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1371 $1,900 $1.39 24d 1 1.21mi
12027 Hoosier Ct #203 Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,550 $1.41 24d 1 1.23mi
7040 Brentwood Dr Unit NA Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 880 $1,600 $1.82 20d 1 1.27mi
10502 Laburnum Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1002 $1,545 $1.54 24d 1 1.27mi
12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,495 $1.36 18d 1 1.27mi
12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,495 $1.36 24d 1 1.27mi
8161 Braddock Cir #1 Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,595 $1.59 18d 1 1.31mi
9926 Grace Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,442 $1.52 20d 4 1.37mi
9919 Aquarius Dr Unit 6 Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,440 $1.52 24d 1 1.37mi
9981 Eagles Point Cir #4 Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1320 $1,850 $1.40 24d 1 1.38mi
9826 Pocono St Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,650 $1.54 24d 1 1.38mi
9911 Aquarius Dr Unit 8 Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,440 $1.52 24d 1 1.39mi
9901 Aquarius Dr Unit 8 Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,440 $1.52 24d 1 1.41mi
9900 Grace Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 950 $1,763 $1.86 24d 1 1.42mi
9910 Island Harbor Dr Unit A Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1498 $2,500 $1.67 24d 1 1.42mi
7616 Danube Dr Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,350 $1.20 24d 1 1.44mi
12535 3rd Isle Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1389 $2,600 $1.87 24d 1 1.47mi
7602 Danube Dr Unit 7602 Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1125 $1,600 $1.42 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-05-14
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    Situated on a spacious 0.41-acre cul-de-sac lot, this inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath modular home offers a comfortable layout, and flexible living space. A covered front porch with a raised entry deck and accessibility ramp creates an inviting first impression as you arrive. Inside, the living room immediately opens with luxury vinyl flooring flowing throughout the main living areas, complemented by built-in shelving, front yard views, wood panel detailing along the lower walls, and ornamental wood corner accents and custom trim details that add warmth and character to the space. Further inside, the dining area continues the same flooring and is highlighted by a floor-to-ceiling window overlooking the backyard, while vaulted ceilings enhance the openness and natural light throughout the home. Nearby, the kitchen offers a practical and inviting layout with solid surface countertops, tiled walls, a dual sink positioned beneath a large window, ample built-in shelving, and a spacious walk-in pantry that provides excellent storage. Positioned to the right of the living room, the primary bedroom continues the same flooring and includes lots of space and a private en-suite bathroom featuring tile flooring, a pedestal vanity, multiple windows, and a walk-in shower. On the opposite side of the home, there is a second bedroom that is surrounded by abundant floor-to-ceiling windows that create a bright and airy atmosphere filled with natural light and relaxing outdoor views. Adding even more versatility to the property, an additional unpermitted block home is located on-site and can be used for storage, along with a separate shed that provides even more space for equipment, tools, or outdoor items. Located in Port Richey, this property is near Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park, where scenic coastal trails, kayaking routes, and natural springs provide opportunities for outdoor exploration; SunWest Park, featuring a freshwater lagoon, sandy beach areas, and water recreation; and Hudson Beach, known for its waterfront sunsets and relaxing Gulf views, creating a lifestyle that blends flexibility, comfort, and easy access to Florida's outdoor attractions.

  8. 2026-05-14
    listed $95,000 Active 2176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2176 chars)

    Situated on a spacious 0.41-acre cul-de-sac lot, this inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath modular home offers a comfortable layout, and flexible living space. A covered front porch with a raised entry deck and accessibility ramp creates an inviting first impression as you arrive. Inside, the living room immediately opens with luxury vinyl flooring flowing throughout the main living areas, complemented by built-in shelving, front yard views, wood panel detailing along the lower walls, and ornamental wood corner accents and custom trim details that add warmth and character to the space. Further inside, the dining area continues the same flooring and is highlighted by a floor-to-ceiling window overlooking the backyard, while vaulted ceilings enhance the openness and natural light throughout the home. Nearby, the kitchen offers a practical and inviting layout with solid surface countertops, tiled walls, a dual sink positioned beneath a large window, ample built-in shelving, and a spacious walk-in pantry that provides excellent storage. Positioned to the right of the living room, the primary bedroom continues the same flooring and includes lots of space and a private en-suite bathroom featuring tile flooring, a pedestal vanity, multiple windows, and a walk-in shower. On the opposite side of the home, there is a second bedroom that is surrounded by abundant floor-to-ceiling windows that create a bright and airy atmosphere filled with natural light and relaxing outdoor views. Adding even more versatility to the property, an additional unpermitted block home is located on-site and can be used for storage, along with a separate shed that provides even more space for equipment, tools, or outdoor items. Located in Port Richey, this property is near Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park, where scenic coastal trails, kayaking routes, and natural springs provide opportunities for outdoor exploration; SunWest Park, featuring a freshwater lagoon, sandy beach areas, and water recreation; and Hudson Beach, known for its waterfront sunsets and relaxing Gulf views, creating a lifestyle that blends flexibility, comfort, and easy access to Florida's outdoor attractions.

  9. 2015-06-01
    soldstatus $24,500 Sold 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity to own a nice home with a large fenced in yard on almost half an acre. A few minutes away from Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park where endless fishing, hiking, kayaking, boating and canoeing await you. Close to public transportation, shopping, restaurants and much more. Priced to sell! Could also be used as a great income producing property. Bring all offers!!

  10. 2015-05-05
    status Pending 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity to own a nice home with a large fenced in yard on almost half an acre. A few minutes away from Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park where endless fishing, hiking, kayaking, boating and canoeing await you. Close to public transportation, shopping, restaurants and much more. Priced to sell! Could also be used as a great income producing property. Bring all offers!!

  11. 2015-05-01
    price $23,990 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity to own a nice home with a large fenced in yard on almost half an acre. A few minutes away from Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park where endless fishing, hiking, kayaking, boating and canoeing await you. Close to public transportation, shopping, restaurants and much more. Priced to sell! Could also be used as a great income producing property. Bring all offers!!

  12. 2015-04-13
    listed $29,000 Active 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity to own a nice home with a large fenced in yard on almost half an acre. A few minutes away from Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park where endless fishing, hiking, kayaking, boating and canoeing await you. Close to public transportation, shopping, restaurants and much more. Priced to sell! Could also be used as a great income producing property. Bring all offers!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$236 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$788 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$552/yr (+$46/mo · 233.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,410
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$236
− Insurance
−$5,594
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$372
After-tax cash flow
$2,364/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bayonet Point

Score
69/100
State rank
#485
US rank
#8934

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
49,442
Household income
$47,401
Rent vs Own
37.2% rent · 62.8% own
Severe rent burden
2699.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.64%
Current HPI
359.7163
Rent YoY
▲ 1.28%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+227.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 HCAR
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-01 Sold (MLS) $24,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-01 Price Changed $23,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-13 Listed $29,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $236 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…