3318 Buckthorn 192 · Jackson, MI 49201

$62,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 15 Days on market

Built 2026 Average condition Est $48k · 30% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.8/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Space You Need At A Value You Deserve!

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $62,900

Exterior

• Home design: Spec inventory, Walnut Ridge plan

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Living area of 1,344

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
• Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $61,956 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.78%
• DSCR: 2.68
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $48,384
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4106 Sycamore	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,280 (-5%)	10mo	$14,000	$11	78
3806 Catalpa	0.17mi	3/2.0	1,456 (+8%)	14mo	$42,500	$29	66
3842 Jarrow Ln	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,404 (+4%)	8mo	$64,000	$46	63
3840 Jarrow Ln	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,260 (-6%)	4mo	$67,500	$54	62
3286 Braeburn St	0.16mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,540 (+15%)	5mo	$20,000	$13	59
3717 Cypress	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,516 (+13%)	11mo	$40,000	$26	58
3844 Havenwood Blvd	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,456 (+8%)	14mo	$53,000	$36	53
4326 Laurel	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,152 (-14%)	10mo	$43,000	$37	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 39.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.80×
• Total profit: $31,762
• Equity at exit: $9,379

10-year hold

• IRR: 48.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.87×
• Total profit: $103,331
• Equity at exit: $5,438

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49201

• Rents YoY: 10.3%
• Active inventory: 362
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,252 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$79 /mo · $944/yr
• Insurance: −$26
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550

Max offer price $62,900

Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,725
• Closing costs: $1,887
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3999 Sherwood Lakes Blvd Jackson, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,339	$1.27	43d	1	0.10mi
3004 N Pointe Dr Jackson, MI	2.0	2.0	945	$1,025	$1.08	43d	1	1.06mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $62,900 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $62,900 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $62,900 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $62,900 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $62,900 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $62,900 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $62,900 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $62,900 Active 6 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $62,900 Active 5 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,900 Active 4 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,900 Active 3 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 38-char remark
13. 2026-06-05
    listed $62,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,026
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,523
• − Property taxes: −$944
• − Insurance: −$314
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,202
• − Management: −$1,202
• − Depreciation: −$1,830
• Taxable income: $6,011
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,443
• After-tax cash flow: $5,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and replacing windows would significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
• Both Upgrade HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
• Both Upgrade HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Northwest Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 2626010
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $47,509
• Composite: 25.88/100
• National rank: #7342
• State rank: #360 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #197
• US rank: #4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Jackson County · 85,581 people
• City population: 85,581
• Metro: Jackson, MI
• Population (ZIP): 49,107
• Household income: $74,484
• Rent vs Own: 25.8% rent · 74.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 840.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 156,365 people
• By 2030: 153,123 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 144,981 · -7.3%
• By 2050: 135,671 · -13.2%
• By 2075: 113,833 · -27.2%
• By 2100: 86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -198.89%
• Current HPI: 185.3773
• Rent YoY: ▲ 10.32%
• Metro: Jackson, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B