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17 Wells St
B- Composite 68.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$99,900

17 Wells St · Hornell, NY 14843
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1890 3,209 sqft lot Est $74k · 35% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute, remodeled 2-3 bedroom home with a fenced back yard. There is a front foyer with a coat rack. LV and DN have new plank floor covering, and there are contemporary paint colors throughout. There is a good-sized kitchen with plenty of counter and cabinet space. Tin ceiling! Stove and refrig included. Off the kitchen is an enclosed storage back porch. AND!! . .. two brand new baths! The main floor bathroom is full and has washer-dryer hookups. .. machines included! The second-floor new bath is half and large enough for a free-standing organizer. Two large bedrooms on this second floor. The main floor has a room off the dining room that could be used for a bedroom or office space. All the

Key facts

  • Good sized kitchen
  • Tin ceiling
  • Off street parking

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGFENCED BACK YARDFRONT FOYERGOOD SIZED KITCHENTIN CEILINGENCLOSED STORAGE BACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#451 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Hornell City School District (town): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.63%
Cash-on-cash
22.64%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$73,836
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
68 Catherine St 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,166 (-0%) 3mo $85,000 $73 89
25 E Main St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,164 (-1%) 8mo $114,900 $99 86
134 E Elm St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-4%) 4mo $57,000 $51 79
175 S Leach Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,248 (+6%) 4mo $22,501 $18 79
169 Leach Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,090 (-7%) 1mo $105,000 $96 77
176 Greeley Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,204 (+3%) 1mo $115,000 $96 72
5 Blaine St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,142 (-3%) 1mo $165,000 $144 72
48 Bemis Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,230 (+5%) 8mo $55,000 $45 55
12 Elmwood Pl 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (+11%) 3mo $18,500 $14 55
19 Oconnor Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,216 (+4%) 8mo $65,000 $53 55
22 Cottage Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,340 (+14%) 6mo $40,000 $30 49
422 Monroe Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-14%) 8mo $64,000 $63 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$50,750
Equity at exit
$50,346
10-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
5.56×
Total profit
$127,519
Equity at exit
$82,103

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14843

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,498 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$528

Break-even live

Break-even rent $830
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $584 -5% $556 +0% $528 +5% $499 +10% $471
Rent -10% $409 -5% $469 +0% $528 +5% $587 +10% $646
Rate -1.0pp $578 -0.5pp $553 base $528 +0.5pp $502 +1.0pp $476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-24
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,383 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$305/yr (+$25/mo · 28.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,971
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,078
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,438
− Management
−$1,438
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$5,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,204
After-tax cash flow
$5,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hornell City School District
NCES district ID
3614820
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$40,251
Composite
34.33/100
National rank
#5234
State rank
#519 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hornell

Score
70/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#7888

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hornell, NY
County
Steuben County · 41,193 people
City population
12,383
Metro
Corning, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,383
Household income
$57,874
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.95%
Current HPI
210.1986
Rent YoY
Metro
Corning, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,078 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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