17 Wells St · Hornell, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute, remodeled 2-3 bedroom home with a fenced back yard. There is a front foyer with a coat rack. LV and DN have new plank floor covering, and there are contemporary paint colors throughout. There is a good-sized kitchen with plenty of counter and cabinet space. Tin ceiling! Stove and refrig included. Off the kitchen is an enclosed storage back porch. AND!! . .. two brand new baths! The main floor bathroom is full and has washer-dryer hookups. .. machines included! The second-floor new bath is half and large enough for a free-standing organizer. Two large bedrooms on this second floor. The main floor has a room off the dining room that could be used for a bedroom or office space. All the
Key facts
- Good sized kitchen
- Tin ceiling
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#451 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Hornell City School District (town): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.64%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,836
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Catherine St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-0%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $73 | 89 |
| 25 E Main St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-1%) | 8mo | $114,900 | $99 | 86 |
| 134 E Elm St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-4%) | 4mo | $57,000 | $51 | 79 |
| 175 S Leach Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+6%) | 4mo | $22,501 | $18 | 79 |
| 169 Leach Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-7%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $96 | 77 |
| 176 Greeley Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,204 (+3%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 5 Blaine St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,142 (-3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $144 | 72 |
| 48 Bemis Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+5%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $45 | 55 |
| 12 Elmwood Pl | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+11%) | 3mo | $18,500 | $14 | 55 |
| 19 Oconnor Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,216 (+4%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $53 | 55 |
| 22 Cottage Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,340 (+14%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $30 | 49 |
| 422 Monroe Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-14%) | 8mo | $64,000 | $63 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $50,750
- Equity at exit
- $50,346
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.56×
- Total profit
- $127,519
- Equity at exit
- $82,103
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14843
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,498 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $584 | -5% $556 | +0% $528 | +5% $499 | +10% $471 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $409 | -5% $469 | +0% $528 | +5% $587 | +10% $646 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $578 | -0.5pp $553 | base $528 | +0.5pp $502 | +1.0pp $476 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-29status Pending
-
2026-03-24$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,383 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$305/yr (+$25/mo · 28.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,078
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,438
- − Management
- −$1,438
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hornell City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614820
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,251
- Composite
- 34.33/100
- National rank
- #5234
- State rank
- #519 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hornell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #7888
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hornell, NY
- County
- Steuben County · 41,193 people
- City population
- 12,383
- Metro
- Corning, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,383
- Household income
- $57,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 415.0
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,062 people
- By 2030
- 89,793 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 82,353 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 74,286 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 55,589 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 37,587 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- Current HPI
- 210.1986
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Corning, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,078 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…