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131 Riverside Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 62.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

131 Riverside Ave · Buffalo, NY 14207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 942 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1876 3,240 sqft lot $143/sqft · 26% below area Est $183k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 131 Riverside Ave in the City of Buffalo! This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. The property is currently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath home but can easily be converted back to its original 3-bedroom layout. Features include a full basement, driveway for off-street parking, and solid mechanics. The home is currently rented for $1,100 per month, providing immediate rental income for investors. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great opportunity to add to your portfolio or make it your future home.

Key facts

  • Solid mechanics
  • Full basement
  • Shopping

Tags

FULL BASEMENTSOLID MECHANICSPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONSHOPPINGLOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $134,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$182,726) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (6.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,743 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.56%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,726
List price
$134,900
Delta
-26.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
63 Briggs Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 974 (+3%) 0mo $180,000 $185 85
268 Riverside Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 936 (-1%) 5mo $150,000 $160 84
84 Gallatin Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 936 (-1%) 15mo $55,000 $59 71
112 Condon Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 936 (-1%) 15mo $175,000 $187 70
19 Royal Ave 0.24mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,021 (+8%) 2mo $159,547 $156 68
42 Progressive Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,019 (+8%) 6mo $68,000 $67 64
56 Gallatin Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,052 (+12%) 2mo $178,000 $169 64
15 Royal Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,046 (+11%) 9mo $205,000 $196 62
108 Argus St 0.52mi 3/1.0 993 (+5%) 6mo $40,000 $40 61
75 Mayer Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 810 (-14%) 3mo $129,000 $159 60
108 Esser Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,053 (+12%) 13mo $120,000 $114 57
55 Irene St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+15%) 7mo $205,000 $190 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,085
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$45,327
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $376/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
239 Crowley Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 966 $1,025 $1.06 3d 1 0.14mi
118 Rano St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 21d 1 0.41mi
15 Beatrice Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 14d 1 0.42mi
15 Ontario St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 1d 1 0.50mi
134 Philadelphia St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 871 $1,100 $1.26 3d 1 0.50mi
356 Hertel Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 800 $2,300 $2.88 2d 1 0.66mi
68 Laforce Pl Unit U Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,099 $1.22 43d 1 0.78mi
2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,197 $1.20 43d 1 0.79mi
2075 Kenmore Ave Unit 611 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 981 $1,950 $1.99 1d 1 0.86mi
480 W Hazeltine Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 989 $1,900 $1.92 23d 1 0.93mi
155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 10d 1 1.06mi
1920 Niagara St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 695 $999 $1.44 43d 1 1.16mi
72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 23d 1 1.19mi
68 Peter St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 23d 1 1.24mi
293 Grote St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 817 $2,345 $2.87 1d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,900 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,400 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,400 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,400 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,400 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $149,400 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    Welcome to 131 Riverside Ave in the City of Buffalo! This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. The property is currently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath home but can easily be converted back to its original 3-bedroom layout. Features include a full basement, driveway for off-street parking, and solid mechanics. The home is currently rented for $1,100 per month, providing immediate rental income for investors. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great opportunity to add to your portfolio or make it your future home.

  16. 2026-03-23
    listed $149,900 Active 617-char remark
    Show marketing remark (617 chars)

    Welcome to 131 Riverside Ave in the City of Buffalo! This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. The property is currently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath home but can easily be converted back to its original 3-bedroom layout. Features include a full basement, driveway for off-street parking, and solid mechanics. The home is currently rented for $1,100 per month, providing immediate rental income for investors. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great opportunity to add to your portfolio or make it your future home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$376 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,328 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$952/yr (+$79/mo · 253.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,209
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$376
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,217
− Management
−$1,217
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$245
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$59
After-tax cash flow
$2,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $149,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $376 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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