🏷️ Likely Rental
131 Riverside Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 131 Riverside Ave in the City of Buffalo! This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. The property is currently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath home but can easily be converted back to its original 3-bedroom layout. Features include a full basement, driveway for off-street parking, and solid mechanics. The home is currently rented for $1,100 per month, providing immediate rental income for investors. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great opportunity to add to your portfolio or make it your future home.
Key facts
- Solid mechanics
- Full basement
- Shopping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.56%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,726
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -26.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Briggs Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (+3%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $185 | 85 |
| 268 Riverside Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-1%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $160 | 84 |
| 84 Gallatin Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-1%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $59 | 71 |
| 112 Condon Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 936 (-1%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $187 | 70 |
| 19 Royal Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,021 (+8%) | 2mo | $159,547 | $156 | 68 |
| 42 Progressive Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,019 (+8%) | 6mo | $68,000 | $67 | 64 |
| 56 Gallatin Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,052 (+12%) | 2mo | $178,000 | $169 | 64 |
| 15 Royal Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (+11%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $196 | 62 |
| 108 Argus St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (+5%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $40 | 61 |
| 75 Mayer Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 810 (-14%) | 3mo | $129,000 | $159 | 60 |
| 108 Esser Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+12%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $114 | 57 |
| 55 Irene St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+15%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $190 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,085
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $45,327
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,267 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $376/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 Crowley Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,025 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 118 Rano St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 15 Beatrice Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 15 Ontario St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 134 Philadelphia St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 356 Hertel Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $2,300 | $2.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 68 Laforce Pl Unit U Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,197 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2075 Kenmore Ave Unit 611 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 981 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 480 W Hazeltine Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1920 Niagara St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $999 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 68 Peter St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 293 Grote St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 817 | $2,345 | $2.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,400 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,400 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,400 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,400 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $149,400 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Welcome to 131 Riverside Ave in the City of Buffalo! This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. The property is currently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath home but can easily be converted back to its original 3-bedroom layout. Features include a full basement, driveway for off-street parking, and solid mechanics. The home is currently rented for $1,100 per month, providing immediate rental income for investors. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great opportunity to add to your portfolio or make it your future home.
-
2026-03-23$149,900 Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Welcome to 131 Riverside Ave in the City of Buffalo! This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. The property is currently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath home but can easily be converted back to its original 3-bedroom layout. Features include a full basement, driveway for off-street parking, and solid mechanics. The home is currently rented for $1,100 per month, providing immediate rental income for investors. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and local amenities. A great opportunity to add to your portfolio or make it your future home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $376 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$952/yr (+$79/mo · 253.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$376
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,217
- − Management
- −$1,217
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $149,400 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $376 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…