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4611 Ibis Ct
B Composite 74.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

4611 Ibis Ct · Granbury, TX 76049
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Land · 66 Days on market
Built 1998 0.50 ac lot $118/sqft · 8% below area Est $142k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity just minutes from the water in Granbury! This .5± acre property features a single-wide mobile home situated on a nicely treed lot, offering both privacy and shade. The backyard is fenced, making it ideal for pets or added security, and a carport provides convenient covered parking. With the ability to add a second mobile home, this property offers excellent flexibility for an investment rental, guest setup, or multi-unit income-producing property. Located near the lake and a fishing pier, the property provides easy access to outdoor recreation including boating, fishing, and relaxing on the water at Lake Granbury. Granbury is known for its charming small-town feel paired with strong growth, featuring a vibrant historic downtown square, local dining, shopping, and year-round community events. Its proximity to Fort Worth—just under an hour away—makes it an attractive destination for both full-time residents and weekend visitors. With continued new development in the area and increasing demand for affordable housing and rental properties, this tract presents a great opportunity to invest in one of North Texas’ most desirable lake communities. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or create a flexible living setup.

Key facts

  • Lake communities
  • Carport
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDCARPORTHISTORIC DOWNTOWN SQUARELOCAL DININGCOMMUNITY EVENTSLAKE COMMUNITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.8% in Granbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#628 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
  • Granbury ISD (town): math 46% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #237 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 690 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 125 units permitted in Hood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hood County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.57%
Cash-on-cash
22.43%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,750
List price
$130,000
Delta
-8.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$26,820
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$98,683
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76049

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
690
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,998 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    listed $130,000 Active 1298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1298 chars)

    Great opportunity just minutes from the water in Granbury! This .5± acre property features a single-wide mobile home situated on a nicely treed lot, offering both privacy and shade. The backyard is fenced, making it ideal for pets or added security, and a carport provides convenient covered parking. With the ability to add a second mobile home, this property offers excellent flexibility for an investment rental, guest setup, or multi-unit income-producing property. Located near the lake and a fishing pier, the property provides easy access to outdoor recreation including boating, fishing, and relaxing on the water at Lake Granbury. Granbury is known for its charming small-town feel paired with strong growth, featuring a vibrant historic downtown square, local dining, shopping, and year-round community events. Its proximity to Fort Worth—just under an hour away—makes it an attractive destination for both full-time residents and weekend visitors. With continued new development in the area and increasing demand for affordable housing and rental properties, this tract presents a great opportunity to invest in one of North Texas’ most desirable lake communities. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or create a flexible living setup.

  15. 2016-01-13
    soldstatus
  16. 2005-04-25
    soldstatus
  17. 2004-04-15
    soldstatus
  18. 2002-09-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,982
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,919
− Management
−$1,919
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$6,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,555
After-tax cash flow
$6,609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granbury ISD
NCES district ID
4821390
Math proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$55,856
Composite
40.04/100
National rank
#3820
State rank
#237 of 826 in TX

Livability — Granbury

Score
66/100
State rank
#628
US rank
#11998

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hood County · 58,506 people
City population
58,506
Metro
Granbury, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,506
Household income
$104,967
Rent vs Own
12.3% rent · 87.7% own
Severe rent burden
235.0

Population outlook (Hood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,502 people
By 2030
67,459 · +6.2%
By 2040
74,958 · +18.0%
By 2050
81,922 · +29.0%
By 2075
98,872 · +55.7%
By 2100
107,796 · +69.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Hood

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.0) · D 16.6% · R 82.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.0pp · 2024: -66.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.0 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+64.7 2008: R+54.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.09%
Current HPI
273.1293
Rent YoY
▲ 5.20%
Metro
Granbury, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
  • 2016-01-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-04-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-04-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-09-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $85 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…