Multi-family
321 8th St · Elyria, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
HUD Property - #412-528630. SOLD AS-IS. Buyer responsible for due diligence and inquiry of all property information.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Large kitchen
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
- Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $130k implies a 928% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.76%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,808
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 West Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,591 (+2%) | 12mo | $28,000 | $18 | 83 |
| 802 East Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (-4%) | 22mo | $105,900 | $71 | 63 |
| 1406 Middle Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+3%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $40 | 61 |
| 608 3rd St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+1%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $32 | 55 |
| 312 16th St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+4%) | 9mo | $129,900 | $80 | 54 |
| 725 E River St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,611 (+3%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $56 | 50 |
| 127 Denison Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,685 (+8%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $80 | 47 |
| 116 Water St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (+13%) | 22mo | $75,100 | $42 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,779
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $37,588
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44035
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,342 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 Georgia Ave Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $1,750 | $0.95 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 518 Lake Ave Unit 100 Rush Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,099 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 100 Rush St Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,099 | $0.88 | 7d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10425 Middle Ave Elyria, OH | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,209 | $0.85 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-03$130,000 Active
-
2010-09-20soldstatus $12,651 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
HUD Property - #412-528630. SOLD AS-IS. Buyer responsible for due diligence and inquiry of all property information.
-
2010-04-02$12,600 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
HUD Property - #412-528630. SOLD AS-IS. Buyer responsible for due diligence and inquiry of all property information.
-
2007-12-20historical
-
2007-06-25$98,900
-
2007-06-14historical
-
2006-12-14$98,900
-
2006-11-02historical
-
2006-05-02$99,900
-
2006-04-30historical
-
2005-10-14$106,900
-
2004-12-20soldstatus $92,600
-
2004-12-20soldstatus $92,500
-
2004-09-15$89,900
-
2002-11-10historical
-
2002-05-10$85,900
-
1994-04-08soldstatus $47,000
-
1994-04-08soldstatus $19,000
-
1994-04-08soldstatus $47,000
-
1994-02-08$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,432 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,730 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$298/yr (+$25/mo · 20.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,432
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,288
- − Management
- −$1,288
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$92
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elyria City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904394
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,992
- Composite
- 24.45/100
- National rank
- #7670
- State rank
- #586 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elyria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elyria, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 62,179
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,179
- Household income
- $56,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.09%
- Current HPI
- 199.7354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+160.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Listed $130,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-09-20 Sold (MLS) $12,651 MLSNOW
- 2010-04-02 Listed $12,600 MLSNOW
- 2007-12-20 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-06-25 Listed $98,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-06-14 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-12-14 Listed $98,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-11-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-05-02 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-04-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-10-14 Listed $106,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
- 2004-12-20 Sold (MLS) $92,600 MLSNOW
- 2004-09-15 Listed $89,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-11-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2002-05-10 Listed $85,900 MLSNOW
- 1994-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1994-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1994-04-08 Sold (MLS) $47,000 MLSNOW
- 1994-02-08 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,432 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…