609 N Smelter St · Pittsburg, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Front porch
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.4% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#270 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Pittsburg (town): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #111 of 169 in KS (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.8%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.61%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,312
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 E 9th St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,055 (+2%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $123 | 78 |
| 409 E 8th St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+5%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $106 | 76 |
| 406 E 8th St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 1,131 (+9%) | 5mo | $79,900 | $71 | 75 |
| 1002 E 13th St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (-5%) | 0mo | $25,000 | $25 | 64 |
| 303 E Euclid St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,018 (-2%) | 8mo | $178,500 | $175 | 62 |
| 801 E 9th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 4mo | $62,500 | $54 | 58 |
| 902 E 9th St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,180 (+14%) | 2mo | $38,000 | $32 | 51 |
| 1503 N Joplin St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 8mo | $93,000 | $102 | 48 |
| 408 S Joplin St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,141 (+10%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $92 | 48 |
| 313 E Park St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,102 (+6%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $152 | 46 |
| 406 S Joplin St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 881 (-15%) | 1mo | $38,000 | $43 | 40 |
| 1208 E 8th St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (+10%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $44 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $21,526
- Equity at exit
- $9,617
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.31×
- Total profit
- $77,920
- Equity at exit
- $5,577
Cash invested: $18,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66762
- Rents YoY
- 13.8%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$338
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,125
- Closing costs
- $1,935
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 S Elm St Pittsburg, KS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $600 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1019 E 15th St Pittsburg, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 102 Creekside Way Pittsburg, KS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 44d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 511 W 2nd St Pittsburg, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 404 E Adams St Unit A Pittsburg, KS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 544 E 23rd St Pittsburg, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,800 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 719 E Madison St Apt A Pittsburg, KS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1108 S Joplin St Pittsburg, KS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $775 | $0.91 | 44d | 2 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-02-05$64,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $909 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$374/yr (+$31/mo · 69.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,613
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$322
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,003
- − Management
- −$1,003
- − Depreciation
- −$1,876
- Taxable income
- $4,182
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,004
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,982/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsburg
- NCES district ID
- 2010710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,608
- Composite
- 24.63/100
- National rank
- #7629
- State rank
- #111 of 169 in KS
Livability — Pittsburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #12149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pittsburg, KS
- County
- Crawford County · 24,907 people
- City population
- 24,907
- Metro
- Pittsburg, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,907
- Household income
- $50,511
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,393 people
- By 2030
- 39,540 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 39,452 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 39,188 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 39,038 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 38,219 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.14%
- Current HPI
- 158.7878
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.80%
- Metro
- Pittsburg, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $64,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…