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20101 Tamarack Dr
C- Composite 50.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

20101 Tamarack Dr · Reynolds, MI 49329
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 106 Days on market
Built 1996 $35/sqft · 83% below area $450/mo HOA · 45% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Howard City! New Roof!!! Featuring an open floor plan, the home offers a large living room that flows into a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space. The primary suite includes a private full bath, while two additional bedrooms and another full bathroom provide plenty of extra space. Set on a quiet lot, this property offers a comfortable lifestyle with easy access to local amenities and US-131 for commuting. With modern updates and room to personalize, this home is move-in ready and waiting for its next owner! Owner is licensed realtor in the state of MI.

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Open floor plan
  • Ample cabinetry

Tags

NEW ROOFOPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE LIVING ROOMBRIGHT KITCHENAMPLE CABINETRYPRIVATE FULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($360/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Tri County Area Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #302 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Recommended offer $40,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.85%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,241
List price
$45,000
Delta
-82.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-5,091
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-791
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49329

Home prices YoY
-15.6%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,001 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$450
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $963
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$450 · $5,400/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-02-23
    listed $45,000 Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Howard City! New Roof!!! Featuring an open floor plan, the home offers a large living room that flows into a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space. The primary suite includes a private full bath, while two additional bedrooms and another full bathroom provide plenty of extra space. Set on a quiet lot, this property offers a comfortable lifestyle with easy access to local amenities and US-131 for commuting. With modern updates and room to personalize, this home is move-in ready and waiting for its next owner! Owner is licensed realtor in the state of MI.

  11. 2026-02-23
    listed $45,000 Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Howard City! New Roof!!! Featuring an open floor plan, the home offers a large living room that flows into a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space. The primary suite includes a private full bath, while two additional bedrooms and another full bathroom provide plenty of extra space. Set on a quiet lot, this property offers a comfortable lifestyle with easy access to local amenities and US-131 for commuting. With modern updates and room to personalize, this home is move-in ready and waiting for its next owner! Owner is licensed realtor in the state of MI.

  12. 2026-02-23
    listed $45,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Howard City! New Roof!!! Featuring an open floor plan, the home offers a large living room that flows into a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space. The primary suite includes a private full bath, while two additional bedrooms and another full bathroom provide plenty of extra space. Set on a quiet lot, this property offers a comfortable lifestyle with easy access to local amenities and US-131 for commuting. With modern updates and room to personalize, this home is move-in ready and waiting for its next owner! Owner is licensed realtor in the state of MI.

  13. 2026-02-21
    historical
  14. 2026-02-20
    historical
  15. 2025-12-02
    listed $48,900 Active
  16. 2025-12-02
    listed $48,900 Active
  17. 2025-12-02
    historical
  18. 2025-12-01
    historical
  19. 2025-11-21
    price $48,900
  20. 2025-11-20
    price $48,900
  21. 2025-11-20
    price $48,900
  22. 2025-09-22
    listed $49,900 Active
  23. 2025-09-22
    listed $49,900 Active
  24. 2025-08-04
    soldstatus $360,000
  25. 2021-09-24
    soldstatus $215,000
  26. 2014-04-03
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,015
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$961
− Management
−$961
− HOA
−$5,400
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable loss
−$38
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$9
After-tax cash flow
$369/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tri County Area Schools
NCES district ID
2633930
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,772
Composite
29.34/100
National rank
#6542
State rank
#302 of 540 in MI

Livability — Reynolds

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,030

Population outlook (Montcalm County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,011 people
By 2030
59,467 · -2.5%
By 2040
55,427 · -9.2%
By 2050
50,517 · -17.2%
By 2075
38,731 · -36.5%
By 2100
26,770 · -56.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montcalm

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.8% · R 68.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-38.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.56%
Current HPI
305.7702
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $45,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $48,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $48,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $48,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $48,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $48,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…