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2594-2596 Mcallister St Fourplex
A- Composite 82.83
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$2,069,000

2594-2596 Mcallister St · San Francisco, CA 94118
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 5,825 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1900 2,121 sqft lot $355/sqft · 36% below area Est $2113k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Steps from the Panhandle and just one block from Golden Gate Park, this handsome Victorian building is anchored by a standout two-level owner's unit that delivers the kind of grand living spaces and thoughtful design rarely found in the city today. With 3+ bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an abundance of natural light, generous room proportions, and exquisite period details, the versatile layout blends timeless elegance with contemporary sophisticationcreating an entertainer's dream that feels both historic and refreshingly modern. The Two Level owners unit also has a parking apron at the rear. All four units are currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate income from day one. The building is sepa

Key facts

  • Washer dryer
  • Large basement area
  • Parking apron

Tags

TWO LEVEL OWNERS UNITPARKING APRONLARGE BASEMENT AREAWASHER DRYEREASY ACCESS TO MARKETSEASY ACCESS TO SHOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Four total units (all apartments); All four units are leased; Unit mix includes two 1-bed units, one 2-bed unit, and one 3-bed unit; Unit descriptions: large-scale 2-level unit; lower-level unit; rear unit on Stanyan side; upper-level unit on Stanyan side
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: One uncovered open parking space
  • Home design: Victorian-style quadruplex (residential income); Three or more levels; Updated / remodeled; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Appraiser-determined building area: 3,836; Appraiser-determined living area: 3,836
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Landscaped yard; Regular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Seven total bedrooms (distribution across units)
  • Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Common area laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 7-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.07M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $10k ($117k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $2.07M).
  • Recommended offer: $2.01M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+17.1%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $29,233/mo this rent would consume 214% of the median local household income ($164k/yr) (locally 1780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $178k of equity ($14k loan paydown + $164k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $579k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$285k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.01M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $330k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $1.22M; list at $2.07M implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $2,006,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.95%
Cash-on-cash
20.20%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,112,654
List price
$2,069,000
Delta
-2.07%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2058-2060 Fell St 0.27mi 9/5.0 (+1) 5,557 (-5%) 0mo $2,525,000 $454 70
2267 Hayes St 0.21mi 7/4.0 (-1) 5,355 (-8%) 8mo $2,075,000 $387 65
1671-1673 Hayes St 0.60mi 9/6.0 (+1) 5,175 (-11%) 3mo $2,700,000 $522 38
1460-1462 Waller St 0.59mi 7/6.0 (-1) 5,165 (-11%) 14mo $2,050,000 $397 29
376 Frederick St 0.67mi 9/— (+1) 5,075 (-13%) 17mo $2,153,550 $424 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.92% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
3.79×
Total profit
$1,616,829
Equity at exit
$1,560,346
10-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
8.97×
Total profit
$4,618,430
Equity at exit
$3,086,340

Cash invested: $579,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94118

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Rents YoY
17.1%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
23.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$29,233 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$10,850
Tax from tax record
$1,631 /mo · $19,578/yr
Insurance
$862
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$6,139
Net cashflow
$9,750

Break-even live

Break-even rent $16,891
Max offer price $2,069,000
Occupancy floor 62%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $29,233

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$517,250
Closing costs
$62,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,069,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $2,069,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    status $2,100,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,100,000 Contingent - No Show 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,100,000 Contingent - No Show 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,100,000 Contingent - No Show 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,100,000 Contingent - No Show 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $2,100,000 Contingent - No Show 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,100,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,100,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $2,100,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,399,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,399,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,399,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,399,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,399,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-10
    listed $2,399,000 Active 1676-char remark
  18. 2013-02-28
    soldstatus $1,221,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$19,578 · $1,631/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$19,578 · $1,631/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$350,796
− Mortgage interest
−$115,896
− Property taxes
−$19,578
− Insurance
−$10,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$28,064
− Management
−$28,064
− Depreciation
−$60,189
Taxable income
$88,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$21,279
After-tax cash flow
$95,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,130
Household income
$163,995
Rent vs Own
64.9% rent · 35.1% own
Severe rent burden
1780.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 32% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
25% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
65% English-only · Chinese 15% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.92%
Current HPI
250.5205
Rent YoY
▲ 17.14%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $2,069,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-06-17 Relisted San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-06-10 Contingent San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $2,100,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $2,399,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2013-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $1,221,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $19,578 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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