1002 Locust St · Thomson, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This inviting two-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, blending classic charm with modern Bluetooth-enabled amenities, including smart lighting and mirrors. Hardwood and laminate flooring run throughout, adding warmth and durability. Architectural details set this home apart, featuring a beautiful open staircase, cozy sitting room, and a bright breakfast nook just off the kitchen. Built-in bench seating in the foyer and dining room, along with elegant colonnades with shelving and storage, enhance both function and character. The front living room includes a fireplace that is currently electric and will be converted to natural gas. This Property offers Wood heat/ wood burning stove that will keep you warm all winter. The basement boasts tall ceilings, providing excellent potential for additional finished living space. Outside, you'll find a large yard-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future landscaping ideas.
Key facts
- Open staircase
- Smart lighting
- Smart mirrors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#927 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- West Carroll CUSD 314 (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #498 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $100k implies a 285% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.98%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,460
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -30.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1107 W Main St | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 | 1,147 (-12%) | 18mo | $60,000 | $52 | 60 |
| 1898 IL Rte 84 | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 21mo | $65,000 | $56 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $36,932
- Equity at exit
- $55,709
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $99,204
- Equity at exit
- $95,362
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61285
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $403/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $233
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $289 | -5% $261 | +0% $233 | +5% $204 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $191 | +0% $233 | +5% $274 | +10% $316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $283 | -0.5pp $258 | base $233 | +0.5pp $207 | +1.0pp $181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-05-01price $100,000 948-char remark
Show marketing remark (948 chars)
This inviting two-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, blending classic charm with modern Bluetooth-enabled amenities, including smart lighting and mirrors. Hardwood and laminate flooring run throughout, adding warmth and durability. Architectural details set this home apart, featuring a beautiful open staircase, cozy sitting room, and a bright breakfast nook just off the kitchen. Built-in bench seating in the foyer and dining room, along with elegant colonnades with shelving and storage, enhance both function and character. The front living room includes a fireplace that is currently electric and will be converted to natural gas. This Property offers Wood heat/ wood burning stove that will keep you warm all winter. The basement boasts tall ceilings, providing excellent potential for additional finished living space. Outside, you'll find a large yard-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future landscaping ideas.
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2026-04-16price $110,000 948-char remark
Show marketing remark (948 chars)
This inviting two-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, blending classic charm with modern Bluetooth-enabled amenities, including smart lighting and mirrors. Hardwood and laminate flooring run throughout, adding warmth and durability. Architectural details set this home apart, featuring a beautiful open staircase, cozy sitting room, and a bright breakfast nook just off the kitchen. Built-in bench seating in the foyer and dining room, along with elegant colonnades with shelving and storage, enhance both function and character. The front living room includes a fireplace that is currently electric and will be converted to natural gas. This Property offers Wood heat/ wood burning stove that will keep you warm all winter. The basement boasts tall ceilings, providing excellent potential for additional finished living space. Outside, you'll find a large yard-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future landscaping ideas.
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2026-04-05price $120,000 948-char remark
Show marketing remark (948 chars)
This inviting two-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, blending classic charm with modern Bluetooth-enabled amenities, including smart lighting and mirrors. Hardwood and laminate flooring run throughout, adding warmth and durability. Architectural details set this home apart, featuring a beautiful open staircase, cozy sitting room, and a bright breakfast nook just off the kitchen. Built-in bench seating in the foyer and dining room, along with elegant colonnades with shelving and storage, enhance both function and character. The front living room includes a fireplace that is currently electric and will be converted to natural gas. This Property offers Wood heat/ wood burning stove that will keep you warm all winter. The basement boasts tall ceilings, providing excellent potential for additional finished living space. Outside, you'll find a large yard-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future landscaping ideas.
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2026-03-09price $130,000 948-char remark
Show marketing remark (948 chars)
This inviting two-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, blending classic charm with modern Bluetooth-enabled amenities, including smart lighting and mirrors. Hardwood and laminate flooring run throughout, adding warmth and durability. Architectural details set this home apart, featuring a beautiful open staircase, cozy sitting room, and a bright breakfast nook just off the kitchen. Built-in bench seating in the foyer and dining room, along with elegant colonnades with shelving and storage, enhance both function and character. The front living room includes a fireplace that is currently electric and will be converted to natural gas. This Property offers Wood heat/ wood burning stove that will keep you warm all winter. The basement boasts tall ceilings, providing excellent potential for additional finished living space. Outside, you'll find a large yard-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future landscaping ideas.
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2026-02-22$140,000 Active 948-char remark
Show marketing remark (948 chars)
This inviting two-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, blending classic charm with modern Bluetooth-enabled amenities, including smart lighting and mirrors. Hardwood and laminate flooring run throughout, adding warmth and durability. Architectural details set this home apart, featuring a beautiful open staircase, cozy sitting room, and a bright breakfast nook just off the kitchen. Built-in bench seating in the foyer and dining room, along with elegant colonnades with shelving and storage, enhance both function and character. The front living room includes a fireplace that is currently electric and will be converted to natural gas. This Property offers Wood heat/ wood burning stove that will keep you warm all winter. The basement boasts tall ceilings, providing excellent potential for additional finished living space. Outside, you'll find a large yard-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future landscaping ideas.
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2025-12-16historical
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2025-09-24price $134,900
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2025-09-24Active
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2025-02-04Active
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2024-10-04historical
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2024-08-24Active
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2024-07-16historical
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2024-07-15historical
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2024-07-01price
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2024-06-13price
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2024-01-15Active
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2023-06-30soldstatus $26,000 Closed
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2023-06-15status Pending
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2023-04-23price $39,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $403 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,337 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$933/yr (+$78/mo · 231.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$403
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Carroll CUSD 314
- NCES district ID
- 1700310
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,090
- Composite
- 13.91/100
- National rank
- #9483
- State rank
- #498 of 620 in IL
Livability — Thomson
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #18008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomson, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,687
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,010 people
- By 2030
- 12,150 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 10,462 · -19.6%
- By 2050
- 9,078 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 6,704 · -48.5%
- By 2100
- 5,004 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.2% · R 64.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -31.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+29.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: D+1.4 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.84%
- Current HPI
- 190.7445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+133.1% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-22 Listed $140,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $134,900 NWIAR
- 2025-09-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-17 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-04 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-09 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-16 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-01 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-15 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-02 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-15 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-16 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-01 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-15 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $26,000 NWIAR
- 2023-06-15 Pending — NWIAR
- 2023-04-23 Price Changed $39,500 NWIAR
- 2023-03-17 Listed $42,900 NWIAR
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2024): $403 · -14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…