2450 Ruby St · Union, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$73,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable opportunity just outside of the city! This single-wide home sits on a spacious lot with a great yard and a handy storage shed out back. Home needs some TLC but offers tons of potential for the right buyer. Perfect for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to build equity.
Key facts
- Great yard
- Spacious lot
- Handy storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.8% in Union — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Mt. Pleasant City School District (town): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #229 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pullen Elementary School (327 students, 68% FRL); Fancher School (math 44% / reading 56%, grade D+, #371 of 1,397 statewide, top 27%, 406 students, 47% FRL); Mt Pleasant Senior High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #154 of 713 statewide, top 25%, 1,058 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Isabella County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Isabella County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.92%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,307
- List price
- $73,000
- Delta
- -35.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 Drive In Ln Lot 32 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 720 (0%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $59 | 81 |
| 2330 Theatre Trl Lot 53 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 720 (0%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $59 | 80 |
| 2311 Theatre Trl Lot 12 | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 720 (0%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $58 | 77 |
| 517 E Bennett Ave | 1.41mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 3mo | $101,000 | $140 | 62 |
| 1110 Crosslanes St | 0.99mi | 2/1.0 | 718 (-0%) | 13mo | $142,000 | $198 | 54 |
| 2162 3rd St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 826 (+15%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 5413 E Clover | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 840 (+17%) | 13mo | $31,000 | $37 | 48 |
| 814 E Illinois St | 1.17mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-8%) | 13mo | $123,000 | $186 | 40 |
| 1007 N Kinney Ave | 1.46mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+13%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $74 | 37 |
| 1020 Elizabeth St | 1.32mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+18%) | 12mo | $184,500 | $217 | 30 |
| 909 E Bellows St | 1.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+17%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $179 | 29 |
| 1021 Arnold | 1.45mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+18%) | 18mo | $92,500 | $109 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $12,847
- Equity at exit
- $10,885
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $60,038
- Equity at exit
- $6,312
Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $130,000 ($176/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 5 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -10.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 48858
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $990 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$383
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $767/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $347 | -5% $326 | +0% $305 | +5% $285 | +10% $264 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $227 | -5% $266 | +0% $305 | +5% $344 | +10% $384 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $324 | base $305 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,250
- Closing costs
- $2,190
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterShared septic system
- Home design
- Single-family residenceResidential property type
- Construction
- Built on pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features
- Aluminum sidingShed on propertyLot dimensions approximately 180.8 x 76.5Zoned residential
Interior
- Kitchen
- Includes oven, refrigerator and range
- Bedrooms
- Total rooms: 4
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heating (natural gas)No central cooling
- Interior features
- Oven, Refrigerator, Range
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $73,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $73,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $73,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $73,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $73,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $73,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $73,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $73,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $73,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $73,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $73,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $73,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-07-23$73,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $73,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $73,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $73,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $73,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $73,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $73,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $73,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $73,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $73,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $73,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $73,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $73,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $73,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $73,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $73,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $73,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $73,000 Active 239 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $73,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $73,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $73,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $73,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $73,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $73,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $73,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $73,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $73,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $73,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $73,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $73,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $73,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $73,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $73,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $73,000 Active 212 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $767 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$179/yr (+$15/mo · 23.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,089
- − Property taxes
- −$767
- − Insurance
- −$365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$951
- − Management
- −$951
- − Depreciation
- −$2,124
- Taxable income
- $2,639
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$633
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-wide home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, particularly to the roof and exterior siding. Painting and cleaning the home will significantly improve its curb appeal and condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, indicating a major repair is needed.
- Moderate exterior siding — The exterior siding shows signs of weathering and discoloration, indicating a moderate repair is needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting and cleaning — Painting and cleaning the exterior and interior will improve the home's curb appeal and condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both roof repair — Repairing the roof will not only improve the home's condition but also increase its value by ensuring a more secure and energy-efficient living space. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt. Pleasant City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2624750
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,344
- Composite
- 33.16/100
- National rank
- #5548
- State rank
- #229 of 540 in MI
Livability — Union
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Isabella County · 75,111 people
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,226
- Household income
- $51,267
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Isabella County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,111 people
- By 2030
- 77,600 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 79,890 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 81,568 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 86,602 · +15.3%
- By 2100
- 92,201 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Isabella
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.5% · R 53.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.5 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.75%
- Current HPI
- 206.1153
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 16.89%
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+180.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $73,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-06 Listed $78,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-06 Listed $78,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $775,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2023): $767 · +40.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…