🏷️ Likely Rental
11207 W US Hwy 90 Unit B3 · Lake View, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1 bedroom 1 bathroom unit at The Palms of Bayview. Rent includes basic wifi & streaming cable. Onsite laundry facility, beautiful pool and Wi-Fi available in common areas. $50 application fee, each person 18+ must apply. Unit available immediately. * pets allowed upon approval, pet screening required.
Key facts
- Beautiful pool
- Move in ready
- Listed 255 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a condo listed at $800.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $800).
- Recommended offer: $704 (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#1,586 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Felipe-Del Rio CISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #667 of 826 in TX (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Val Verde County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Val Verde County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $224 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($704) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50 (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 184.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1745.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6212.79%
- DSCR
- 277.43
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 320.80×
- Total profit
- $71,634
- Equity at exit
- $119
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 666.73×
- Total profit
- $149,124
- Equity at exit
- $69
Cash invested: $224 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78840
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 549
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $12/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $1,160
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $200
- Closing costs
- $24
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- internetcablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-19days on market $800 Active 256 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $800 Active 255 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 320-char remark
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $800 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $1,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $1,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $1,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $1,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $1,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $1,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $1,000 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $1,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $1,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $1,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-05-04price $1,000 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Furnished move in ready studio apartment at The Palms of Bayview. All bills paid, includes wifi & basic cable. Onsite laundry facility, beautiful pool and Wi-Fi available in common areas. $50 application fee, each person 18+ must apply. Unit available immediately. * pets allowed upon approval, pet screening required.
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2026-05-04price $800 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Furnished move in ready studio apartment at The Palms of Bayview. All bills paid, includes wifi & basic cable. Onsite laundry facility, beautiful pool and Wi-Fi available in common areas. $50 application fee, each person 18+ must apply. Unit available immediately. * pets allowed upon approval, pet screening required.
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2025-10-27$850 Active
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2025-10-27$1,100 Active
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2025-10-07price $1,000
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2025-10-06$1,100 Active
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Furnished move in ready studio apartment at The Palms of Bayview. All bills paid, includes wifi & basic cable. Onsite laundry facility, beautiful pool and Wi-Fi available in common areas. $50 application fee, each person 18+ must apply. Unit available immediately. * pets allowed upon approval, pet screening required.
-
2025-10-06$1,100 Active 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Furnished move in ready studio apartment at The Palms of Bayview. All bills paid, includes wifi & basic cable. Onsite laundry facility, beautiful pool and Wi-Fi available in common areas. $50 application fee, each person 18+ must apply. Unit available immediately. * pets allowed upon approval, pet screening required.
-
2025-10-06$850 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Furnished move in ready studio apartment at The Palms of Bayview. All bills paid, includes wifi & basic cable. Onsite laundry facility, beautiful pool and Wi-Fi available in common areas. $50 application fee, each person 18+ must apply. Unit available immediately. * pets allowed upon approval, pet screening required.
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2025-04-24$925 Active
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2025-04-22price $1,400
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2025-04-22$1,100 Active
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2025-03-26$1,100 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$45
- − Property taxes
- −$12
- − Insurance
- −$4
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$23
- Taxable income
- $14,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,548
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,369/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Felipe-Del Rio CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838900
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,582
- Composite
- 24.04/100
- National rank
- #7766
- State rank
- #667 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lake View
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #1586
- US rank
- #27132
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Val Verde County · 47,256 people
- Metro
- Del Rio, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,256
- Household income
- $66,084
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1111.0
Population outlook (Val Verde County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,073 people
- By 2030
- 47,468 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 45,930 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 43,904 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 38,126 · -20.7%
- By 2100
- 26,217 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% White 15% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 63%
Political lean MEDSL · Val Verde
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.6) · D 36.2% · R 62.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -26.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.6 2020: R+9.9 2016: D+7.9 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.95%
- Current HPI
- 161.762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Del Rio, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $1,000 DRBORMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $800 DRBORMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $850 DRBORMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $1,100 DRBORMLS
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $1,000 DRBORMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $1,100 DRBORMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $1,100 DRBORMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $850 DRBORMLS
- 2025-04-24 Listed $925 DRBORMLS
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $1,400 DRBORMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $1,100 DRBORMLS
- 2025-03-26 Listed $1,100 DRBORMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…