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4710 Gunter St 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +4.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$340,000

4710 Gunter St · Houston, TX 77020
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,743 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2025 2,500 sqft lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this brand-new, 2-story residence that blends sleek modern aesthetics w/ premium finishes. Thoughtfully constructed, it features engineered hardwood floors, high-end fixtures, & a layout that balances function w/ design-forward living. The 1st floor offers open-concept living, kitchen, & dining w/ clean lines & natural flow — ideal for entertaining or everyday comfort. The kitchen includes granite counters, a full tile backsplash, & modern cabinetry. Upstairs, the spacious primary has a huge walk-in shower & dual vanities, while secondary bedrooms offer comfort & flexibility. Located in Houston’s dynamic Fifth Ward/East End, you're min

Key facts

  • Full tile backsplash
  • Dual vanities
  • Modern cabinetry

Tags

ENGINEERED HARDWOOD FLOORSGRANITE COUNTERSFULL TILE BACKSPLASHMODERN CABINETRYHUGE WALK-IN SHOWERDUAL VANITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; New construction; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built in 2025; Cement siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Fence (back yard); Concrete road surface; Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (14 x 16); Bedroom on first floor (5 x 4.5); Bedroom on second floor (10 x 11)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Engineered hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Primary bathroom on second floor (10 x 8); Bathroom on second floor (8 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Granite countertops; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Kitchen/family room combo; Tub/shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $340,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $376,637.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (42.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (32.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (42.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Henderson N El (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #4,259 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 227 students, 100% FRL); Mcreynolds Middle (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 398 students, 98% FRL); Wheatley H S (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 643 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,295/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 969% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $194,527 (42.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
3.01%
Cash-on-cash
-11.73%
DSCR
0.48
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$376,637
List price
$340,000
Delta
-1.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4415 Coke St Unit B 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,736 (-0%) 10mo $360,000 $207 81
659 Press St 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,682 (-4%) 2mo $299,900 $178 75
651 Press St 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,682 (-4%) 9mo $299,900 $178 68
4611 Buck St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,541 (-12%) 8mo $205,000 $133 62
4703 Oats St Unit B 0.69mi 3/3.0 1,768 (+1%) 6mo $359,000 $203 59
5416 San Juan St 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,584 (-9%) 8mo $349,900 $221 58
5420 San Juan St 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,584 (-9%) 8mo $349,990 $221 58
1266 Finnigan Dr 0.33mi 3/3.5 1,988 (+14%) 2mo $375,000 $189 56
1264 Finnigan Dr 0.33mi 3/3.5 1,988 (+14%) 3mo $375,000 $189 55
3616 Market St 0.68mi 3/3.0 1,607 (-8%) 2mo $325,000 $202 51
5203 San Juan St 0.32mi 3/3.5 1,988 (+14%) 8mo $389,000 $196 51
4501 Rawley St 0.75mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,924 (+10%) 6mo $399,990 $208 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$142,621
Equity at exit
$339,305
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$478,337
Equity at exit
$731,724

Cash invested: $105,458 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77020

Home prices YoY
29.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,295 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,975
Tax from tax record
$712 /mo · $8,541/yr
Insurance
$157
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$-1,031

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,600
Max offer price $194,527
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-818 -5% $-924 +0% $-1,031 +5% $-1,137 +10% $-1,244
Rent -10% $-1,212 -5% $-1,122 +0% $-1,031 +5% $-940 +10% $-850
Rate -1.0pp $-841 -0.5pp $-935 base $-1,031 +0.5pp $-1,128 +1.0pp $-1,228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,159
Closing costs
$11,299
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1222 Upton St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2055 $2,600 $1.27 45d 1 0.26mi
4109 Hare St Unit 1019559P Houston, TX 4.0 2.5 1905 $6,852 $3.60 9d 1 0.41mi
4109 Hare St Unit A Houston, TX 4.0 2.5 1913 $6,950 $3.63 45d 1 0.41mi
4300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1393 $1,460 $1.05 45d 1 0.53mi
4712 Rawley St Unit a Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,070 $1.38 22d 1 0.68mi
4712 Rawley St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1501 $2,045 $1.36 22d 1 0.68mi
3730 Lyons Ave Unit 216 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1107 $1,300 $1.17 45d 1 0.72mi
3419 Gillespie St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2168 $2,300 $1.06 45d 1 0.72mi
3410 Baer St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2040 $3,500 $1.72 45d 1 0.73mi
1023 Hahlo St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1434 $1,775 $1.24 7d 1 0.83mi
308 Grove St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1701 $2,350 $1.38 9d 1 0.83mi
1513 Cage St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1467 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.84mi
5217 Noble St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1897 $2,750 $1.45 45d 1 0.86mi
1303 Bayou St Unit C Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1869 $3,200 $1.71 45d 1 0.93mi
2105 Sam Wilson St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1416 $6,750 $4.77 45d 1 0.93mi
5605 Mulvey St Unit 1019610P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1410 $4,376 $3.10 0d 1 0.93mi
1307 Bayou St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1814 $2,400 $1.32 9d 1 0.93mi
3300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1393 $1,460 $1.05 45d 1 0.94mi
611 Sydnor St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2157 $2,400 $1.11 45d 1 0.95mi
800 Middle St Houston, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,593 $1.59 7d 1 1.04mi
2905 Baer St Unit 1047953P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1991 $2,922 $1.47 0d 1 1.04mi
4509 Courtney St Houston, TX 4.0 1.0 1456 $1,150 $0.79 24d 1 1.25mi
132 N Estelle St Unit 1526930P Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1076 $1,760 $1.64 9d 1 1.37mi
91 Jensen Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0–2.5 970 $3,420 $3.52 0d 67 1.38mi
91 Jensen Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 872 $3,094 $3.55 22d 16 1.38mi
2 Jenkins St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1242 $2,250 $1.81 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $340,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $340,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $340,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $340,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $340,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $340,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $372,500 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $372,500 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $372,500 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $372,500 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $372,500 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $372,500 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $372,500 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $372,500 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-01-13
    historical
  16. 2026-01-13
    listed $372,500 Active 998-char remark
  17. 2025-10-13
    historical
  18. 2025-10-13
    listed $380,000 Active
  19. 2025-09-03
    listed $395,000 Active
  20. 2020-07-02
    soldstatus
  21. 2018-02-23
    soldstatus
  22. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,541 · $712/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,541 · $712/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,538
− Mortgage interest
−$21,098
− Property taxes
−$8,541
− Insurance
−$1,883
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,203
− Management
−$2,203
− Depreciation
−$10,957
Taxable loss
−$19,347
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,643
After-tax cash flow
$-7,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,686
Household income
$50,119
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
969.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Black 24% Two or more races 22% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 59% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.64%
Current HPI
246.5578
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $340,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $372,500 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $372,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $380,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $395,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-07-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-02-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+36.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,541 · +376.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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