311 Choptank Ave · Easton, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedroom, 2 bath rancher in very good condition with a separate den and a separate utility room, 24 hour notice because of pets please.
Key facts
- Near downtown easton
- Large picture window
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership; Average condition; Above-grade finished living area per assessor
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Fiberglass roof; Crawl space foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 80.00 x (per assessor)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven/range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Combination kitchen and dining area; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $297k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Easton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#154 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime D.
- Talbot County Public Schools (town): math 15% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #12 of 24 in MD (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 158 units permitted in Talbot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Talbot County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 17849% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $218k; list at $350k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.41%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $333,983
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- 4.80%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Choptank Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-1%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $204 | 93 |
| 29510 Hawkes Hill Rd | 0.27mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+2%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $211 | 75 |
| 207 Tred Avon | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (-9%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $213 | 72 |
| 30 Kelley Gibson St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,580 (0%) | 4mo | $241,900 | $153 | 70 |
| 203 E Earle Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,694 (+7%) | 4mo | $460,000 | $272 | 59 |
| 202 S Aurora St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (+9%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 414 S Aurora St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,812 (+15%) | 6mo | $504,000 | $278 | 52 |
| 103 Parris Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+9%) | 1mo | $397,500 | $232 | 50 |
| 601 Goldsborough St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,472 (-7%) | 8mo | $132,500 | $90 | 48 |
| 619 S Washington St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+10%) | 2mo | $456,000 | $262 | 48 |
| 125 S Higgins St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-13%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $179 | 47 |
| 625 Goldsborough St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,704 (+8%) | 9mo | $369,000 | $217 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-44,311
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-22,954
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21601
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,966 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,986/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$623
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $395 | -5% $296 | +0% $197 | +5% $98 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $79 | +0% $197 | +5% $314 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $373 | -0.5pp $286 | base $197 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Tred Avon Ave Unit NA Easton, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $3,000 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 532 Trippe Ave Easton, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1995 | $3,900 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 607 North St Easton, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $3,100 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 8337 Elliott Rd Easton, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $2,445 | $2.26 | 5d | 6 | 0.85mi |
| 8460 Colony Cir Easton, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $3,000 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 28525 Augusta Ct Easton, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $2,800 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $350,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $350,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $350,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $350,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$350,000 Active 1084-char remark
-
2005-07-01soldstatus $218,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Three bedroom, 2 bath rancher in very good condition with a separate den and a separate utility room, 24 hour notice because of pets please.
-
2005-06-30soldstatus $218,000
-
2005-06-07historical 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Three bedroom, 2 bath rancher in very good condition with a separate den and a separate utility room, 24 hour notice because of pets please.
-
2005-04-20$225,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Three bedroom, 2 bath rancher in very good condition with a separate den and a separate utility room, 24 hour notice because of pets please.
-
1985-08-01soldstatus $71,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,986 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,900 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$915/yr (+$76/mo · 46.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$1,986
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,848
- − Management
- −$2,848
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$3,622
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$869
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Talbot County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400630
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,786
- Composite
- 23.11/100
- National rank
- #7961
- State rank
- #12 of 24 in MD
Livability — Easton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #154
- US rank
- #6882
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Easton, MD
- County
- Talbot County · 24,671 people
- City population
- 24,671
- Metro
- Easton, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,671
- Household income
- $83,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 771.0
Population outlook (Talbot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,811 people
- By 2030
- 36,305 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 34,818 · -5.4%
- By 2050
- 32,982 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 29,631 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 25,767 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Talbot
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 49.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -9.6pp · 2024: -0.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.0 2020: D+0.5 2016: R+11.9 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.01%
- Current HPI
- 229.2902
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Easton, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-97.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed for Rent $1,950 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-07-01 Sold (MLS) $218,000 MRIS
- 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-04-20 Listed $225,000 MRIS
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,986 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…