1717 Ennismore Rd · Hope Mills, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away on a quiet street in the desirable Cypress Pointe community, this beautifully designed five-bedroom, three-bath home offers exceptional space, modern style, and a highly functional layout. The main level features a spacious guest bedroom with an oversized walk-in closet and a full bath, ideal for visitors or multi-generational living. An expansive family room opens seamlessly to the informal dining area and overlooks the large kitchen, complete with a generous center island—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Contemporary finishes and a modern color palette are showcased throughout the home. Upstairs, the impressive primary suite provides a private retreat with a
Key facts
- Full bath
- Informal dining area
- Guest bedroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $322k (5.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (23.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $261k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gray'S Creek Middle (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #215 of 475 statewide, top 46%, 1,126 students, 50% FRL); Gray'S Creek High (math 61% / reading 58%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 1,395 students, 44% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,609/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 746% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.25%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $377,864
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1717 Ennismore Rd | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,536 (0%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $132 | 95 |
| 4651 Revelstroke Rd | 0.10mi | 5/3.0 | 2,267 (-11%) | 8mo | $312,500 | $138 | 67 |
| 5387 Clubhouse Ln | 0.44mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,555 (+1%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 1608 Laguardia Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,425 (-4%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $128 | 55 |
| 5379 Clubhouse Ln | 0.43mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,856 (+13%) | 2mo | $558,600 | $196 | 50 |
| 5417 Labrador Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,377 (-6%) | 9mo | $355,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 911 Camargo Ct | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,466 (-3%) | 24mo | $370,500 | $150 | 46 |
| 4721 Bramble St | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,477 (-2%) | 13mo | $363,000 | $147 | 44 |
| 1952 Fennell Rd | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,239 (-12%) | 16mo | $354,900 | $159 | 41 |
| 4428 Salem Prince Dr | 0.53mi | 5/2.5 | 2,249 (-11%) | 16mo | $330,000 | $147 | 37 |
| 4927 Bramble St | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,842 (+12%) | 12mo | $455,000 | $160 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-58,065
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-44,671
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28348
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 317
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,609 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$548
- Net cashflow
- $-99
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1233 Screech Owl Dr Hope Mills, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2260 | $2,150 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1437 Vergeland Dr Hope Mills, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3015 | $2,450 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-19status Pending
-
2026-03-05price $339,900
-
2026-02-06$341,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,529 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,787 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- +$258/yr (+$22/mo · 10.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$2,529
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,504
- − Management
- −$2,504
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable loss
- −$7,162
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,719
- After-tax cash flow
- $530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Hope Mills
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #234
- US rank
- #10761
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 39,196
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,196
- Household income
- $66,129
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 746.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.14%
- Current HPI
- 228.3122
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
-0.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $339,900 LPRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $341,500 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+85.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,529 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…