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1629 American Dr
B Composite 70.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,995

1629 American Dr · Cleburne, TX 76033
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 168 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience upscale everyday living at Villas de Mariposas in Cleburne, Texas Travel's Best City of 2026-where modern comfort meets resort-style convenience. This modern, energy-efficient home offers approximately 1,216 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, featuring a uniquely designed split open-concept floor plan ideal for privacy and entertaining. Inside, enjoy divine sleek finishes, stylish appliances, abundant cabinetry, and thoughtfully designed details throughout. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and an oversized shower, while the laundry and utility room adds everyday convenience. Residents enjoy exclusive access to resort-style amenities, including a swimming pool, 24-hour fitness center, upscale clubhouse with coffee bar and gaming lounge, private playground, professionally landscaped grounds, and included lawn care services-all designed for a low-maintenance luxury lifestyle. Monthly lease fees include access to community amenities and professional property services for a seamless living experience. Flexible on-site financing and rent-to-own opportunities are available, with a dedicated on-site team ready to make the homebuying process simple and stress-free. Contact us today to schedule your private tour and ask about current promotions at Villas de Mariposas in award-winning Cleburne, TX.

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Walk-in closet
  • Soaker tub

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNWALK-IN CLOSETSOAKER TUBSPACIOUS LAUNDRY AREARESORT-STYLE AMENITIES24-HOUR FITNESS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.6% in Cleburne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Cleburne ISD (town): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #537 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 660 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,955 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
16.05%
Cash-on-cash
34.84%
DSCR
2.55
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$27,612
Equity at exit
$13,717
10-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$65,642
Equity at exit
$7,954

Cash invested: $25,759 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76033

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
660
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,751 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax est. 1.5%
$115 /mo · $1,380/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$748

Break-even live

Break-even rent $805
Max offer price $91,995
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,999
Closing costs
$2,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1501 Park Blvd Cleburne, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1456 $1,795 $1.23 1d 22 0.14mi
1304 Berry Dr Cleburne, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 20d 1 0.58mi
1211 Country Club Rd Cleburne, TX 2.0 1.0 994 $1,395 $1.40 24d 1 0.59mi
1410 Hyde Park Blvd Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $2,111 $1.38 1d 1 0.66mi
1404 Chaucer Dr Cleburne, TX 4.0 2.0 1797 $2,895 $1.61 1d 1 0.82mi
1502 Sharron Ct Unit A Cleburne, TX 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,400 $1.28 22d 1 0.83mi
1502 Sharron Ct Unit A Cleburne, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 24d 1 0.83mi
1203 Stonelake Dr Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1550 $2,000 $1.29 4d 1 0.84mi
1211 Larkspur Ln Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1797 $2,250 $1.25 1d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $91,995 Active 168 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $91,995 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $91,995 Active 166 DOM
  4. 2026-05-19
    price $91,995 1342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1342 chars)

    Experience upscale everyday living at Villas de Mariposas in Cleburne, Texas Travel's Best City of 2026-where modern comfort meets resort-style convenience. This modern, energy-efficient home offers approximately 1,216 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, featuring a uniquely designed split open-concept floor plan ideal for privacy and entertaining. Inside, enjoy divine sleek finishes, stylish appliances, abundant cabinetry, and thoughtfully designed details throughout. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and an oversized shower, while the laundry and utility room adds everyday convenience. Residents enjoy exclusive access to resort-style amenities, including a swimming pool, 24-hour fitness center, upscale clubhouse with coffee bar and gaming lounge, private playground, professionally landscaped grounds, and included lawn care services-all designed for a low-maintenance luxury lifestyle. Monthly lease fees include access to community amenities and professional property services for a seamless living experience. Flexible on-site financing and rent-to-own opportunities are available, with a dedicated on-site team ready to make the homebuying process simple and stress-free. Contact us today to schedule your private tour and ask about current promotions at Villas de Mariposas in award-winning Cleburne, TX.

  5. 2026-01-28
    status Active 1342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1342 chars)

    Experience upscale everyday living at Villas de Mariposas in Cleburne, Texas Travel's Best City of 2026-where modern comfort meets resort-style convenience. This modern, energy-efficient home offers approximately 1,216 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, featuring a uniquely designed split open-concept floor plan ideal for privacy and entertaining. Inside, enjoy divine sleek finishes, stylish appliances, abundant cabinetry, and thoughtfully designed details throughout. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and an oversized shower, while the laundry and utility room adds everyday convenience. Residents enjoy exclusive access to resort-style amenities, including a swimming pool, 24-hour fitness center, upscale clubhouse with coffee bar and gaming lounge, private playground, professionally landscaped grounds, and included lawn care services-all designed for a low-maintenance luxury lifestyle. Monthly lease fees include access to community amenities and professional property services for a seamless living experience. Flexible on-site financing and rent-to-own opportunities are available, with a dedicated on-site team ready to make the homebuying process simple and stress-free. Contact us today to schedule your private tour and ask about current promotions at Villas de Mariposas in award-winning Cleburne, TX.

  6. 2026-01-27
    historical 1342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1342 chars)

    Experience upscale everyday living at Villas de Mariposas in Cleburne, Texas Travel's Best City of 2026-where modern comfort meets resort-style convenience. This modern, energy-efficient home offers approximately 1,216 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, featuring a uniquely designed split open-concept floor plan ideal for privacy and entertaining. Inside, enjoy divine sleek finishes, stylish appliances, abundant cabinetry, and thoughtfully designed details throughout. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and an oversized shower, while the laundry and utility room adds everyday convenience. Residents enjoy exclusive access to resort-style amenities, including a swimming pool, 24-hour fitness center, upscale clubhouse with coffee bar and gaming lounge, private playground, professionally landscaped grounds, and included lawn care services-all designed for a low-maintenance luxury lifestyle. Monthly lease fees include access to community amenities and professional property services for a seamless living experience. Flexible on-site financing and rent-to-own opportunities are available, with a dedicated on-site team ready to make the homebuying process simple and stress-free. Contact us today to schedule your private tour and ask about current promotions at Villas de Mariposas in award-winning Cleburne, TX.

  7. 2025-12-16
    listed $94,995 Active 1342-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1342 chars)

    Experience upscale everyday living at Villas de Mariposas in Cleburne, Texas Travel's Best City of 2026-where modern comfort meets resort-style convenience. This modern, energy-efficient home offers approximately 1,216 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, featuring a uniquely designed split open-concept floor plan ideal for privacy and entertaining. Inside, enjoy divine sleek finishes, stylish appliances, abundant cabinetry, and thoughtfully designed details throughout. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities and an oversized shower, while the laundry and utility room adds everyday convenience. Residents enjoy exclusive access to resort-style amenities, including a swimming pool, 24-hour fitness center, upscale clubhouse with coffee bar and gaming lounge, private playground, professionally landscaped grounds, and included lawn care services-all designed for a low-maintenance luxury lifestyle. Monthly lease fees include access to community amenities and professional property services for a seamless living experience. Flexible on-site financing and rent-to-own opportunities are available, with a dedicated on-site team ready to make the homebuying process simple and stress-free. Contact us today to schedule your private tour and ask about current promotions at Villas de Mariposas in award-winning Cleburne, TX.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,015
− Mortgage interest
−$5,153
− Property taxes
−$1,380
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,681
− Management
−$1,681
− Depreciation
−$2,676
Taxable income
$7,984
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,916
After-tax cash flow
$7,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready manufactured home offers a modern, energy-efficient design with excellent curb appeal and no visible repairs or maintenance needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleburne ISD
NCES district ID
4814310
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,788
Composite
29.0/100
National rank
#6618
State rank
#537 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cleburne

Score
68/100
State rank
#460
US rank
#9292

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Johnson County · 147,987 people
City population
29,538
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,538
Household income
$76,292
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
927.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,678 people
By 2030
189,208 · +5.3%
By 2040
207,261 · +15.4%
By 2050
223,064 · +24.1%
By 2075
259,979 · +44.7%
By 2100
275,395 · +53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.75%
Current HPI
246.0029
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $91,995 Zillow
  • 2026-01-28 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-01-27 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $94,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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