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433 N Railroad St
D- Composite 38.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

433 N Railroad St · Tamaqua, PA 18252
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,734 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1915 1,306 sqft lot $86/sqft · 56% above area Est $101k · 48% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tamaqua 4 BR home with additional finished unheated room that could be 5th bedroom, office, or large walk in closet. .. you decide! Home was done from top to bottom freshly painted, plank laminate floors, & newer windows. First level laundry with washer & dryer & kitchen has stainless steel glass top range, refrigerator, microwave & dishwasher. Fenced yard and carpeted front & rear porches. OHW heat , 100 AMP service. Close to downtown, playgrounds, Community Art Center. Ask about free college for Tamaqua graduates at LCCC.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • First level laundry
  • Built 1915

Tags

FINISHED UNHEATED ROOMFIRST LEVEL LAUNDRYFENCED YARDCARPETED FRONT PORCHESCARPETED REAR PORCHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#209 in PA, #1,844 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, employment F.
  • Tamaqua Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #331 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $150k implies a 899% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.49%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,446
List price
$149,900
Delta
47.76%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
500 Pine St 0.06mi 4/2.5 1,935 (+12%) 2mo $213,000 $110 70
101 Clay St 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,652 (-5%) 9mo $215,000 $130 69
514 W Washington St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,530 (-12%) 3mo $240,000 $157 69
238 Brown St 0.32mi 4/1.0 1,502 (-13%) 3mo $108,000 $72 60
259 Clay St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,850 (+7%) 8mo $65,000 $35 60
110 N Lehigh St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (-3%) 7mo $107,500 $64 57
104 Gay St 0.46mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,656 (-4%) 13mo $55,000 $33 55
233 N Lehigh St 0.46mi 4/1.5 1,580 (-9%) 13mo $155,000 $98 51
238 W Rowe St 0.42mi 4/1.5 1,482 (-14%) 4mo $67,500 $46 50
242 N Lehigh St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,584 (-9%) 9mo $220,000 $139 48
63 S Nescopec St 0.52mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,898 (+10%) 12mo $150,000 $79 45
444 Hazle St 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,952 (+13%) 12mo $228,900 $117 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-18,765
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-9,287
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18252

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,423/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
223 Schuylkill Ave Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 43d 1 0.25mi
201 Market St Tamaqua, PA 5.0 1.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 23d 1 0.35mi
234 Mauch Chunk St Unit 2 Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,425 $1.30 23d 1 0.37mi
128 E Broad St Unit 128B Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1623 $1,450 $0.89 43d 1 0.42mi
435 E Union St Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1560 $1,275 $0.82 14d 1 0.44mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    historical
  2. 2026-02-20
    price $149,900 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Tamaqua 4 BR home with additional finished unheated room that could be 5th bedroom, office, or large walk in closet. .. you decide! Home was done from top to bottom freshly painted, plank laminate floors, & newer windows. First level laundry with washer & dryer & kitchen has stainless steel glass top range, refrigerator, microwave & dishwasher. Fenced yard and carpeted front & rear porches. OHW heat , 100 AMP service. Close to downtown, playgrounds, Community Art Center. Ask about free college for Tamaqua graduates at LCCC.

  3. 2025-11-15
    historical
  4. 2025-11-10
    listed $159,900 Active
  5. 2025-10-25
    listed $159,900 Active
  6. 2025-10-20
    price $159,900 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Tamaqua 4 BR home with additional finished unheated room that could be 5th bedroom, office, or large walk in closet. .. you decide! Home was done from top to bottom freshly painted, plank laminate floors, & newer windows. First level laundry with washer & dryer & kitchen has stainless steel glass top range, refrigerator, microwave & dishwasher. Fenced yard and carpeted front & rear porches. OHW heat , 100 AMP service. Close to downtown, playgrounds, Community Art Center. Ask about free college for Tamaqua graduates at LCCC.

  7. 2025-10-10
    listed $174,900 Active 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Tamaqua 4 BR home with additional finished unheated room that could be 5th bedroom, office, or large walk in closet. .. you decide! Home was done from top to bottom freshly painted, plank laminate floors, & newer windows. First level laundry with washer & dryer & kitchen has stainless steel glass top range, refrigerator, microwave & dishwasher. Fenced yard and carpeted front & rear porches. OHW heat , 100 AMP service. Close to downtown, playgrounds, Community Art Center. Ask about free college for Tamaqua graduates at LCCC.

  8. 1991-04-04
    soldstatus $15,000
  9. 1990-12-28
    soldstatus $12,732

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,423 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,896 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$473/yr (+$39/mo · 33.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,013
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,423
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,281
− Management
−$1,281
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$355
After-tax cash flow
$1,400/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tamaqua Area SD
NCES district ID
4223220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,184
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4893
State rank
#331 of 539 in PA

Livability — Tamaqua

Score
80/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#1844

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tamaqua, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,065

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 3% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.53%
Current HPI
194.8976
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1077.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-15 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $174,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1991-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 1990-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $12,732 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,423 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…