2302 Maki Rd #40 · Plant City, FL 33563

$139,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 920 sqft · Condo public records · 49 Days on market

Built 1987 $216/mo HOA · 13% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Priced Reduced! Looking for a place to call your own? Look no further—you’ve found it at Kentwood Park. 2302 Maki Rd, Unit 40 is in one of the most convenient locations in Plant City! Close to restaurants, shopping, movies, and more. Low HOA, community pool, 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, washer and dryer closet, cozy living room, and a cute little kitchen. This end unit has a privacy-fenced patio in the back. The seller has recently installed new windows, and the HOA has recently replaced the roof, making this a great option for someone ready to make the move to homeownership.

Key facts

• $216 HOA
• Community pool
• Built 1987

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $139k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
• Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, commute F.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $89k; list at $139k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.18%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-12,377
• Equity at exit: $20,725

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-9,782
• Equity at exit: $12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33563

• Home prices YoY: -23.2%
• Rents YoY: -0.6%
• Active inventory: 181
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,628 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$729
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $608/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$216
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$342
• Net cashflow: $233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334

Max offer price $139,000

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $312	-5% $272	+0% $233	+5% $194	+10% $154
Rent	-10% $104	-5% $169	+0% $233	+5% $297	+10% $362
Rate	-1.0pp $303	-0.5pp $268	base $233	+0.5pp $197	+1.0pp $160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,750
• Closing costs: $4,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2302 Maki Rd Plant City, FL	2.0	1.5	908	$1,550	$1.71	17d	2	0.13mi
2302 Maki Rd Plant City, FL	2.0	1.5–2.0	1123	$1,522	$1.36	25d	3	0.13mi
1001 Fairwinds Cir Plant City, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	943	$1,690	$1.79	25d	11	0.56mi
1017 Damascus Rd Plant City, FL	3.0	2.0	846	$1,750	$2.07	25d	1	0.60mi
305 W Grant St Plant City, FL	2.0–3.0	2.0	973	$1,450	$1.49	5d	2	0.83mi
501 W Ball St Unit War814 Plant City, FL	2.0	1.0	614	$1,499	$2.44	11d	1	1.21mi
501 W Ball St Unit Bal12135 Plant City, FL	2.0	1.0	624	$1,499	$2.40	25d	1	1.21mi
501 W Ball St Unit Hun303 Plant City, FL	1.0	1.0	614	$1,399	$2.28	25d	1	1.21mi
501 W Ball St Unit 609-02 Plant City, FL	2.0	1.0	780	$1,499	$1.92	4d	1	1.21mi
501 W Ball St Unit 705-13 Plant City, FL	2.0	1.0	780	$1,499	$1.92	22d	1	1.21mi
3202 Elsanta St Plant City, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	912	$2,030	$2.23	0d	36	1.35mi
809 1/2 W Warren St Plant City, FL	3.0	2.0	947	$1,650	$1.74	25d	1	1.42mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $216 · $2,592/yr
• Likely covers: pool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $139,000 Pending 49 DOM
2. 2026-06-04
   days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
3. 2026-06-03
   days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   days on market $139,000 Active 46 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   remarks 598-char remark
6. 2026-06-01
   pricedays on market $139,000 Active 45 DOM
7. 2026-05-31
   days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
8. 2026-05-16
   price $145,000 592-char remark

   Show marketing remark (592 chars)

   Priced Reduced! Looking for a place to call your own? Look no further—you’ve found it at Kentwood Park. 2302 Maki Rd, Unit 40 is in one of the most convenient locations in Plant City! Close to restaurants, shopping, movies, and more. Low HOA, community pool, 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, washer and dryer closet, cozy living room, and a cute little kitchen. This end unit has a privacy-fenced patio in the back. The seller has recently installed new windows, and the HOA has recently replaced the roof, making this a great option for someone ready to make the move to homeownership.

9. 2026-04-17
   listed $150,000 Active 592-char remark

   Show marketing remark (592 chars)

   Priced Reduced! Looking for a place to call your own? Look no further—you’ve found it at Kentwood Park. 2302 Maki Rd, Unit 40 is in one of the most convenient locations in Plant City! Close to restaurants, shopping, movies, and more. Low HOA, community pool, 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, washer and dryer closet, cozy living room, and a cute little kitchen. This end unit has a privacy-fenced patio in the back. The seller has recently installed new windows, and the HOA has recently replaced the roof, making this a great option for someone ready to make the move to homeownership.

10. 2020-09-02
    soldstatus $89,000
11. 2020-08-24
    soldstatus $90,500 Sold 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    MOVE IN READY - GREAT LOCATION - RECENTLY UPDATED! Over $10,000 in upgrades since 2018, including new AC, new appliances, new laminate, new carpet, new fence in the backyard! Very cozy and tastefully staged/decorated to give the future owner an idea of the condos potential. Own for less than rent! This END UNIT condo is in a great location at the back of the complex, so less traffic and on the end of the street for more guest parking, and more yard space. The condo features laminate flooring downstairs, new carpet upstairs, upgraded bathroom with upgraded wall tile, new vanity and new faucet. The entire condo is painted with neutral colors. Washer and dryer located in the condo and included in the sale with a storage closet. Backyard patio is fenced in for privacy. Low HOA fees cover exterior maintenance, roof reserves, termite treatment, pressure washing and pool maintenance. Rare walkable location with movies, restaurants and shopping close by.

12. 2020-07-04
    status Pending 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    MOVE IN READY - GREAT LOCATION - RECENTLY UPDATED! Over $10,000 in upgrades since 2018, including new AC, new appliances, new laminate, new carpet, new fence in the backyard! Very cozy and tastefully staged/decorated to give the future owner an idea of the condos potential. Own for less than rent! This END UNIT condo is in a great location at the back of the complex, so less traffic and on the end of the street for more guest parking, and more yard space. The condo features laminate flooring downstairs, new carpet upstairs, upgraded bathroom with upgraded wall tile, new vanity and new faucet. The entire condo is painted with neutral colors. Washer and dryer located in the condo and included in the sale with a storage closet. Backyard patio is fenced in for privacy. Low HOA fees cover exterior maintenance, roof reserves, termite treatment, pressure washing and pool maintenance. Rare walkable location with movies, restaurants and shopping close by.

13. 2020-06-25
    listed $90,000 Active 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    MOVE IN READY - GREAT LOCATION - RECENTLY UPDATED! Over $10,000 in upgrades since 2018, including new AC, new appliances, new laminate, new carpet, new fence in the backyard! Very cozy and tastefully staged/decorated to give the future owner an idea of the condos potential. Own for less than rent! This END UNIT condo is in a great location at the back of the complex, so less traffic and on the end of the street for more guest parking, and more yard space. The condo features laminate flooring downstairs, new carpet upstairs, upgraded bathroom with upgraded wall tile, new vanity and new faucet. The entire condo is painted with neutral colors. Washer and dryer located in the condo and included in the sale with a storage closet. Backyard patio is fenced in for privacy. Low HOA fees cover exterior maintenance, roof reserves, termite treatment, pressure washing and pool maintenance. Rare walkable location with movies, restaurants and shopping close by.

14. 2018-08-13
    soldstatus $72,500
15. 2018-08-07
    soldstatus $72,500 Sold
16. 2018-06-15
    status Pending
17. 2018-05-31
    status Active
18. 2018-05-15
    status Pending
19. 2018-05-02
    listed $72,500 Active
20. 2014-08-01
    soldstatus $38,000
21. 2012-11-26
    soldstatus $40,000
22. 2012-10-09
    listed $44,520
23. 2006-07-14
    soldstatus $124,900
24. 2006-07-14
    listed $124,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $608 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,154 · $96/mo
• Expected delta: +$546/yr (+$46/mo · 89.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,541
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,786
• − Property taxes: −$608
• − Insurance: −$695
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,563
• − Management: −$1,563
• − HOA: −$2,592
• − Depreciation: −$4,044
• Taxable income: $690
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$166
• After-tax cash flow: $2,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #227
• US rank: #3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Plant City, FL
• County: Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
• City population: 68,525
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 25,896
• Household income: $60,131
• Rent vs Own: 36.9% rent · 63.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 932.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 43% Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 15% Two or more races 15% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 66% English-only · Spanish 34%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -103.29%
• Current HPI: 342.5789
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.57%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+16.1% since first listed

17 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
• 2020-08-24 Sold (MLS) $90,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-07-04 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-06-25 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
• 2018-08-07 Sold (MLS) $72,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-06-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-05-31 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-05-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-05-02 Listed $72,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
• 2012-11-26 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2012-10-09 Listed $44,520 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-07-14 Listed $124,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-07-14 Sold (MLS) $124,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $608 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.