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10100 Burnt Store Rd #27
B+ Composite 78.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

10100 Burnt Store Rd #27 · Punta Gorda, FL 33950
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Manufactured public records · 185 Days on market
Built 2005 4,032 sqft lot Est $158k · 21% under $250/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Meticulously maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom gem with an open floor plan where the spacious living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen with central island, creating the perfect hub for daily living and entertaining. Inside laundry adds modern convenience, while the dedicated workshop—complete with its own laundry tub—is a dream for any DIY enthusiast or hobbyist. The living space extends outdoors to a massive screened-in lanai, ideal for an outdoor bar or hosting guests, which steps out onto a private bricked patio perfect for sunbathing or enjoying evening cocktails. Situated in the resident-owned, 55+ community of River Haven, this home offers more than just a place to liv

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Clubhouse
  • Community pool

Tags

INSIDE LAUNDRYOPEN FLOOR PLANWORKSHOP WITH LAUNDRY TUBBRICKED SEATING AREACOMMUNITY POOLCLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Workshop on property; Mature landscaping; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (about 0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $250 (total annual fees $3,000)
  • HOA & community: River Haven MHP association with required monthly fee of $250; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, and shuffleboard court; Association fee covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, grounds maintenance, trash, and water; Senior community; Pets allowed with restrictions (breed restrictions, cats OK, dogs OK, number limit); Deed restrictions; Golf carts permitted

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; 2-space carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured double wide; Single-story; North-facing; Completed condition; Homestead eligible
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Porch; Screened porch; Side porch; Exterior storage; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Inside utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 999 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
14.35%
Cash-on-cash
28.77%
DSCR
2.28
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,004
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3220 Acline Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-11%) 8mo $140,000 $133 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-773
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,002
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33950

Home prices YoY
-29.9%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
999
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,472 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,950
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $499 -5% $456 +0% $413 +5% $369 +10% $326
Rent -10% $217 -5% $315 +0% $413 +5% $510 +10% $608
Rate -1.0pp $475 -0.5pp $444 base $413 +0.5pp $380 +1.0pp $347

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26162 Stillwater Cir Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1266 $2,000 $1.58 21d 1 0.60mi
3845 Albacete Cir #50 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1451 $2,200 $1.52 21d 1 0.61mi
3800 Tripoli Blvd #35 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1451 $4,200 $2.89 21d 1 0.66mi
26120 Jones Loop Rd Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1105 $2,275 $2.06 14d 27 0.79mi
3701 Albacete Cir #98 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1451 $3,250 $2.24 21d 1 0.92mi
15 N Cardinal Unit B15 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,700 $1.77 21d 1 1.16mi
449 Royal Poinciana #221 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1164 $1,750 $1.50 21d 1 1.26mi
7361 S Plum Tree Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1373 $1,900 $1.38 21d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 169 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 168 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 167 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 166 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    price $125,000
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $130,000
  18. 2026-03-23
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-15
    status Pending
  20. 2025-12-07
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,664
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$5,744
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,373
− Management
−$2,373
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$3,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$879
After-tax cash flow
$4,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Punta Gorda

Score
76/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#3567

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
68,831
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,955
Household income
$76,369
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
608.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.73%
Current HPI
261.6573
Rent YoY
▼ -0.06%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-07 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $99 · +19.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…