9238 Campbell Way · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$225,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Versatile loft
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $226k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-432/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (2.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (25.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- South San Antonio ISD (urban): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #804 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $547 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.68%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-13,727
- Equity at exit
- $60,594
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $9,127
- Equity at exit
- $68,935
Cash invested: $63,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78211
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,687 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,185
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $772/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,500
- Closing costs
- $6,780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4111 Imogene Ivy San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 9122 Campbell Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3910 Poteet Pl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1880 | $1,525 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4007 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,525 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9419 Graze Br San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,550 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9419 Trap Rock Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2126 | $1,750 | $0.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3810 Kurz Plz S San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $550 | $0.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9407 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1310 | $1,525 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9427 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $1,650 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9306 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9334 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1272 | $1,515 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9402 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1529 | $1,600 | $1.05 | 10d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9422 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $1,575 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3811 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1529 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9435 Dogwood Hl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1529 | $1,600 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3723 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1529 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3411 Avoca Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,460 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3411 Avoca Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,460 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3331 Rosita Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1848 | $1,800 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3523 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2393 | $2,000 | $0.84 | 1d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3434 Hacienda Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2141 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3434 Hacienda Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2141 | $1,900 | $0.89 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10119 Jardin Verde San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1944 | $1,750 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8739 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1777 | $1,595 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10414 Espada Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 12305 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $1,607 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3322 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2094 | $1,895 | $0.90 | 11d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8522 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $1,540 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8619 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $1,540 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-05-12price $225,999 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-05-07price $227,999 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-05-06status Back on Market 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-27status Pending 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-17price $231,999 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-16price $249,999 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-15status Back on Market 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-03status Pending 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-28price $227,999 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-25price $228,999 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-19$229,999 New 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $772 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,136 · $345/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,364/yr (+$280/mo · 436.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,659
- − Property taxes
- −$772
- − Insurance
- −$1,130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,619
- − Management
- −$1,619
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,575
- Taxable loss
- −$4,432
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,064
- After-tax cash flow
- $631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840680
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,460
- Composite
- 13.6/100
- National rank
- #9511
- State rank
- #804 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,857
- Household income
- $55,436
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 30% White 5% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 65%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Current HPI
- 241.1709
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-1.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $225,999 LERA
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $227,999 LERA
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — LERA
- 2026-04-27 Pending — LERA
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $231,999 LERA
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $249,999 LERA
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — LERA
- 2026-04-03 Pending — LERA
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $227,999 LERA
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $228,999 LERA
- 2026-03-19 Listed $229,999 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…