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9238 Campbell Way
D Composite 41.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$225,999

9238 Campbell Way · San Antonio, TX 78211
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,867 sqft · Other · 36 Days on market
Built 2026 4,791 sqft lot $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Versatile loft
  • 4,791 sq ft lot

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANSPA-INSPIRED BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETVERSATILE LOFT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $226k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-432/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (2.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (25.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • South San Antonio ISD (urban): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #804 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $547 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $168,683 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.68%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-13,727
Equity at exit
$60,594
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$9,127
Equity at exit
$68,935

Cash invested: $63,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78211

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,687 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,185
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $772/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,732
Max offer price $219,633
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,500
Closing costs
$6,780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4111 Imogene Ivy San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,700 $1.33 3d 1 0.14mi
9122 Campbell Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,495 $1.10 2d 1 0.17mi
3910 Poteet Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1880 $1,525 $0.81 43d 1 0.43mi
4007 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,525 $1.23 4d 1 0.43mi
9419 Graze Br San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,550 $1.25 17d 1 0.44mi
9419 Trap Rock Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2126 $1,750 $0.82 4d 1 0.49mi
3810 Kurz Plz S San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $550 $0.43 23d 1 0.51mi
9407 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1310 $1,525 $1.16 23d 1 0.54mi
9427 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1950 $1,650 $0.85 43d 1 0.55mi
9306 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,600 $1.13 23d 1 0.56mi
9334 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1272 $1,515 $1.19 4d 1 0.56mi
9402 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,600 $1.05 10d 1 0.57mi
9422 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1419 $1,575 $1.11 43d 1 0.57mi
3811 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,650 $1.08 43d 1 0.59mi
9435 Dogwood Hl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,600 $1.05 43d 1 0.60mi
3723 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,650 $1.08 43d 1 0.65mi
3411 Avoca Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,460 $1.02 17d 1 1.18mi
3411 Avoca Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,460 $1.02 4d 1 1.18mi
3331 Rosita Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,800 $0.97 43d 1 1.28mi
3523 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX 4.0 3.0 2393 $2,000 $0.84 1d 1 1.30mi
3434 Hacienda Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2141 $2,000 $0.93 21d 1 1.30mi
3434 Hacienda Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2141 $1,900 $0.89 16d 1 1.30mi
10119 Jardin Verde San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1944 $1,750 $0.90 43d 1 1.42mi
8739 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1777 $1,595 $0.90 4d 1 1.46mi
10414 Espada Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,600 $1.13 43d 1 1.46mi
12305 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1036 $1,607 $1.55 16d 1 1.46mi
3322 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2094 $1,895 $0.90 11d 1 1.48mi
8522 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1539 $1,540 $1.00 44d 1 1.48mi
8619 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1539 $1,540 $1.00 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  2. 2026-05-12
    price $225,999 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  3. 2026-05-07
    price $227,999 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  4. 2026-05-06
    status Back on Market 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  5. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  6. 2026-04-17
    price $231,999 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  7. 2026-04-16
    price $249,999 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  8. 2026-04-15
    status Back on Market 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  9. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  10. 2026-03-28
    price $227,999 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  11. 2026-03-25
    price $228,999 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  12. 2026-03-19
    listed $229,999 New 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    The Morrow - This new two-story home boasts a spacious and modern design. On the first floor, a flexible open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas, and the luxurious owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. On the second floor, three secondary bedrooms surround a versatile loft for convenient shared living. Estimated Completion April 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$772 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,136 · $345/mo
Expected delta
+$3,364/yr (+$280/mo · 436.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,242
− Mortgage interest
−$12,659
− Property taxes
−$772
− Insurance
−$1,130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,619
− Management
−$1,619
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$6,575
Taxable loss
−$4,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,064
After-tax cash flow
$631/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4840680
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$35,460
Composite
13.6/100
National rank
#9511
State rank
#804 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,857
Household income
$55,436
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 30% White 5% Black 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
35% English-only · Spanish 65%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.45%
Current HPI
241.1709
Rent YoY
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending LERA
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $225,999 LERA
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $227,999 LERA
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted LERA
  • 2026-04-27 Pending LERA
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $231,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $249,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted LERA
  • 2026-04-03 Pending LERA
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $227,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $228,999 LERA
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $229,999 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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