CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
601 N Kirby #294
C+ Composite 62.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

601 N Kirby #294 · Hemet, CA 92545
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured public records · 205 Days on market
Built 1980 Est $43k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * Seller financing available * * Stylishly Updated Home in the Desirable 55+ Colonial Country Club! Step inside this beautifully refreshed 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering over 1,000 sq. ft. of comfortable, modern living. A wide French front door with integrated mini-blinds welcomes you into the open living and dining area, creating an inviting flow perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Thoughtful upgrades are found throughout, including brand-new waterproof vinyl plank flooring, upgraded light fixtures, four modern ceiling fans, and newly installed bathroom vanities that enhance the home’s clean and contemporary feel. Dual pane windows brighten the interior while improving

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Updated home
  • Dual pane windows

Tags

UPDATED HOMEUPGRADED LIGHT FIXTURESDUAL PANE WINDOWSNEWER HVAC SYSTEMCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGCOVERED CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed
  • Financial info: Land lease: $1,129 monthly (seller source)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Association amenities include pool, spa, gym/exercise room, pickleball, golf; pets permitted; Community features include golf course; Park name: Colonial Country; Manager approval required for residency; Land lease (monthly)

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport (attached); Driveway with concrete surface; 2 parking spaces (including 2 carport spaces)
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: District/public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Mobile home remains (20' x 50'); Updated/remodeled condition; North-facing; Single-story
  • Construction: Metal roof; One story
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Awning; Shed (1)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range and gas oven; Dishwasher; Central water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (all bedrooms on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Double-pane windows; No interior steps; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors; One-level floor plan; Entry at level 1
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Laundry area in kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.1% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Tahquitz High (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #777 of 1,170 statewide, top 67%, 1,727 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $49k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.91%
Cap rate
36.11%
Cash-on-cash
106.50%
DSCR
5.74
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,000
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 N Kirby St #287 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 6mo $49,500 $47 80
601 N Kirby St #42 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+8%) 10mo $54,900 $51 78
601 N Kirby St #17 0.10mi 2/2.0 960 (-4%) 13mo $70,000 $73 78
601 N Kirby St #154 0.02mi 2/2.0 960 (-4%) 22mo $40,000 $42 74
332 N Lyon #57 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,040 (+4%) 1mo $35,000 $34 58
1895 W Devonshire Ave #27 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,040 (+4%) 3mo $45,000 $43 56
1895 W Devonshire Ave #98 0.75mi 2/2.0 960 (-4%) 22mo $33,000 $34 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.18×
Total profit
$71,051
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.23×
Total profit
$167,728
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,916 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $226/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$1,218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $375
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,945 $2.75 1d 11 0.25mi
743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1206 $1,995 $1.65 5d 1 0.28mi
2422 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,800 $2.18 24d 1 0.30mi
811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,875 $1.61 4d 1 0.31mi
2488 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,599 $1.93 13d 1 0.31mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 11d 1 0.36mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 24d 1 0.36mi
3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,895 $2.27 3d 1 0.37mi
2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,650 $2.00 43d 1 0.40mi
528 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,900 $2.30 43d 1 0.43mi
682 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,600 $1.93 43d 1 0.45mi
2120 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $2,100 $2.54 43d 1 0.50mi
2054 Avenida Olivos Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,500 $1.83 43d 1 0.55mi
341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,395 $1.69 43d 1 0.58mi
1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,695 $1.73 17d 1 0.59mi
1933 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,700 $2.06 24d 1 0.61mi
1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 43d 1 0.62mi
2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,850 $2.39 43d 1 0.64mi
3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $2,055 $2.52 1d 8 0.64mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,750 $1.79 24d 1 0.64mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,900 $1.94 43d 1 0.64mi
627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 18d 1 0.64mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,100 $1.58 17d 1 0.67mi
1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,545 $1.87 24d 1 0.69mi
1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,670 $1.87 24d 1 0.77mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $1,895 $2.12 1d 10 0.79mi
1245 Millie Dr Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1392 $2,850 $2.05 7d 1 0.83mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 24d 1 0.91mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 7d 1 0.92mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 0.96mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,035 $2.27 1d 1 0.96mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 24d 1 1.01mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 43d 1 1.03mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 13d 1 1.08mi
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.5 1340 $2,550 $1.90 43d 1 1.11mi
4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,800 $1.37 43d 1 1.15mi
4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1193 $1,699 $1.42 14d 1 1.18mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 3 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,450 $1.89 5d 1 1.20mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 4 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,525 $1.99 21d 1 1.20mi
1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,561 $1.33 43d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 46 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 205 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 204 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 203 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 202 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 196 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 195 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 194 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,000 Active 191 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 190 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 189 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 188 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 187 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $49,000
  15. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-01
    status Pending Sale
  17. 2026-02-26
    price $44,000
  18. 2026-02-10
    status Active
  19. 2025-11-07
    listed $55,000 Active
  20. 2025-10-25
    historical
  21. 2025-08-22
    listed $72,000 Active
  22. 2025-08-22
    historical
  23. 2025-08-09
    listed $72,000 Active
  24. 2025-02-06
    historical
  25. 2024-12-20
    price $70,000
  26. 2024-11-05
    price $65,000
  27. 2024-10-16
    listed $72,500 Active
  28. 2024-09-13
    historical
  29. 2024-09-05
    status Active
  30. 2024-08-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  31. 2024-06-20
    price $73,000
  32. 2024-06-14
    status Active
  33. 2024-05-03
    listed $82,500 Active
  34. 2024-05-03
    historical
  35. 2024-04-12
    listed $90,000 Active
  36. 2024-04-11
    historical
  37. 2021-07-30
    soldstatus $28,000 Closed Sale
  38. 2021-07-03
    status Pending Sale
  39. 2021-06-22
    listed $19,900 Active
  40. 2011-08-15
    historical
  41. 2011-08-15
    status Active
  42. 2011-08-09
    historical Hold
  43. 2011-06-13
    price $10,000
  44. 2011-03-30
    listed $12,500 Active
  45. 2011-01-24
    historical
  46. 2010-07-25
    listed $17,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$226 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$372 · $31/mo
Expected delta
+$146/yr (+$12/mo · 64.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,995
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$226
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,840
− Management
−$1,840
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$14,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,522
After-tax cash flow
$11,090/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.7% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $49,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $44,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $55,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $72,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-09 Listed $72,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-02-06 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-12-20 Price Changed $70,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Price Changed $65,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-10-16 Listed $72,500 CRMLS
  • 2024-09-13 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-09-05 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-08-22 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2024-06-20 Price Changed $73,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-06-14 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-05-03 Listed $82,500 CRMLS
  • 2024-05-03 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2024-04-12 Listed $90,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-04-11 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $28,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-07-03 Pending CRMLS
  • 2021-06-22 Listed $19,900 CRMLS
  • 2011-08-15 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2011-08-15 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2011-08-09 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2011-06-13 Price Changed $10,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-03-30 Listed $12,500 CRMLS
  • 2011-01-24 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2010-07-25 Listed $17,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $226 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…