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15786 Parkside St
B- Composite 68.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

15786 Parkside St · Detroit, MI 48238
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1925 3,049 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * INVESTOR SPECIAL * * * This property features 2 spacious units. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each. Rent both, or live in one and rent the other. There is a surprise additional unit in the rear separate from duplex that can serve as an additional rental or studio space. Location situated on a quiet block not far from shopping, restaurants, schools/university, and easy freeway access. Seller is only entertaining serious offers.

Key facts

  • Easy freeway access
  • Quiet block
  • Additional unit

Tags

ADDITIONAL UNITQUIET BLOCKEASY FREEWAY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoned Multi-Family
  • Financial info: Two units total; Net operating income reported at $10,800
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas
  • Home design: Duplex multi-family property; 2-story structure; Built in 1925; Located in a city (Detroit) in the Roycroft subdivision; Facing and entry level not specified
  • Construction: Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Paved street access

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Two full bathrooms
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,607/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
18.96%
Cash-on-cash
45.24%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16194 Princeton St 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,132 (-3%) 2mo $160,000 $75 79
16167 Muirland St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,158 (-2%) 6mo $185,000 $86 75
15389 Lawton St 0.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,229 (+1%) 10mo $144,900 $65 72
16147 Normandy St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,082 (-5%) 2mo $189,000 $91 67
16532 Parkside St 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,097 (-5%) 3mo $223,850 $107 66
16569 Muirland St 0.42mi 4/2.0 2,323 (+6%) 9mo $235,000 $101 64
15745 Princeton St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,994 (-9%) 10mo $52,000 $26 60
16239 Muirland St 0.33mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,046 (-7%) 7mo $211,000 $103 60
16125 Linwood St 0.26mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,927 (-12%) 1mo $178,900 $93 59
16170 Monica St 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,226 (+1%) 9mo $205,000 $92 53
2978 Doris St 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,934 (-12%) 5mo $33,000 $17 42
17136 Fairfield St 0.72mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,870 (-15%) 6mo $290,000 $155 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$41,013
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
53.3%
Equity multiple
7.09×
Total profit
$119,452
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,607 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,609/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$739

Break-even live

Break-even rent $671
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $779 -5% $759 +0% $739 +5% $719 +10% $699
Rent -10% $612 -5% $676 +0% $739 +5% $802 +10% $866
Rate -1.0pp $774 -0.5pp $757 base $739 +0.5pp $721 +1.0pp $702

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15537 Normandy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2626 $1,400 $0.53 44d 1 0.27mi
16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2415 $1,800 $0.75 4d 1 0.36mi
3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,103 $0.71 44d 1 1.09mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 24d 1 1.13mi
15756 Ohio St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1934 $1,700 $0.88 24d 1 1.24mi
106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI 5.0 1.0 1920 $1,450 $0.76 11d 1 1.27mi
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 44d 1 1.35mi
3747 Tyler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,700 $0.65 24d 1 1.39mi
17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 24d 1 1.42mi
2474 Fullerton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 15d 1 1.45mi
16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2168 $1,995 $0.92 18d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    listing id $70,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 429-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,609 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,609 · $134/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,281
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,609
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,542
− Management
−$1,542
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$8,280
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,987
After-tax cash flow
$6,881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1300.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-20 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-20 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-20 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-20 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-21 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-21 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-02-17 Sold (MLS) $3,350 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-02-17 Sold (MLS) $3,350 REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-10 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-09-10 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,609 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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