15786 Parkside St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * INVESTOR SPECIAL * * * This property features 2 spacious units. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each. Rent both, or live in one and rent the other. There is a surprise additional unit in the rear separate from duplex that can serve as an additional rental or studio space. Location situated on a quiet block not far from shopping, restaurants, schools/university, and easy freeway access. Seller is only entertaining serious offers.
Key facts
- Easy freeway access
- Quiet block
- Additional unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property zoned Multi-Family
- Financial info: Two units total; Net operating income reported at $10,800
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas
- Home design: Duplex multi-family property; 2-story structure; Built in 1925; Located in a city (Detroit) in the Roycroft subdivision; Facing and entry level not specified
- Construction: Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Paved street access
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Two full bathrooms
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,607/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.24%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16194 Princeton St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,132 (-3%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $75 | 79 |
| 16167 Muirland St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,158 (-2%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $86 | 75 |
| 15389 Lawton St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,229 (+1%) | 10mo | $144,900 | $65 | 72 |
| 16147 Normandy St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,082 (-5%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $91 | 67 |
| 16532 Parkside St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,097 (-5%) | 3mo | $223,850 | $107 | 66 |
| 16569 Muirland St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,323 (+6%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $101 | 64 |
| 15745 Princeton St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,994 (-9%) | 10mo | $52,000 | $26 | 60 |
| 16239 Muirland St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,046 (-7%) | 7mo | $211,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 16125 Linwood St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,927 (-12%) | 1mo | $178,900 | $93 | 59 |
| 16170 Monica St | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,226 (+1%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $92 | 53 |
| 2978 Doris St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,934 (-12%) | 5mo | $33,000 | $17 | 42 |
| 17136 Fairfield St | 0.72mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,870 (-15%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $155 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $41,013
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.09×
- Total profit
- $119,452
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,607 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,609/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $739
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $779 | -5% $759 | +0% $739 | +5% $719 | +10% $699 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $612 | -5% $676 | +0% $739 | +5% $802 | +10% $866 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $774 | -0.5pp $757 | base $739 | +0.5pp $721 | +1.0pp $702 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15537 Normandy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2626 | $1,400 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2415 | $1,800 | $0.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,103 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 15756 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $1,700 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1920 | $1,450 | $0.76 | 11d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3747 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2600 | $1,700 | $0.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2474 Fullerton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2168 | $1,995 | $0.92 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15$70,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 429-char remark
-
2026-06-15$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,609
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,542
- − Management
- −$1,542
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $8,280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,987
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,881/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+1300.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-14 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-08-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-08-20 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-20 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-06-21 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-21 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-02-17 Sold (MLS) $3,350 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-02-17 Sold (MLS) $3,350 REALCOMP
- 2010-09-10 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-09-10 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,609 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…