43 Harrison Dr · Level Plains, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$157,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Brick exterior
- Deck in rear
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#438 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $43k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.07%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,330
- List price
- $157,000
- Delta
- -41.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $97,353
- Equity at exit
- $141,438
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.31×
- Total profit
- $277,441
- Equity at exit
- $305,016
Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36322
- Home prices YoY
- 31.4%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$196 /mo · $2,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $294 | -5% $240 | +0% $186 | +5% $131 | +10% $77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $59 | -5% $122 | +0% $186 | +5% $249 | +10% $313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $226 | base $186 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $104 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,250
- Closing costs
- $4,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469 Madison Ave Enterprise, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2130 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $157,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $157,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $157,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $157,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $157,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $157,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $157,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $157,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $157,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $157,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $157,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $157,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $157,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $157,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $157,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $157,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $157,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $157,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed.
-
2026-05-12price $157,000 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed.
-
2026-05-12price $157,000
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed.
-
2026-04-07price $170,900 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
-
2026-04-07price $170,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
-
2026-04-07price $170,900
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
-
2026-02-27price $184,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
-
2026-02-26price $184,900 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed.
-
2026-02-26price $184,900
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed.
-
2026-01-13$199,900 Active 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
-
2026-01-13$199,900 Active
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed. Minutes to Ft Rucker Enterprise OR Daleville gates.
-
2026-01-12$199,900 Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Three bedroom, 2.5 bath home with fireplace in the living room, formal dining room, and several bonus rooms. Brick exterior, 1 car carport, deck in rear and a detached storage shed.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,794
- − Property taxes
- −$2,355
- − Insurance
- −$785
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − Depreciation
- −$4,567
- Taxable loss
- −$289
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Daleville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101080
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,865
- Composite
- 19.89/100
- National rank
- #8687
- State rank
- #97 of 129 in AL
Livability — Level Plains
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #23383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dale County · 7,959 people
- Metro
- Ozark, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,959
- Household income
- $47,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 115.0
Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,805 people
- By 2030
- 45,176 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 41,523 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 37,575 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 28,931 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · South Korea, China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 49.15%
- Current HPI
- 205.6
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ozark, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-21.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $157,000 SAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $157,000 CAOR
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $157,000 WBR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $170,900 CAOR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $170,900 SAMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $170,900 WBR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $184,900 SAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $184,900 CAOR
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $184,900 WBR
- 2026-01-13 Listed $199,900 SAMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $199,900 WBR
- 2026-01-12 Listed $199,900 CAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…