4325 58th Way N #1423 · Kenneth City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Ground floor living
- Open living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished unit; No home warranty; Third-party listing contact available
- Financial info: Total annual fees approximately $6,000
- HOA & community: Monthly condo/HOA fee of $500; Association provides cable TV and internet; Association amenities include clubhouse, maintenance, shuffleboard court; Managed by Al Fernandez, CGM Management; Association fee required; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; size limits apply); Sidewalks and reclaimed water irrigation in community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking space (#1423) and visitor parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Fire hydrant; Recycled water sprinkler
- Home design: Condominium; One story; Faces south; Unit on floor 1
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building W 11
- Exterior features: In-ground pool; Asphalt road access; Irrigation equipment
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (located on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Stone counters; Window treatments; Florida room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.7% in Kenneth City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#47 in FL, #874 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.24%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-8,523
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-7,594
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33709
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,477 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $747/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5323 59th Cir W Kenneth City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 3d | 4 | 0.64mi |
| 5255 62nd St N Kenneth City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 3980 64th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,350 | $1.91 | 3d | 6 | 0.72mi |
| 6538 42nd Ave N Unit 7 Kenneth City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $2,000 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5680 28th Ave N Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,500 | $3.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6522 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 2d | 10 | 0.99mi |
| 3556 66th St N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,300 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4701 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6801 48th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,525 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5701 21st Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,449 | $1.87 | 7d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 4801 71st St N St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4801 71st St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5140 70th St N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,200 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-04-07price $85,000
-
2026-03-04price $89,500
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2026-03-04status Active
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2026-02-25status Pending
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2026-02-05price $94,000
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2026-01-14$99,000 Active
-
2024-10-17soldstatus $62,000
-
2024-10-02soldstatus $62,000 Closed 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
-
2024-09-11status Pending 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
-
2024-09-09price $62,900 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
-
2024-09-02price $69,950 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
-
2024-08-12price $74,975 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
-
2024-08-10price $125,000 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
-
2024-07-27$129,000 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Main Level 1/1 55+community, Move-in condition Only 1 Dog, 1 Cat Weight limit. Newer A/C Electric upgraded A/C approx. 2 years old Newer Hot water Heater MOTIVATED SELLER, ,, ,, ,, Make Offer!!!
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2016-05-23soldstatus $32,500
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1992-01-31soldstatus $21,000
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1987-11-12soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $747 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $747 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$747
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $485
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kenneth City
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #874
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenneth City, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,050
- Household income
- $53,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 712.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.74%
- Current HPI
- 391.368
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.99%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+240.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $89,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $94,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-02 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-09 Price Changed $62,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-02 Price Changed $69,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-12 Price Changed $74,975 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-10 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-27 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
- 1992-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1987-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $747 · +412.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…