1011 Kiser Dairy Rd · Dallas, NC 28034

$215,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,742 sqft · Manufactured · 89 Days on market

Built 2000 0.94 ac lot ↓ 20% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.0/10.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming 4 bedroom, 2 bath home on a spacious . 94 acre lot with mature trees and plenty of outdoor space. Features a cozy fireplace, functional layout and a large yard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Includes a deck, carport and additional storage buildings for added convenience. Make us an offer

Key facts

• Detached carport
• Family room
• Formal living room

Tags

• DETACHED CARPORT
• FENCED BACKYARD
• FAMILY ROOM
• FORMAL LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Approximately 0.94-acre lot; Roads are gravel and paved and publicly maintained; Zoned R-1
• HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

• Parking: Detached carport
• Utilities: Well water; Septic system
• Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One story; Crawl space foundation
• Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior
• Exterior features: Fenced yard; Outbuilding

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Exhaust hood; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: 9 total rooms; Fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-56/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (0.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (12.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $187k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#299 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: North Gaston High (math 49% / reading 42%, grade D-, #347 of 535 statewide, top 65%, 1,134 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 37% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $187,488 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.27%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.09%
• DSCR: 1.00
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -19.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.33×
• Total profit: $-40,602
• Equity at exit: $32,057

10-year hold

• IRR: -21.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.06×
• Total profit: $-56,857
• Equity at exit: $18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28034

• Home prices YoY: -24.6%
• Rents YoY: -5.5%
• Active inventory: 94
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,875 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,127
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$394
• Net cashflow: $-5

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,881

Max offer price $214,325

Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,750
• Closing costs: $6,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-27
   historical Active Under Contract
2. 2026-04-13
   price $215,000
3. 2026-04-01
   price $220,000
4. 2026-03-12
   price $255,000
5. 2026-02-26
   listed $269,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,499
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,043
• − Property taxes: −$3,225
• − Insurance: −$1,075
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,800
• − Management: −$1,800
• − Depreciation: −$6,255
• Taxable loss: −$3,699
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$888
• After-tax cash flow: $832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gaston County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3701620
• Math proficiency: 44% ▲ 4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $43,644
• Composite: 36.39/100
• National rank: #4680
• State rank: #93 of 178 in NC

Livability — Dallas

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #299
• US rank: #12509

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Gaston County · 201,497 people
• City population: 18,979
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• Population (ZIP): 18,979
• Household income: $62,083
• Rent vs Own: 25.4% rent · 74.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 383.0

Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 230,027 people
• By 2030: 237,300 · +3.2%
• By 2040: 249,659 · +8.5%
• By 2050: 257,806 · +12.1%
• By 2075: 272,163 · +18.3%
• By 2100: 268,652 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Gaston

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: 0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -78.58%
• Current HPI: 241.4021
• Rent YoY: ▼ -5.47%
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

-20.3% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $215,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-01 Price Changed $220,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $255,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-26 Listed $269,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $198 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.