1115 Griswold St · Port Huron, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home has a fenced yard. There is a detached garage with alley access. The home is close to stores and schools.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Close to schools
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Below-grade finished area present
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 29 x 107.5 feet; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator; Range; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.6% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $103k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.12%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1133 Chestnut St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,430 (-4%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $126 | 83 |
| 1132 Griswold St | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+4%) | 2mo | $113,000 | $72 | 80 |
| 1407 Minnie St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,532 (+2%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $85 | 78 |
| 1203 Oak St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 2mo | $50,100 | $37 | 78 |
| 731 Bancroft St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,535 (+3%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 1022 17th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,453 (-3%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $114 | 66 |
| 1624 15th St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,362 (-9%) | 4mo | $156,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 1111 Pearl St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,489 (-0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 729 13th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,584 (+6%) | 2mo | $95,100 | $60 | 59 |
| 919 10th St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,662 (+11%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $36 | 53 |
| 1128 Gillett St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+12%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $80 | 45 |
| 1102 Lapeer Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,700 (+14%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $106 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,041
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $34,065
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48060
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,215/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 937 Howard St Port Huron, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 218 Huron Ave Unit 303 Port Huron, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 218 Huron Ave Apt 204 Port Huron, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 208 Huron Ave Unit 202-2B Port Huron, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,600 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 909 Stone St Unit 1 Port Huron, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1820 Kern St Port Huron, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 145 Rural St Unit 145 Port Huron, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,190 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2903 Golden Crest Ct Port Huron, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,204 | $1.13 | 1d | 16 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 114-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 110-char remark
-
2026-06-13$119,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,215 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$316/yr (+$26/mo · 26.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,999
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,215
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,360
- − Management
- −$1,360
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $2,261
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$543
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Huron Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,093
- Composite
- 25.4/100
- National rank
- #7462
- State rank
- #368 of 540 in MI
Livability — Port Huron
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #12478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Huron, MI
- County
- Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
- City population
- 39,342
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,342
- Household income
- $53,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 177.2401
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+100.2% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-11 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-16 Sold (MLS) $103,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-16 Sold (MLS) $103,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $98,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $98,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-11 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-11 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-06-01 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-05-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-04-15 Listed $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-04-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-03-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-02-17 Listed $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-01-26 Listed $32,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-06-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-06-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-05-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-04-29 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-04-29 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-12-14 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-10-01 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,215 · -22.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…