808 Courthouse Rd · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Open living area
- Recently renovated
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community near airport/runway; Close to entertainment; Street lights in neighborhood
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Circular driveway; Concrete driveway; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Private yard; Back-yard fencing; Few trees; Front yard; Level lot; Near the beach; Barn(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; His-and-hers closets; Pantry; Stone countertops; Blinds on windows; French doors; Wood-burning fireplace (bath area)
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (24.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $248k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bayou View Elementary School (math 78% / reading 83%, grade A+, #2 of 375 statewide, top 0%, 682 students, 100% FRL); Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gulfport School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,482/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1059% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $148k; list at $330k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.05%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,711
- List price
- $329,900
- Delta
- -9.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 N Caribe Pl | 0.47mi | 3/3.5 | 2,662 (+8%) | 1mo | $405,000 | $152 | 56 |
| 7 Bayou View Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,371 (-4%) | 13mo | $369,900 | $156 | 53 |
| 715 Commerce St | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 2,282 (-8%) | 11mo | $344,000 | $151 | 52 |
| 596 Tegarden Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,279 (-8%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 15 Villa Cove Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,115 (-14%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 31 Poplar Cir | 0.60mi | 3/3.0 | 2,733 (+11%) | 11mo | $445,000 | $163 | 39 |
| 121 Woodglen Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 2,163 (-12%) | 13mo | $247,000 | $114 | 37 |
| 4605 Courthouse Rd | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,490 (+1%) | 22mo | $285,000 | $114 | 37 |
| 41 40th St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,114 (-14%) | 22mo | $299,900 | $142 | 31 |
| 4493 Courthouse Rd | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-15%) | 21mo | $264,000 | $126 | 25 |
| 109 Perry St | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,112 (-14%) | 18mo | $199,900 | $95 | 22 |
| 248 Oakwood Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,105 (-15%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $107 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-60,364
- Equity at exit
- $49,189
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-52,317
- Equity at exit
- $28,524
Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,482 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,730
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,009/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $-157
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,475
- Closing costs
- $9,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Caribe Pl N Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2158 | $2,700 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,895 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $329,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $329,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $329,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $340,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $340,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $340,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $340,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$340,000 Active 788-char remark
-
2022-02-16soldstatus Closed 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
-
2022-02-10status Pending 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
-
2022-02-07price $174,000 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
-
2022-02-07status Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
-
2021-10-25status Pending 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
-
2021-07-31$167,000 Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Fourth bedroom is not heated and cooled therefore it is not figured in the square footage. Home flooded between the months January 2021 - April 2021 of while occupied by renter. Home has signs of mold and will require mold remediation. Flooring will also need to be replaced in areas.
-
2021-01-22historical
-
2020-12-09$175,000
-
2017-09-11soldstatus $148,000
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2017-08-24soldstatus
-
2017-07-06$149,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,009 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,009 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,480
- − Property taxes
- −$3,009
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,383
- − Management
- −$2,383
- − Depreciation
- −$9,597
- Taxable loss
- −$7,717
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,852
- After-tax cash flow
- $-38/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+120.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $329,900 MLSU
- 2026-04-28 Listed $340,000 MLSU
- 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-02-10 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-02-07 Price Changed $174,000 MLSU
- 2022-02-07 Relisted — MLSU
- 2021-10-25 Pending — MLSU
- 2021-07-31 Listed $167,000 MLSU
- 2021-01-22 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2020-12-09 Listed $175,000 MLSU
- 2017-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2017-08-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-07-06 Listed $149,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,009 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…