308 Shabbona Dr · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch features living room with fireplace, eat-in kitchen, 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bath. Attached 1 car garage. Sold as is. No disclosures, no termite, no survey. Any realty transfer taxes due will be the sole responsibility of purchaser.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Cozy living room
- Attached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area per assessor
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One story; Fee simple ownership; Home built prior to 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Built 61–70 years ago
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 7200
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (10 x 12); Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (10 x 10); Two additional main-level bedrooms (each 10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Utility room on the main level (8 x 10); Living room; Dining room; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Main-level utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 9.5% in Park Forest — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $117k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.38%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,326
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Mohawk St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 949 (-0%) | 2mo | $141,000 | $149 | 91 |
| 318 Minocqua St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 974 (+2%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $149 | 90 |
| 354 Marquette St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 973 (+2%) | 2mo | $131,000 | $135 | 82 |
| 209 Miami St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 974 (+2%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $111 | 75 |
| 254 Blackhawk Dr | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $105 | 74 |
| 314 Seminole St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 949 (-0%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $142 | 72 |
| 314 Windsor St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+6%) | 2mo | $141,000 | $139 | 71 |
| 223 S Orchard Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 949 (-0%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $111 | 68 |
| 310 Nassau St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 953 (0%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 208 Miami St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,053 (+10%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $166 | 54 |
| 434 Shabbona Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+15%) | 0mo | $177,900 | $163 | 46 |
| 429 Natoma St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,035 (+9%) | 0mo | $159,000 | $154 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $16,504
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $60,108
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,728 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $637 | -5% $597 | +0% $556 | +5% $516 | +10% $476 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $420 | -5% $488 | +0% $556 | +5% $625 | +10% $693 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $586 | base $556 | +0.5pp $526 | +1.0pp $495 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,795 | $1.98 | 0d | 19 | 0.99mi |
| 11 Fir St Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,669 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3484 Western Ave Unit 3484-B Park Forest, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,300 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,971 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,680 | $1.64 | 0d | 11 | 1.03mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1021 | $1,365 | $1.34 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,325 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22407-202 Richton Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,210 | $1.81 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,360 | $1.54 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 944 | $1,360 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-304 Richton Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,215 | $1.77 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22419-109 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,310 | $1.64 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22407-104 Richton Park, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,195 | $1.92 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit K12 Park Forest, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,415 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,570 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $117,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $117,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $117,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $117,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $117,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $117,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $117,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $117,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $117,000
-
2026-04-17price $119,000
-
2026-03-10price $120,000
-
2026-02-06price $121,000
-
2026-01-16price $125,000
-
2025-12-19price $129,000
-
2025-11-21price $133,000
-
2025-10-31price $139,000
-
2025-10-09$145,000 Active
-
2024-01-24historical $1,375
-
2024-01-23historical $1,375
-
2024-01-10price $1,375
-
2024-01-04$1,425
-
2024-01-04price $1,425
-
2024-01-03$1,505
-
2023-12-16historical $1,505
-
2023-12-14historical $1,505
-
2023-12-14$1,505
-
2023-12-09$1,505
-
2013-07-11soldstatus $30,000 Closed Sale 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Ranch features living room with fireplace, eat-in kitchen, 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bath. Attached 1 car garage. Sold as is. No disclosures, no termite, no survey. Any realty transfer taxes due will be the sole responsibility of purchaser.
-
2013-07-09status Reactivated 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Ranch features living room with fireplace, eat-in kitchen, 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bath. Attached 1 car garage. Sold as is. No disclosures, no termite, no survey. Any realty transfer taxes due will be the sole responsibility of purchaser.
-
2013-03-01status Pending 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Ranch features living room with fireplace, eat-in kitchen, 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bath. Attached 1 car garage. Sold as is. No disclosures, no termite, no survey. Any realty transfer taxes due will be the sole responsibility of purchaser.
-
2013-02-08$23,450 New 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Ranch features living room with fireplace, eat-in kitchen, 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 bath. Attached 1 car garage. Sold as is. No disclosures, no termite, no survey. Any realty transfer taxes due will be the sole responsibility of purchaser.
-
2011-11-28historical
-
2011-04-11historical Contingent
-
2011-03-01price Price Change
-
2011-01-26price Price Change
-
2010-11-02price Price Change
-
2010-09-24New
-
2000-06-06soldstatus $75,500
-
1993-08-12soldstatus $71,000
-
1991-09-24soldstatus $64,500
-
1987-04-01soldstatus $45,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$1,755
- − Insurance
- −$585
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable income
- $5,119
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+154.9% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $117,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $119,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $121,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $129,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $133,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $139,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-09 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-24 Rental Removed $1,375 RENTLY
- 2024-01-23 Rental Removed $1,375 RENT.
- 2024-01-10 Price Changed $1,375 RENTLY
- 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $1,425 RENTLY
- 2024-01-04 Price Changed $1,425 RENT.
- 2024-01-03 Listed for Rent $1,505 RENT.
- 2023-12-16 Rental Removed $1,505 RENTLY
- 2023-12-14 Rental Removed $1,505 RENT.
- 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,505 RENTLY
- 2023-12-09 Listed for Rent $1,505 RENT.
- 2013-07-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-09 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-01 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-08 Listed $23,450 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-02 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
- 1993-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1991-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2023): $7,896 · +60.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…