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2044 Giant Cactus 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 49.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +0.7/5.0

$216,840

2044 Giant Cactus · San Antonio, TX 78221
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,419 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 2,831 sqft lot $153/sqft · 34% below area Est $330k · 34% under · waterfront $15/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Linnet is a charming two-story home featured at Sonora in San Antonio, TX. Featuring 2 classic front exteriors, this 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home also offers 1419 square feet of living space and a 1-car garage. A front porch (per plan) welcomes you into the home and opens to the gourmet kitchen which includes quartz counter tops, quality cabinets, stainless steel appliances and an open concept floorplan with the kitchen flowing seamlessly into the dining room and living room. The main bedroom has an attractive ensuite bathroom that features a quartz vanity countertop and quality cabinetry. Enjoy additional storage with a spacious walk-in closet located off of the primary bathroom.

Key facts

  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Quality cabinets
  • Quartz counter tops

Tags

GOURMET KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSQUALITY CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESOPEN CONCEPT FLOORPLANENSUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with annual fee of $180

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Water and sewer provided by SAWS (city); Electric and gas supplied by CPS; HERS rated with low-flow commode
  • Home design: New construction by D.R. Horton; Siding and cement fiber exterior; Entry level on main floor; Subdivision: SONORA
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio slab; Privacy fence; Sprinkler system; Double pane windows; Street paved with curbs and streetlights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island and breakfast bar; Microwave oven, Stove/Range, Dishwasher, Disposal, Ice maker connection; Solid countertops
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level with walk-in closet and full bath; Second bedroom (10 x 10); Third bedroom (10 x 11); Master bedroom dimensions approximately 13 x 11
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom; Master bath with shower only and single vanity; Master bath dimensions approximately 6 x 9
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer connections; Microwave oven, Stove/Range, Disposal, Dishwasher, Ice maker connection; Smoke alarm, Carbon monoxide detector, Electric water heater; Solid countertops; 1 living area with living/dining combination; Eat-in kitchen with island and breakfast bar; Utility room inside, Laundry room (upper level), Attic with pull-down stairs; Open floor plan, High speed internet; All bedrooms on upper level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer connections; Laundry room on upper level; Utility room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $217k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (14.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (17.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Julian C Gallardo El (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,805 of 4,322 statewide, top 89%, 544 students, 87% FRL); Julius L Matthey Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 604 students, 92% FRL); Southside H S (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,685 students, 85% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.2%/yr); 389 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,918 (17.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.82%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$330,374
List price
$216,840
Delta
-34.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
0.00mi 3/1.0 1,608 (+13%) 2mo $90,000 $56 70
2052 Organ Pipe Cactus 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,206 (-15%) 10mo $201,849 $167 65
2030 Organ Pipe Cactus 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,206 (-15%) 11mo $199,999 $166 64
751 Vermilion 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,454 (+2%) 8mo $234,999 $162 60
539 Lew Pass 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 12mo $212,799 $144 54
563 Lew Pass 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 13mo $203,802 $138 54
526 Lew Pass 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 11mo $229,343 $156 53
506 Lew Pass 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+4%) 12mo $237,999 $161 50
11934 Catbird 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,211 (-15%) 10mo $210,000 $173 36
11718 Boyd Bay 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-10%) 24mo $199,999 $157 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.03% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,824
Equity at exit
$85,861
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$13,950
Equity at exit
$123,899

Cash invested: $60,715 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78221

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Rents YoY
-7.2%
Active inventory
389
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,799 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,137
Tax est. 1.5%
$271 /mo · $3,253/yr
Insurance
$90
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$15
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,074
Max offer price $185,384
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-68 -5% $-142 +0% $-217 +5% $-292 +10% $-367
Rent -10% $-360 -5% $-288 +0% $-217 +5% $-146 +10% $-75
Rate -1.0pp $-108 -0.5pp $-162 base $-217 +0.5pp $-274 +1.0pp $-331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,210
Closing costs
$6,505
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2203 Cielo Rio, Lot 102 San Antonio, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1574 $2,360 $1.50 0d 150 0.02mi
11963 Sand Wedge Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 3.5 1474 $1,575 $1.07 6d 1 0.56mi
718 Albatross Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,650 $1.15 14d 1 0.63mi
11426 Four Iron Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1814 $1,695 $0.93 6d 1 0.64mi
742 Haas Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1699 $2,100 $1.24 0d 1 0.70mi
742 Haas Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1699 $2,100 $1.24 19d 1 0.70mi
12055 Links Pkwy San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,625 $1.10 25d 1 0.73mi
12030 Picard Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,495 $1.03 5d 1 0.79mi
12015 Still Pass San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1635 $1,600 $0.98 22d 1 0.82mi
934 Cook Bnd San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,445 $0.89 25d 1 0.93mi
907 Stricker Path San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1129 $1,500 $1.33 25d 1 1.02mi
13222 Dutra Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,595 $1.26 25d 1 1.03mi
1019 Snedeker Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,449 $1.21 25d 1 1.06mi
1343 Art Wall Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,395 $0.97 45d 1 1.09mi
1019 Magrum Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,445 $1.11 12d 1 1.10mi
1115 Janzen Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,595 $1.23 45d 1 1.14mi
1119 Jordan Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,795 $1.41 45d 1 1.15mi
1038 Janzen Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,725 $1.53 23d 1 1.16mi
1327 Mission Grande Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $1,073 $1.14 0d 1 1.18mi
12910 Clubhouse Blvd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 920 $1,364 $1.48 0d 26 1.19mi
1011 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,700 $1.16 25d 1 1.33mi
1015 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 6d 1 1.34mi
13806 S Strange Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1668 $1,795 $1.08 25d 1 1.39mi
9879 Chavaneaux Lndg San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1585 $1,700 $1.07 25d 1 1.44mi
102 Emerald Ash Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $973 $1.02 0d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$15 · $180/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $216,840 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $216,840 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $216,840 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $216,840 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $216,840 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $216,840 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $216,840 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $216,840 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $216,840 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $216,840 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $216,840 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $216,840 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $216,840 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $216,840 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $216,840 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $216,840 New 1238-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥109°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,590
− Mortgage interest
−$12,146
− Property taxes
−$3,253
− Insurance
−$2,587
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,727
− Management
−$1,727
− HOA
−$180
− Depreciation
−$6,308
Taxable loss
−$6,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,521
After-tax cash flow
$-1,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This two-story home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a spacious kitchen, bathrooms, and ample storage. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the home's curb appeal and add value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the home's curb appeal and add value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southside ISD
NCES district ID
4840920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,526
Composite
17.68/100
National rank
#9027
State rank
#771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,178
Household income
$63,811
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1180.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 28% White 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 74%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 54%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.03%
Current HPI
251.1635
Rent YoY
▼ -7.21%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $216,840 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…