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2141 Gap Newport Pike
C Composite 55.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$200,000

2141 Gap Newport Pike · Cochranville, PA 19330
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1948 1.50 ac lot $204/sqft · 13% below area Est $229k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2141 Gap Newport Pike – Investor Opportunity! Estate sale, offering tremendous potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their own vision. This charming Cape Cod is situated on a generous 1.5-acre+/- lot and offers a solid starting point with plenty of upside. The home is ready for updates and modernization. The main level features a traditional layout with a formal living room and dining room, highlighted by an open staircase. The kitchen retains its vintage character with metal cabinetry and classic electric range, offering a blank canvas for renovation. A first-floor bedroom and full bath provide convenient one-floor living, though the bath is in need of up

Key facts

  • 1.5 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Four driveway/parking spaces (total 4)
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic
  • Home design: Detached home; Above-grade living space reported by assessor
  • Construction: Frame construction; Permanent foundation
  • Exterior features: Detached structure; Lot dimensions listed (assessor)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating
  • Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Sun/Florida room; Full basement with walkout level
  • Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,455 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Octorara Area SD (rural): math 33% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #286 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $596 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-787 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,000 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.95%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,480
List price
$200,000
Delta
-12.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,602
Equity at exit
$54,168
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$26,982
Equity at exit
$62,072

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19330

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,048 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$395 /mo · $4,736/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,933
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $200,000 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    status $200,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1622-char remark
  10. 2026-05-07
    listed $200,000 Active 1622-char remark
  11. 2026-05-04
    historical $200,000 1622-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,736 · $395/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,736 · $395/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,576
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$4,736
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,966
− Management
−$1,966
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$2,114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$507
After-tax cash flow
$1,600/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Octorara Area SD
NCES district ID
4218030
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$65,710
Composite
37.59/100
National rank
#4383
State rank
#286 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cochranville

Score
60/100
State rank
#1455
US rank
#18701

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,678

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Polish 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.39%
Current HPI
278.0929
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Coming Soon $200,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,736 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…