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33 Hill St
B Composite 71.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

33 Hill St · Adena, OH 43901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1948 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This three-bedroom, one-bath home features a durable metal roof and a practical layout with two bedrooms located on the main level and an additional bedroom situated in a converted attic space. The living room offers carpeted flooring, and the kitchen is equipped with a stove. A washer and dryer are included with the property. The home is heated by an oil heating system. The property is pre-wired for a Generac standby generator; however, no generator unit is currently installed or included in the sale, allowing a future owner the option to install a compatible unit if desired.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Carpeted flooring
  • Oil heating system

Tags

METAL ROOFCONVERTED ATTIC SPACECARPETED FLOORINGOIL HEATING SYSTEMPRE-WIRED FOR GENERATOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($999 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#978 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Buckeye Local (rural): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #471 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.56%
Cash-on-cash
15.24%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$23,545
Equity at exit
$35,971
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$64,411
Equity at exit
$55,436

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43901

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $621/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $723
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $263 -5% $241 +0% $218 +5% $195 +10% $173
Rent -10% $139 -5% $178 +0% $218 +5% $257 +10% $297
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $238 base $218 +0.5pp $197 +1.0pp $176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    remarks 583-char remark
  2. 2026-05-31
    listed $80,000 Pending 83 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$621 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$934 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$314/yr (+$26/mo · 50.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,985
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$621
− Insurance
−$1,198
− Repairs & maintenance
−$959
− Management
−$959
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,440
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$346
After-tax cash flow
$2,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buckeye Local
NCES district ID
3904778
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,332
Composite
40.68/100
National rank
#3673
State rank
#471 of 656 in OH

Livability — Adena

Score
60/100
State rank
#978
US rank
#19033

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson · 64,369 people
Metro
Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH
Population (ZIP)
2,159
Household income
$60,702
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,481 people
By 2030
61,067 · -3.8%
By 2040
55,860 · -12.0%
By 2050
51,236 · -19.3%
By 2075
41,804 · -34.1%
By 2100
32,344 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 18% Slovak 2% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-44.1pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+38.4 2016: R+35.7 2012: R+5.5 2008: D+0.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $80,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $621 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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