33 Hill St · Adena, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This three-bedroom, one-bath home features a durable metal roof and a practical layout with two bedrooms located on the main level and an additional bedroom situated in a converted attic space. The living room offers carpeted flooring, and the kitchen is equipped with a stove. A washer and dryer are included with the property. The home is heated by an oil heating system. The property is pre-wired for a Generac standby generator; however, no generator unit is currently installed or included in the sale, allowing a future owner the option to install a compatible unit if desired.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Carpeted flooring
- Oil heating system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($999 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#978 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Buckeye Local (rural): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #471 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.24%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $23,545
- Equity at exit
- $35,971
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $64,411
- Equity at exit
- $55,436
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43901
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $621/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $241 | +0% $218 | +5% $195 | +10% $173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $139 | -5% $178 | +0% $218 | +5% $257 | +10% $297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $258 | -0.5pp $238 | base $218 | +0.5pp $197 | +1.0pp $176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31remarks 583-char remark
-
2026-05-31$80,000 Pending 83 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $621 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$314/yr (+$26/mo · 50.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$621
- − Insurance
- −$1,198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$959
- − Management
- −$959
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,440
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buckeye Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904778
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,332
- Composite
- 40.68/100
- National rank
- #3673
- State rank
- #471 of 656 in OH
Livability — Adena
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #978
- US rank
- #19033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson · 64,369 people
- Metro
- Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,159
- Household income
- $60,702
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,481 people
- By 2030
- 61,067 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 55,860 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 51,236 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 41,804 · -34.1%
- By 2100
- 32,344 · -49.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Slovak 2% Hungarian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.1pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+38.4 2016: R+35.7 2012: R+5.5 2008: D+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $80,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-21 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $621 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…