1363 N Plaza Dr #41 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.6
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming mobile home is the one for you! You'll be welcomed with a cozy front porch and practical carport parking. Inside, you'll find sizable living spaces filled with natural light, featuring tile flooring, vaulted ceilings promoting an airy feel, and neutral paint throughout. Prepare delicious meals in the bright kitchen, complete with shaker-style cabinets adorned with crown molding, spacious counters, and built-in appliances. Ideal for those seeking comfortable and easy-maintenance living, this lovely home features 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Out back, you'll have a dog run for added convenience + storage shed with washer and dryer.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Dog friendly yard
- Exclusive community
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($896 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.0% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Four Peaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 498 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 939 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 39d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.55%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,000
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -60.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1262 S Shawnee Dr | 1.48mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $238 | 63 |
| 1185 W Klamath Ave | 1.48mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 10mo | $113,000 | $283 | 57 |
| 1206 W Klamath Dr | 1.48mi | 1/1.0 | 409 (+2%) | 7mo | $138,000 | $337 | 55 |
| 2044 S Ute Dr | 1.47mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $363 | 47 |
| 1550 W Yurok Ave | 1.34mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 30mo | $148,500 | $371 | 45 |
| 900 S Idaho Rd Unit 45A | 1.37mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 31mo | $25,000 | $63 | 45 |
| 1700 W Shiprock St #58 | 0.89mi | 1/1.0 | 399 (-0%) | 33mo | $66,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 1519 S Omaha Dr | 1.49mi | 1/1.0 | 397 (-1%) | 32mo | $135,000 | $340 | 44 |
| 1560 W Superstition Blvd #21 | 0.89mi | 1/1.0 | 444 (+11%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $45 | 39 |
| 1260 S Shoshone Dr | 1.47mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 405 (+1%) | 27mo | $208,000 | $514 | 36 |
| 2072 W Klamath Ave | 1.48mi | 1/2.0 | 446 (+12%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $381 | 35 |
| 800 W Apache Trl Unit 56A | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 | 484 (+21%) | 31mo | $11,600 | $24 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $9,361
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $24,950
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85120
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 939
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $896 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $366 | -5% $347 | +0% $328 | +5% $309 | +10% $290 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $257 | -5% $293 | +0% $328 | +5% $363 | +10% $399 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $356 | -0.5pp $342 | base $328 | +0.5pp $314 | +1.0pp $299 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 W Apache Trl Lot 168 Apache Junction, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 256 | $1,289 | $5.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 432 E 9th Ave Apache Junction, AZ | — | 1.0 | 375 | $975 | $2.60 | 38d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 432 E 9th Ave Unit 3B Apache Junction, AZ | — | 1.0 | 370 | $975 | $2.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 432 E 9th Ave Unit 6 Apache Junction, AZ | — | 1.0 | 370 | $975 | $2.64 | 165d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 432 E 9th Ave Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ | — | 1.0 | 370 | $975 | $2.64 | 65d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Building area total 400
- Financial info
- Financing is non-assumable
- HOA & community
- Land lease (monthly $525)Association fees include grounds maintenanceCommunity laundry
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered spacesAttached carport with direct access2 carport spaces
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Public sewer (connected)
- Home design
- LeaseholdManufactured/mobile housingPaved road access
- Construction
- Other construction materials
- Exterior features
- Composition roofNo fencingNorth/south exposureGravel/stone frontGravel/stone backPrivate maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen
- Laminate countersDisposalElectric rangeElectric cooktopRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 1 possible bedroom
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central airForced air heatingElectric heating
- Interior features
- High speed internet9+ foot flat ceilingsNo interior stepsVaulted ceilingsFull bathroom in master bedroomLaminate countersDual pane windowsTinted windows
- Laundry & utility
- Washer insideDryer inside
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $55,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $55,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $55,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $55,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $55,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $55,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-11-02price $55,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $72,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $72,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $72,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $72,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $72,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $72,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $72,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $72,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $72,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $72,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $72,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $72,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $72,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $72,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $72,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $72,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $72,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $72,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $72,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $72,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $72,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $72,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $72,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $72,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-10-06pricedays on market $72,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-13$63,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,755
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$860
- − Management
- −$860
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $3,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$781
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming mobile home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates that can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and reduces maintenance costs. ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apache Junction, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 437,574 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,191
- Household income
- $57,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.31%
- Current HPI
- 313.4666
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.50%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+14.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-10-04 Listed $72,000 ARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $63,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…