28374 Nanticoke Ave #6274 · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable living near the water. This cottage sits on an extremely large lot and has a recently added master bedroom and closet! The covered front porch and screened in back porch add lots of extra living space. The kitchen is open to the living area and back porch, which provides easy access to both. There are two extra bedrooms and a full bath with plenty of sleeping area. The exterior has a fire pit area, two sheds for storage and a fish cleaning area in between. There is also a covered structure big enough to store a large boat. The home comes fully furnished and the new buyers must be park approved. The private boat club is just blocks away and with easy access to the Indian River Bay. So grab your fishing rods, put on your party hat or just relax, but don't wait to long to own this great property!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large lot
- Fire pit area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 3.2% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 865 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.37%
- DSCR
- 3.20
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,549
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -21.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $30,241
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.11×
- Total profit
- $86,944
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 865
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $724
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $793 | -5% $759 | +0% $724 | +5% $690 | +10% $655 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $540 | -5% $632 | +0% $724 | +5% $816 | +10% $908 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $775 | -0.5pp $750 | base $724 | +0.5pp $698 | +1.0pp $672 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29266 Honeysuckle Knl Millsboro, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 32082 Plaza Dr , DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1169 | $2,019 | $1.73 | 21d | 14 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $99,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $110,000 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Affordable living near the water. This cottage sits on an extremely large lot and has a recently added master bedroom and closet! The covered front porch and screened in back porch add lots of extra living space. The kitchen is open to the living area and back porch, which provides easy access to both. There are two extra bedrooms and a full bath with plenty of sleeping area. The exterior has a fire pit area, two sheds for storage and a fish cleaning area in between. There is also a covered structure big enough to store a large boat. The home comes fully furnished and the new buyers must be park approved. The private boat club is just blocks away and with easy access to the Indian River Bay. So grab your fishing rods, put on your party hat or just relax, but don't wait to long to own this great property!
-
2025-10-12$120,000 Active 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Affordable living near the water. This cottage sits on an extremely large lot and has a recently added master bedroom and closet! The covered front porch and screened in back porch add lots of extra living space. The kitchen is open to the living area and back porch, which provides easy access to both. There are two extra bedrooms and a full bath with plenty of sleeping area. The exterior has a fire pit area, two sheds for storage and a fish cleaning area in between. There is also a covered structure big enough to store a large boat. The home comes fully furnished and the new buyers must be park approved. The private boat club is just blocks away and with easy access to the Indian River Bay. So grab your fishing rods, put on your party hat or just relax, but don't wait to long to own this great property!
-
2022-10-01soldstatus $55,000 Closed 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
It's not too late to enjoy the remainder of summer in your very own affordable home walking distance to water and the best little restaurant in the area, Serendipity's. Oak Orchards is the perfect place to live with a very reasonable land lease. Enjoy the beach life without all the traffic, yet live close enough to drive there in minutes. This home is on a double lot almost at the end of a tree lined street. Inside will offer you numerous opportunities to create your own form of ambiance. Better than camping and with all the feel of being on vacation, don't miss your opportunity to own this home now. Seller will pay at settlement up to $4,000.00 towards Buyers first year's Land Lease!!! Wow! Now is the Time! BRING ALL OFFERS!
-
2022-09-12status Pending 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
It's not too late to enjoy the remainder of summer in your very own affordable home walking distance to water and the best little restaurant in the area, Serendipity's. Oak Orchards is the perfect place to live with a very reasonable land lease. Enjoy the beach life without all the traffic, yet live close enough to drive there in minutes. This home is on a double lot almost at the end of a tree lined street. Inside will offer you numerous opportunities to create your own form of ambiance. Better than camping and with all the feel of being on vacation, don't miss your opportunity to own this home now. Seller will pay at settlement up to $4,000.00 towards Buyers first year's Land Lease!!! Wow! Now is the Time! BRING ALL OFFERS!
-
2022-09-12historical Active Under Contract 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
It's not too late to enjoy the remainder of summer in your very own affordable home walking distance to water and the best little restaurant in the area, Serendipity's. Oak Orchards is the perfect place to live with a very reasonable land lease. Enjoy the beach life without all the traffic, yet live close enough to drive there in minutes. This home is on a double lot almost at the end of a tree lined street. Inside will offer you numerous opportunities to create your own form of ambiance. Better than camping and with all the feel of being on vacation, don't miss your opportunity to own this home now. Seller will pay at settlement up to $4,000.00 towards Buyers first year's Land Lease!!! Wow! Now is the Time! BRING ALL OFFERS!
-
2022-08-22status Pending 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
It's not too late to enjoy the remainder of summer in your very own affordable home walking distance to water and the best little restaurant in the area, Serendipity's. Oak Orchards is the perfect place to live with a very reasonable land lease. Enjoy the beach life without all the traffic, yet live close enough to drive there in minutes. This home is on a double lot almost at the end of a tree lined street. Inside will offer you numerous opportunities to create your own form of ambiance. Better than camping and with all the feel of being on vacation, don't miss your opportunity to own this home now. Seller will pay at settlement up to $4,000.00 towards Buyers first year's Land Lease!!! Wow! Now is the Time! BRING ALL OFFERS!
-
2022-08-15price $78,900 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
It's not too late to enjoy the remainder of summer in your very own affordable home walking distance to water and the best little restaurant in the area, Serendipity's. Oak Orchards is the perfect place to live with a very reasonable land lease. Enjoy the beach life without all the traffic, yet live close enough to drive there in minutes. This home is on a double lot almost at the end of a tree lined street. Inside will offer you numerous opportunities to create your own form of ambiance. Better than camping and with all the feel of being on vacation, don't miss your opportunity to own this home now. Seller will pay at settlement up to $4,000.00 towards Buyers first year's Land Lease!!! Wow! Now is the Time! BRING ALL OFFERS!
-
2022-08-05$79,900 Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
It's not too late to enjoy the remainder of summer in your very own affordable home walking distance to water and the best little restaurant in the area, Serendipity's. Oak Orchards is the perfect place to live with a very reasonable land lease. Enjoy the beach life without all the traffic, yet live close enough to drive there in minutes. This home is on a double lot almost at the end of a tree lined street. Inside will offer you numerous opportunities to create your own form of ambiance. Better than camping and with all the feel of being on vacation, don't miss your opportunity to own this home now. Seller will pay at settlement up to $4,000.00 towards Buyers first year's Land Lease!!! Wow! Now is the Time! BRING ALL OFFERS!
-
2022-04-08soldstatus $55,000 Closed
-
2022-02-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2021-11-17price $59,000
-
2021-10-08price $64,900
-
2021-09-24$67,999 Active
-
2020-08-26soldstatus $30,000 Closed
-
2020-08-24status Pending
-
2020-08-17historical Active Under Contract
-
2020-08-11$33,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$5,618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,237
- − Management
- −$2,237
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $7,875
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,890
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,802/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including painting, window replacement, and landscaping. Upgrading these areas can significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen appliances — The kitchen appears cluttered and in need of cleaning, with no visible appliances.
- Major exterior siding — The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
- Major interior walls — The interior walls appear to have peeling paint and need repainting.
- Major windows — The windows appear to be old and may need replacement.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both replacing windows — Replacing old windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.
- Both upgrading kitchen appliances — Upgrading kitchen appliances can make the space more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
- Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen appliances · The kitchen appears cluttered and in need of cleaning, with no visible appliances. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · The interior walls appear to have peeling paint and need repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · The windows appear to be old and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both replacing windows — Replacing old windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both upgrading kitchen appliances — Upgrading kitchen appliances can make the space more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical upgrades — Upgrading HVAC and mechanical systems can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+233.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-12 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-01 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-12 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-15 Price Changed $78,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-05 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-08 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-14 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-17 Price Changed $59,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-10-08 Price Changed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-24 Listed $67,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-26 Sold (MLS) $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-17 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-11 Listed $33,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…